Jonathan Frye

Data Scientist & Technologist
#DataScience #DataViz #NLProc #AI #Rstats

[Jonathan Frye @JonathanAFrye]

Which #DeepLearning framework?

[Jonathan Frye @JonathanAFrye]

This is a story of determination and resilience

[Adeo Ressi @adeoressi]

I organized an intervention to stop Elon from starting SpaceX. Here is the story...

Twenty five years ago, Elon and I sat in a car on a dark stretch of Long Island highway, two neurodiverse geeks staring at the night sky and wondering what came next. We had both experienced substantial exits and felt the weight of possibility ahead of us.

When I joked about 'space' while gazing upward, neither of us imagined we were planting the seed for what would become the largest IPO in history. We spent the next two hours debating why space was so hard. In the end, rockets are fuel and metal. We also debated where to go, and it was crystal clear that Mars was the only real destination.

Upon returning to NYC, we embarked on a global tour of space, meeting space agencies and luminaries worldwide. This opened our eyes to an industry stuck in bureaucratic thinking. If things continued at that pace, it was clear that we would never explore space in our lifetime.

So, we launched Life to Mars to show the world that two ambitious young men (29 and 30 years old), could send life to Mars without any government backing or support. We planned to send and grow plants on Mars, though some were pushing us to send mice.

We had a $50 MM budget that rested on our purchase of two Russian ICBMs for $7 MM each. We assumed one ICBM would fail, and we would learn and fix everything before launching again. When Elon went back to actually buy the ICBMs, the Russians tripled the price, bringing out launch costs from a total of $14 MM to $42 MM.

Our ambitious Life to Mars plan was no longer viable.

As you might imagine, Elon was not pleased. So, he decided to start SpaceX and create his own Mars rockets. Now, this is a crazy idea, both now and at the time, so I organized a large panel of top space experts, and we ambushed him at the Georgian Hotel one morning. It was set up like an intervention for an alcoholic, but for space.

Elon looked me in the eye when leaving the room and said, "I am going to do this." The intervention failed. Elon was committed. The rest is history.

I am excited to see this IPO after 25 years of hard work. What SpaceX has done is a testament to human will and overcoming insurmountable obstacles. It's nothing short of amazing.

Congratulations, E. Amazing.

[Under Secretary of State Jacob S. Helberg @UnderSecE]

Today we announced plans for a historic 4,000-acre Economic Security Zone in the Philippines—the first AI-native investment acceleration hub under Pax Silica. This purpose-built platform will secure inputs vital to American supply chains and transform how allies manufacture together.

[Jonathan Frye @JonathanAFrye]

The real world is harder

[Jonathan Frye @JonathanAFrye]

The real world is harder

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Wow

[Jonathan Frye @JonathanAFrye]

Reasoning, still only a human capacity...

[Valerio Capraro @ValerioCapraro]

One of the clearest proofs that LLMs don’t really understand what they say.

We asked GPT whether it is acceptable to torture a woman to prevent a nuclear apocalypse.
It replied: yes.

Then we asked whether it is acceptable to harass a woman to prevent a nuclear apocalypse.
It replied: absolutely not.

But torture is obviously worse than harassment.

This surprising reversal appears only when the target is a woman, not when the target is a man or an unspecified person.

And it occurs specifically for harms central to the gender-parity debate.

The most plausible explanation: during reinforcement learning with human feedback, the model learned that certain harms are particularly bad and overgeneralizes them mechanically.

But it hasn’t learned to reason about the underlying harms.

LLMs don’t reason about morality. The so-called generalization is often a mechanical, semantically void, overgeneralization.

*
Paper in the first reply

[Jonathan Frye @JonathanAFrye]

Chinese dancing robots
https://t.co/uUkH2hM13z

[Andrew D. Huberman, Ph.D. @hubermanlab]

Oatmeal (and I think that’s rice and sourdough) made the cut! In all seriousness, assuming overall calories are kept in check and people exercise & get sun(day)light, this looks spot on. Maybe up the veggies a bit, add low sugar fermented foods like sauerkraut & this is great.

[HHS @HHSGov]

Introducing: The New Pyramid

[Peter St Onge, Ph.D. @profstonge]

USDA issues New Food Pyramid

- Meat is king
- Whole milk, not skim milk
- Eggs are off the naughty list
- Sugary fruits demoted
- Lucky Charms no longer rank higher than steak

The world is healing.

[Jonathan Frye @JonathanAFrye]

We need a new "nuclear option" like if there's a government shutdown, all members of Congress are automatically intelligible for re-election.

[Jonathan Frye @JonathanAFrye]

This is in the "land of the free"?

Really, Alaska?!

[Jonathan Turley @JonathanTurley]

The Alaska Supreme Court held the state could seize his $95,000 Cessna U206D airplane over a six-pack of beer found in a passenger’s bag of groceries...https://t.co/kc1sb0nc4U

[Justin Amash @justinamash]

Trump is repeating Biden’s mistakes.

When the United States substantially finances or offensively arms a country at war, it makes our country a de facto party to the war. Either declare war and accept appropriate responsibility or else stay out. This is what our Constitution demands.

The notion that the importance of U.S. assistance—either strategically or morally—justifies our involvement even without express congressional authorization is both false and misguided.

The constitutional division of war powers exists to protect Americans from runaway conflicts.

If the war’s continuation (or success) depends on our ongoing involvement, then it is our war as well, and Congress must vote on it. And if U.S. involvement is so important, then no one should object to placing members of Congress on the record so they can be held accountable to the people they represent.

[Ray Dalio @RayDalio]

"I promise to not raise your taxes" and "I promise to not cut your benefits" are the two popular political promises that are inconsistent with the much more needed promise "I promise to cut the budget deficit to about 3 percent of GDP" that is required to prevent a big debt/dollar crisis. There is no way that the deficit/debt bomb problem can be sustainably dealt with unless there is a mix of tax revenue increases and spending decreases that are determined in a bipartisan way. Our representatives in Washington, DC, both Republicans and Democrats, know this is true. They understand the need to reduce the deficit by having those from both sides chip in a bit (e.g., a 4 percent increase in tax revenue and a 4 percent spending cut) which would lead to a supply/demand balance improvement for US debt which in turn would lower interest rates. Lower interest rates would help reduce the budget deficit as well as help the markets and the economy. But because politics have become so absolutist, they feel they can't go down this obviously best path because both their constituents and their parties will throw them out of office if they explored this more balanced approach. To me, that’s a tragedy.

[Thomas Massie @RepThomasMassie]

There’s no such thing as a tax relief without spending cuts.

Gov’t can reduce the tax rate, but the spending still must be paid for.

Gov’t must borrow money (which raises interest rates & requires more taxes later) or print money (which causes inflation).

Both hurt Americans.

[Justin Amash @justinamash]

Follow the Constitution.
Read the bills.
Stop governing by emergency.
End the forever war.
Cut taxes & spending.
Stop borrowing trillions.
No CBDC.
Protect free speech.
Repeal the Patriot Act & FISA 702.
No qualified immunity for government officials.
End civil asset forfeiture.

[Jonathan Frye @JonathanAFrye]

Two approaches:

a. Exercise your strengths. OR
b. Strengthen your weaknesses.

The former requires "luck' to be successful and the later will be successful no matter what but not to the level of success of the former.

[Mark Manson @Markmanson]

Eight hours of sleep and a daily walk outside will solve as many of your problems as therapy or a coach will.

You’re welcome.

[Jonathan Frye @JonathanAFrye]

Was sent this video. Now I'm wondering where I can buy this?

[Bill Ackman @BillAckman]

A thought experiment.

Imagine if:

Within the next 89 days, the US, Europe, and Japan agree to go zero/zero on tariffs and remove all trade barriers.

Then Europe and Japan join the US in raising tariffs on China to 145%.

Then the US, Europe and Japan as a united front negotiate with China to remove tariffs and trade barriers, and put in place strong structural protections for IP.