Jeremy C. Pope

Associate Chair of Political Science @BYU; Co-Principal Investigator, Cooperative Election Study; Faculty Fellow, @BYUWheatley; Senior Scholar, @BYU_CSED.

[David A. Hopkins @DaveAHopkins]

The Dubious Theory That Working-Class Voters Want Candidates Who "Look Like Them":
https://t.co/4SFfJljfuR

[Brian Schaffner @b_schaffner]

lots of talk among Democrats about how whether and how much they need to moderate. in a new @goodauth post, i look at which candidates have actually staked out a moderate reputation in their states...one clear standout here 1/3

[Brian Schaffner @b_schaffner]

we recently upgraded the CES shiny apps...most of the improvements are aesthetic, but one notable addition is the ability to see breakdowns of the vote for governor and senate in states with large enough samples! full set of apps are here: https://t.co/uyoVTUerYj

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

Finally, all of that Gilligan's Island / Batman training in my childhood will pay off.

I must go seek this out soon ...

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

The fact that this @nytimes article does not include at least a reference to the famed Far Side cartoon panel "Cow Tools" is a travesty.

https://t.co/nT2bwm0JmM

That single cartoon panel has its own wikipedia page.

https://t.co/DYkB2RzNc0

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

Interesting post from @acbass49 on Mormon Metrics using #CES data.

https://t.co/OoQvrAQYWq

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

"For the past several years, America has been using its young people as lab rats in a sweeping, if not exactly thought-out, education experiment. Schools across the country have been lowering standards and removing penalties for failure."

Not great, Bob.

https://t.co/xcBBzEeecS

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

@mbarber83 Welcome.

[Brad Wilcox @BradWilcoxIFS]

Next Friday (11/14):
Join @dcoxpolls & me for a discussion of the 2025 American Family Survey, which reveals a growing concern among Americans about cost of living re: family formation + growing ideological polarization in family formation. @AEI https://t.co/LytjqkTRTv

[Brian Schaffner @b_schaffner]

this graph doesn't show you the error bars

the 2021 figure for trans could be anywhere from 3.8% to 8.3% (95% confidence interval)

the 2024 figure could be between 2.1% and 4.8%

so, it could be down, it could be steady, or it could even be slightly up 🤷‍♂️

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

This is why it's going to be pretty tough to fit the founding generation into our own political conflicts. Most efforts to do so (while probably well-intentioned) are going to founder (ahem!) on the fact that our political questions and ideologies don't fit theirs very well.

[Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende]

I mean you take the point, but movements we would recognize as radical existed in the 1600s/1700s were known to the Founders: Levellers/Diggers/Fifth Monarchists, etc. The Founders mostly (Paine, a few others excepted) rejected this view. 1/

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

We should care about what makes government actions legitimate or not (research with my excellent student, Rebecca Bankhead!).

https://t.co/verNrgbbSz

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

One of the best things about Wikipedia (that only college football fans know about) is checking player entries on Saturday nights.

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

I too have noticed people are less than thrilled in airports.

[Acyn @Acyn]

RFK JR: I’m looking at kids as I walk through the airports today...and I see these kids that are just overburdened with mitochondrial challenges, inflammation—you can tell from their faces, movements, and lack of social connection

[Brian Schaffner @b_schaffner]

in a new @goodauth post with @carolinelsoler using vote validated CES we show that nonvoters preferred Trump over Harris for president but Dems over Reps in down ballot races https://t.co/YzI2NUW5w3

[Deseret News Opinion @DeseretOpinion]

From wrestling to Joe Rogan to mean tweets, the Republican Party under Trump exudes testosterone — and is reveling in it. — @grahamtoday

https://t.co/LpJ6VousHW

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

@leedrutman @joshmccrain I guess my deeper suspicion is that any reform so large as to immediately and obviously disrupt is also so large as to have an easy blocking coalition. Something smaller and simpler that will have long-run effects is preferable -- though I'm not sure that RCV is that.

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

@joshmccrain @leedrutman This is the argument I have doubts about. But the long-run shift in party incentives and culture shouldn't be ignored. That is a plausible change and it would take, I suspect, several cycles to unfold.

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

@leedrutman The standard that this has to have large effects in a short time seems awfully high to me (though I'm not bullish on RCV). Lots of reforms take time to unfold. APD shows this for lots of situations.

[Jeremy C. Pope @JeremyCPope]

Does anyone else find it weird that even though Juneteenth clearly does not have an exact date we did not manage to put it on a Friday or a Monday to make a bigger more reliable holiday?

I mean Independence Day has to be the 4th, but does Juneteenth *really* need to be the 19?