Our new @nberpubs project on US-China technology rivalry with George Cui, Yongseok Shin, @ShimYounghun
Did US multinationals transfer too much technology to China through joint ventures (JV)?
This paper: Possibly, yes.
Why? US multinationals do not care about the negative impacts of their joint ventures on other US firms or the broader economy (1/N)
US multinational joint ventures in China transfer tech, raising long-term competition and harming other US firms. The over-investment hurt US workers and overall welfare, from @JaedoChoi, George Cui, @ShimYounghun, and Yongseok Shin https://t.co/ksfi275yCP
During South Korea’s growth miracle decades, firm concentration rose sharply. The largest firms powered the rise in concentration and contributed to the growth miracle.
Did the U.S. win or lose its trade war with China? In a recently published paper @JEEA_News, we find U.S. welfare losses from the 2018-19 tariff war are more than twice as high once markups and profit shifting are taken into account, while China benefited slightly. Link below.🧵
The @UChi_Economics rule is 2 minutes per slide. Mike Golosov also added that each slide should have at most four bullets. I found this rule to only be viable at @UChi_Economics . Audiences show a wide range of interaction, most way below the Uchicago level. So I follow this rule:
- each slide should have only one idea, at most four bullets, and a bullet can never break a line
- if I know that the audience wants interaction, I follow the Uchicago gold standard
- if I am uncertain, I do one minute per slide and adjust during the talk.
Looking forward to this 👇! It was so much fun working with a team of brilliant economists to summarize the state of the literature on the role of technology for economic development. Connect with us to see and discuss a “policy-focused” summary!
Newly revised draft with @ShimYounghun!
When should countries switch from adoption-led to innovation-led growth?
This transition is key to escaping thr middle income trap.
Using historical technology-transfer data, we explore how South Korea's policy facilitated it.
New working paper: 𝐅𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐀𝐝𝐨𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐨 𝐈𝐧𝐧𝐨𝐯𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧: 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞-𝐃𝐞𝐩𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐓𝐞𝐜𝐡𝐧𝐨𝐥𝐨𝐠𝐲 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐲 𝐢𝐧 𝐃𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐥𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐂𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬
by @JaedoChoi and Younghun Shim
Link to the paper: https://t.co/fIo1P8uXlf
Just Accepted new paper, “Industrialization and the Big Push: Theory and Evidence from South Korea” by Jaedo Choi and Younghun Shim https://t.co/9oPPWrNFei