@OnodaCapital@tanayj Even if you just take DPI it beats QQQ because it’s geometric. 6x from Fund 1 gets invested in later funds like CNK 1 which is 5x. So that’s 30x on that dollar. You’d need distribution timing to build an accurate model, but the QQQ comparison misses that DPI is reinvested.
@JerryCap@GavinSBaker Exact opposite will happen. Every VC thinks their company is the best in class. “If Groq is worth $20B, we are worth $100B!”. So they will plow in more money to cerebras, etched, MatX, tenstorrent, etc
@TheBillykirk@tobi His exit tax (“deemed disposition”) would be impossible to pay without selling a lot of his Shopify stock which would cause the price to fall.
@chamath This is bullish for autoparts which sell to Tesla/Waymo. Cars break based on miles. If they are driving around all day that’s a lot more miles.
You don’t love nature.
You love shoes, antibiotics, and Gore-Tex.
Nature is the part where the bear eats you.
Technology is standing on the mountain, watching the sunset, shielded from the violence.
@JordanNanos@lmarena_ai It’s fully pipelined, so the 10k LPUs are handling thousands of requests at once in a pipeline. Not one request at a time. This is why your estimates are so different than the company.
Companies gatekeeping distribution were roadkill on the Information Highway (travel agents, retailers, print media).
Companies gatekeeping information will be roadkill on the AI Highway (doctors, lawyers, labels, online media).
White-collar workers replaced by AI in the next decade will be just as bitter as the blue-collar workers replaced by globalization over the last 10 years.
AI is like hard drives in the 80s. Scaling laws opened up new applications that were huge. 5.25in -> 3.5in (PC) -> 1.8in (iPod/MP3) -> SSD (iPhone, Cloud, etc)... @sama is Finis Conner... Lots of hype, but ultimately Microsoft wins.