James Li

History rhymes and teaches. Notes on international relations, society, and daily life

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@RenaldyApreza @Brad_Setser The west do have products China wants but they just don’t want to sell to China.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@JesseCohenInv How long for the stock to rise from $3 to $30? Let’s say it 10x in one year. The day trader would use the same capital to make $1 per day that will be about $200 vs. $27 with the same capital.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

If the U.S. and China both conclude a hot war is off the table, the competition changes. It becomes about speed, scale, and execution. In that case, “buying time” is not a stable endpoint, but a transition. I wrote a short reaction to explain why 👇

https://t.co/ZE9ZRBQhqW

[Ryan Hass @ryanl_hass]

Whether for good or ill, President Trump has shifted America's approach to China. In the following piece, I explore what impact his shift could have on the trajectory of US-China relations. I lay out three potential scenarios and signposts for each.
https://t.co/C0D8dhngDs

[Ryan Hass @ryanl_hass]

Whether for good or ill, President Trump has shifted America's approach to China. In the following piece, I explore what impact his shift could have on the trajectory of US-China relations. I lay out three potential scenarios and signposts for each.
https://t.co/C0D8dhngDs

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@essen_ai 事实核查：Pew 2023 的数据并不支持“华裔美国人对中国多数负面”这一说法。实际结果是 41% 正面 / 35% 负面 / 22% 中立（既不正面也不负面）——这是“分裂/混合”的态度，而不是“多数负面”。这个关键前提一旦错了，后面建立在其上的那套宏大“集体心理学”结论就站不住脚。

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

Fact-check: the Pew 2023 data doesn’t show Chinese Americans are “majority unfavorable” toward China. It’s 41% favorable / 35% unfavorable / 22% neither — mixed, not majority-negative. That single error collapses the post’s sweeping “collective psychology” conclusion.

What Pew does show is a strong nativity/assimilation gap: foreign-born Chinese Americans are much more favorable than U.S.-born (about 45% vs 25% favorable). In a U.S. environment shaped by years of negative China framing + escalating U.S.–China rivalry, it’s unsurprising that 2nd-gen respondents feel more aligned with the U.S. than with the PRC state.

The part most Americans miss: Chinese diaspora identity is structurally politicized in a way many “stable homeland” diasporas aren’t. After 1949, “China” wasn’t just heritage—it became a contested legitimacy project (PRC vs ROC/Taiwan) amplified by Cold War suspicion and decades of geopolitical conflict. That history hard-wires division into the diaspora itself. So the data reads as cohort divergence under a unique political rupture, not some pop-psych “severance.”

[艾森 Essen @essen_ai]

多数美籍华人表示，他们对日本、台湾和韩国的看法，比对中国的看法更积极...

[艾森 Essen @essen_ai]

多数美籍华人表示，他们对日本、台湾和韩国的看法，比对中国的看法更积极...

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@isaacstonefish Many of these Chinese are actually from Hong Kong and left when British handed over Hong Kong to China. It is very natural that they are anti-China.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@AngelicaOung Not only state control media, but also state control of capital

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

At an SFO lounge before boarding for Taiwan.

Crowded space, limited complimentary food, most items priced.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@Arden_2210 48

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@michaelxpettis West keeps to use west economic model to analyze China and feel comfortable that China would collapse. May be it’s time to giveg Chinese economists some credit and learn their analysis.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@AngelicaOung @shrimphead83002 可以坐高铁，从厦门到广州。四个半小时。

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@RaghuSharmpka6 @kenmoriyasu @AsiaPolicy You are wrong. Deng might not have an advanced degree but he was selected to a work-study program in France at an age of 16. You don’t get selected if you are not smart and educated.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@RyanFedasiuk @AEI I think you should ask a different question. The Cold War is over so it would be better for the world to think how America could co-exist with China.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@ruima They implemented a new system in November which caused delay. Mine took three weeks.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@AGDugin No chance China would join C5 if Japan is in it.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@AngelicaOung For years the west sent their ships near Chinese shoreline. While US is too far Japan would be a perfect place for China to return the favor.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@ChorzempaMartin Don’t blame on China. China has to do it because west have long used these products as tools of sanctions.

[James Li @JamesLi1983]

@mightbejell0 No Indian no Chinese no women