Ivan Labenz

Swing trading & Event Trading on macro markets assets/instruments

[Crowded Market Report @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt]

Samsung earnings analysis: Samsung's preliminary Q2 results were exceptionally strong and better than consensus, reinforcing the AI memory narrative that has been driving the semiconductor sector. Operating profit: 89.4 trillion won, up 19-fold from a year ago and above analyst expectations.
Revenue: 171 trillion won, up about 129% year over year, also ahead of expectations. Stock -10%. Whats up? #AI #samsung #korea

[Jeffrey A. Hirsch @AlmanacTrader]

@RyanDetrick Hear! Hear! Good call Ryan! Down Q1, Q2+>10% even better. https://t.co/Ar5GZOq4yh

[JK @jonbking]

$IBB is completing as we speak.

We're all over the health-care related breakout.

This pattern is diagonal, but it's clear as day.

I would not buy it here for myself, but I'd feel comfortable using a limit order below the market to get a better entry price.

[JK @jonbking]

$COLO Colombia ETF

BIG day 🚀 after being featured in the ChartWizards report last week at lower prices

[JK @jonbking]

I haven’t seen “Australasia” in a long time. That’s the exposure listed in the formal fund docs of $EFA

I would be demonetized on YouTube 😂

ETFs :
Liquid ETFs (>500k daily share volume) are appealing on beta and aggregating correlations.

Add to watchlist 👇

[JK @jonbking]

$FIDU chart: a series of higher lows pressing against a well-defined horizontal upper boundary, reflecting demand becoming more aggressive.

With price now breaking above resistance, the pattern shifts from compressed energy into completion.

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

I have made a living over the years trading the simple rectangle or Darvas Box

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

I am labeling this as a rectangle but implications are the same

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

Would anybody be surprised if we get a short squeeze in the U.S. Dollar? $DX_F

[JK @jonbking]

Airlines? Of course they did. $DAL

[Ivan Labenz @IvanLabedz]

@Open_Markets need more liquidity on lumber 'LBR_' future please ;)

[J.C. Parets @JC_ParetsX]

👀

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

On May 4 The Factor Report alerted members to a pending collapse of the 30- Yr T Bond futures
The decline has begun
The trade we have entered has a possible 16 to 1 Reward-to-Risk ratio
Apologies for being in your stream if those types of trades do not interest you
https://t.co/Bq1PhjnRHa

[Aksel Kibar, CMT @TechCharts]

https://t.co/sLLSM76xQP

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

The Factor Report continues to note the potential for another higher thrust in long-term U.S. rates.
Updates will be provided via the weekly Factor Update
$ZB_F
The Factor Report provides commentary on my personal positions as traded by Factor LLC.
https://t.co/gDeM5nTRIY

[JK @jonbking]

@PeterLBrandt @TechCharts Members: https://t.co/AfN1XBieqo

Sign-up: https://t.co/BXiV34sqs3

[JK @jonbking]

@TechCharts Included in today’s note w/ VEGI and others ✅

[Brian Lee @BrianLeeTrades]

There’s a POWERFUL indicator that exists which you already have, one that makes sense of chaos but hinges on a critical component: Performance.

I need to explain this and then I’ll reveal the indicator.

If you do not perform near your optimal level, then it will not matter.

This is because performance reinforces confidence that one has left little to chance or significant error.

You need to be sure of it, so make sure to track your every execution and analyze it against your expected output.

This is it:

When you can be sure of performance, then you’ve unlocked the ability to tap into the collective consciousness. You are the indicator, and I don’t say this to be meta or obtuse.

Because others will feel the same feelings you do, you will understand the correct wavelength.

Let’s say you mess this up, you feel like shit because you made too many mistakes when the world is winning trades… then you’re going to approach the market very differently than a peer.

If you’re aligned with the market then you’ll know what mindset your peers are in.

Knowing this is powerful because it allows you to understand where the extreme emotions exist, where the vulnerabilities are… where the exploitation comes from.

Since markets cycle between fear and greed, you can be sure that your emotions will at least mimic the majority of adequate traders.

When traders get too loose and excitable, they tend to take bigger losses or develop habits that get punished.

When traders are too fearful it tends to allow others to capitalize on their hesitation.

Either scenario can be capitalized but it’s knowing that you can see it coming AND prepare for it.

Commonly it’s important to NOT extend yourself on a good spurt, to protect what you’ve gained. Ironically people tend to get way too fixated on their dominance and wish to scale even harder, thus leading to big declines or drawdowns.

As one strategy becomes too popular or lucrative, so too come the leeches to exacerbate a decline.

It doesn’t mean it’s permanently dead, it might just mean it won’t be as effective until another cycle occurs.

It’s also important to recognize resilience, not to be confused with being stubborn.

Stubborn would be endlessly bashing your head against a wall to your own detriment, refusing to give up.

Resilience would be managing a tough time through your thoughts and actions.

It’s clear that when others capitulate on their emotions, the market comically heals.

When you tap into your experience, you understand what needs to be done and how you can avoid common pitfalls.

You are the indicator, never forget that. In fact, many of you on Twitter are my indicators as well, just in a different sense.

[JK @jonbking]

To give you a better, more practical answer, a breakout is a signal.

Lot of big funds, traders utilize retracements /pullbacks for entries.

It’s like looking both ways before you cross the street. You get the signal then you manage entry according to your risk.

I almost always use limit orders below the market price. Sometimes they trigger sometimes they don’t.

[JK @jonbking]

Literally free $POET