$BABA $JD $KWEB $FXI
Check out this video of David Tepper on China. He is emphatic and you can tell this is a significant moment for him, and his fund.
Itโs worth watching to just witness his conviction, regardless of what you think about China stuff.
There are 6 distinct semi cycles now.
Nvidia.
The GB200 ecosystem, i.e. Amphenol.
The rest of AI.
Smartphones.
Memory.
Industrial levered analog.
They are about to wildly diverge.
@JetSkiGolfLife@BillAckman Forgive me if I'm mistaken but I thought he is a social justice warrior these days and spends most of his time fighting from the Hudson River to the Atlantic sea for a free Palestinian state with Harvard as it's capital.
Hi Bill - we're stepping in for @dkhos who's on a business trip. We pass 100% of the tip to Curb (our taxi partner), and they are required to pass the tip to the driver, usually within a day or so.
The tip isn't showing on this screen because passengers tip after the trip ends, and this screen doesn't refresh. That's why the screen says "tip may be added by passenger after trip completion" and "check trip history for final Grand Total amount".
It's not as clear as it should be for taxi drivers. This is a relatively new product for us, and we'll work with our partners to improve this screen. We're really excited about bringing @Uber demand to taxis - we believe we are better together.
I added to $CVNA all the way down in 2022, making it my largest position, and publicly shared my research and performance, despite ridicule
I looked stupid for a while, but CVNAโs superior business model is now being validated
Lesson: Being contrarian pays; think independently
Bought a bunch of $CDLX today
The market is concerned about the top-line miss stemming from a shift in pricing models
While this transition may hurt ST results, I believe it'll benefit the business in the LT. I also expect Amex's launch to lead to a major P&L inflection in '25
KKR delivering 26% gross IRR over 48 years is impressive, no matter how you cut it
Even more impressive is that none of their funds (out of 25) have lost money
22 out of 25, or 88%, have outperformed the benchmark
A year ago I left my job at a hedge fund in NY to start my own fund, Bristlemoon Capital. Some thoughts below on the journey of launching a fund (both the good and bad):
Some books I wish everyone read and internalized:
Lessons of history (will and Ariel Durant)
Upanishads (Easewaran translation)
Path of least resistance (Fritz)
Emersonโs collected essays
Labyrinths (Borges)
Bird by Bird (Lamott)
Tao te Ching
Titan (Chernow)
Sidhartha (Hesse)
Awareness (De Mello)
Anti fragile (Taleb)
All of Caro
Finite and Infinite Games (Carse)
Art of Gathering (Parker)
Score Takes Care of Itself (Walsh)
Let My People Go Surfing
Endurance (Lansing)
Setting the Table (Meyer)
7 Powers (Helmer)
Scale (West)
Shantaram (Roberts)
Bhagavad Gita
Creativity, Inc (Catmull)
War of Art (Pressfield)
Nobody Wants to Read your Sh*t
The Wisdom of Life (Schopenhauer)
Energy and Civilization (Smil)
Influence (Cialdini)
Impro (Johnston)
Poor Charlieโs Almanack
Pitch Anything (Klaff)
Alchemy (Sutherland)
Reflections on the Art of living (Campbell)
Complete works of TS Eliot
Thinking fast and slow
The prize (Yergin)
Outsiders (Thorndike)
Zero to one (Thiel)
Systems Bible (Gall)
Positioning (Ries and Trout)
1/ In 2019, a fintwit topic de jour was how Doordash was torpedoing the economics of food delivery with crazy subsidies (culminating in Grubhubโs disaster quarter of Q3 19)
Fast forward today: Doordash killed Grubhub and is now annualizing $2.5B of profits (and $1.5B ex-SBC!)
If you are interested in an analyst role, are passionate/obsessive about stocks/making money, think independently, understand behavior and are emotionally stable, DM me with a few of your top stock picks. Happy Saturday!