Christian Kaylor

Oregonian, Economist, obsessed with the Portland Economy. Have a policy of not interacting with anonymous accounts.

[Christian Kaylor @KaylorChristian]

@TheCinesthetic

[Christian Kaylor @KaylorChristian]

@TheCinesthetic

[Christian Kaylor @KaylorChristian]

@jodiecongirl @tekprime99 Ran this scenario through https://t.co/BgbtU4ynPN. Following this strategy with 100% in the S&P 500, she would have wiped out her savings in 12 years if she started in 2000.

To be fair, this strategy has maybe a 75% chance of being sustainable over a 25 year period.

[Kevin A. Bryan @Afinetheorem]

On USA250: 2026 is lowest murder rate in US history, highest median income, smallest black-white income gap, highest life expectancy, dominant firms in critical AI industry, net energy independence, and mobility so that immigrants run MSFT, Google, NVIDIA. SpaceX, Uber and Coke.

[Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 @JosephPolitano]

Metro job data is in today, & 27 of the 50 largest metros have gained jobs over the last year

Fastest: Raleigh (2.2%), SLC (2.1%), Vegas (2.1%), Fresno (2%), San Jose (1.5%)

Slowest: DC (-3%), Portland (-2.8%), Providence (-1.2%), Indianapolis (-1.1%), VA Beach (-1%)

[Christian Kaylor @KaylorChristian]

@umichvoter What until you find out who was Colorado’s Senator before Bennett. https://t.co/DN3Wz1bA4k

[Christian Kaylor @KaylorChristian]

@xenocryptsite @ProfBrettWilson @ImNotOwned Widow’s Bay did an episode about the Mayor going for a swim as a public relations event last month.

[Christian Kaylor @KaylorChristian]

@KhoaVuUmn

[Christian Kaylor @KaylorChristian]

This is the first time America has EVER had to defend ourselves against existential evil.

…except for when my cousin fought the Axis of Evil in 2004.

…and when my Dad got drafted to fight the domino effect in Vietnam.

…and when my Uncle fought the Red Chinese in Korea

The propaganda never really changes.

[Josh Lehner @lehnerjw]

West Coast relative affordability is improving as rest of country gets more expensive at a faster rate. I’m just skeptical it will really revive migration flows given post pandemic world, but definitely helps on the margin

[Jeremy Horpedahl 🥚📉 @jmhorp]

In 1985 it took 4.7 years of work for the median worker to purchase the median home. In 2025 it took 6.6 years.

This is an increase, and of course there is geographic variation, but going from 4 to 27 years would be a huge outlier.

[John Horvick @horvick]

Oregon likely has already passed peak kid.

[Eric Basmajian @EPBResearch]

Construction payrolls are the most important employment indicator in the entire labor market.

Here's why:

1/

[Scott Lincicome @scottlincicome]

"America is at peak 18, and the number of 18-year-olds will fall 14% over the coming decade" https://t.co/bocFuSo5TY

[Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 @JosephPolitano]

State jobs data was released today—30 states, PR, DC, & VI have lost jobs since 2025 as the labor market slows

Fastest Growth: Nevada (1.9%), Idaho (1.4%), NC (1%), California (0.8%), Texas (0.7%)

Slowest: DC (-5.4%), VI (-3.8%), Maryland (-1.9%), Oregon (-1.3%), NH (-1.2%)

[Christian Kaylor @KaylorChristian]

@texasrunnerDFW @NewYorker I was about to say that college education is an exception. But now that I think about it…

[Christian Kaylor @KaylorChristian]

@waitbutwhy @cesifoti

[Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 @JosephPolitano]

Data released today shows 28 states, DC, & VI have lost jobs since 2025 as the labor market slows

Fastest Growth: Nevada (2.2%), Idaho (0.8%), Puerto Rico (0.8%), N. Carolina (0.7%), Utah (0.7%)

Slowest: DC (-5.7%), VI (-4.7%), Maryland (-2%), Oregon (-1.2%), Virginia (-1.2%)

[Marc Porter Magee 🎓 @marcportermagee]

I don’t think people have fully absorbed just how big the declines in student enrollment are going to be.

Eight states are projected to experience DOUBLE DIGIT declines by 2031.

[Jim Russell @ProducerCities]

Conceptual framework of cascading migration by @lehnerjw