GCR의 큰 가르침, 알트코인 매매의 기본
"알트 사이클 안에서는, 추세가 처음 반전될 때 리스크를 과감하게 높여야 하며, 시간이 지나면서 점진적으로 자본을 보호하는 방향으로 전환해야 합니다.
사람들이 손실을 보는 이유는 정확히 그 반대 행동을 하기 때문입니다. 초반에는 지나치게 신중하게 접근하다가, 시간이 지날수록 점점 더 탐욕스러워집니다."
소시오가 의외로 약한 타입이 돌발적인 행동을 하는 사람. 본모습이 튀어나오게 만들어. 나라면 그런 사람을 어떻게 컨트롤 할까? 비슷한 결의 사람을 붙여 진을 빼놓으면 된다. 내가 생각했던 카드는 안민석 아님 정봉주. 정봉주는 자신이 차린 밥을 고스란히 정청래가 가져갔으니 독이 올랐을 수도.
Obviously at some point we will get a pull back.
But I think it will honestly be more like 93 or 97k because by that point everyone will be completely convinced we're going for ATH and it's definitely a bull market and everyone needs to buy under 100k and before new ATH.
Then they'll dump that shit to kill morale and liquidated late longers.
You might get a dip here - but a significant retrace feels unlikely to me.
Tbh Jackson Hole meeting was not bullish (hawkish rhetoric).
S&P500 was -0.25% on the day after some whiplash PA.
Bitcoin also had some whiplash PA, right under heavy resistance + a whole bunch of moving averages etc.
So 80k was always going to be tricky to break + hold. So we inevitably slide under.
But what I'm not hearing a lot of is just how little we slid under 80k. I know it's now the weekend so PA largely doesn't matter. But I really would have expected a bigger move under 80k.
I'm honestly really surprised we're still at 77k. After such a large move + resistance + hawkish speech it's surprising to me that we aren't already at $75k
So, either it's delayed and that move is coming pretty soon (Monday or Tuesday) - or IMO we continue catching people offside and people keep playing catch up with very imperfect entries.
I've been sniping some of the more extreme LTF moves on the 15min chart opening up small longs based on this assumption.
홍장원 뉴스는 재밌는게 쿠팡 관련 기사가 나온 뒤 하나씩 나온다. 아마 잘은 모르겠지만 김병기와 쿠팡과 관련된. 그리고. 어쩌면. 정권에 불리한 것을 쥐고 있을수도. 그렇다 한들 마지막 카드로 공개하지 않고 쥐고 있을테지만. 친척 어르신께 들었던 말이 떠오른다. 홍장원 그놈 무서운 놈이라고.
Presented at #ESCCongress:
In older adults without cardiovascular disease, treatment with atorvastatin led to a lower risk of major cardiovascular events than placebo at a median of 5.9 years but did not result in longer disability-free survival. Full STAREE trial results: https://t.co/LLJtTGssg8
@escardio
Update
I was talking to @Trader_XO about this but typically the HTF trend wether you use HTF EMAs etc. tend to flatten out while value catches up for the big flip.
wouldn't be surprised if there's still some period of value development or chop before continuation.
and honestly that potential scenario would be great because it's a way more healthy and sustainable trend vs speed running the entire thing.
now the question is...is the consolidation above or below the red line?
You can use the 365d rvwap as the major gauge.
A lot of capital has flowed into the AI sector lately. The idea going around is that once chips and LLMs get more efficient and the bubble pops, capital rotates back into assets like gold and Bitcoin, and the monetary policy used to clean up the financial crisis kicks off a bull run.
Institutions might already be reading that flow and positioning ahead of it.