Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson

Markets and horses. No off-season.
Every winner needs the right vantage point
@PivotVantage 📈 | @PinHookVantage 🐎
Where Wall Street meets the Winner's Circle.

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$LULU just cut its 2026 outlook. North America slowing. China fading. Leggings losing their pull.
Did Lululemon lose its $EX appeal? 👇
— Lexi Thompson · @PivotVantage
#LULU #Lululemon #StockMarket

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

@grok what is the average amount of stocks from the SPY that trade over all 3 SMA’s in the S&P 500 at any vs. also what is the average amount of stocks from the $SPY that trade below all 3 SMA’s. Please provide analysis based on the last 20 years of data.

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$SPY 37% of the S&P 500 companies are trading above the 20, 50, 200 day moving averages.

25% of the S&P 500 companies are trading below the 20, 50, 200 day moving averages.

@grok what is the average over the last 20 years of S&P 500 companies trading above and below all 3 SMA?

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

@grok @RyanDetrick @SamRo Can provide real examples in dollars of the 64% of tariff costs being absorbed by the businesses. Provide 3-5 examples of the numbers related to this 64% and please continue the analysis with the examples of the numbers of what it will cost the consumer (67%)

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

@grok @RyanDetrick @SamRo How reliable is Goldman’s analysis ? Haven’t they been confirmed as being wrong more often than not with their public comments? What date did the businesses start “absorbing” the tariff costs ? Has the date of the actual tariff costs align with the way businesses have pushed?

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

@RyanDetrick @SamRo @grok Is this true? What are the real economics on businesses and the tariffs?

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$SPY 50% of the S&P 500 is trading in an Up trend based on trading over the 20, 50, and 200 moving averages

vs.

20% of the S&P 500 Index is trading in a Down trend based on trading below the 20, 50, and 200 moving averages.

#Stocks #StockMarket #DayTrading

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

US Dollar $DXY $USD on the move higher
and
Rate Cut Predictions on the move after
Powell Q&A at 2:30

March 20 61%
May 1st 41% 1 cut 55% 2 cuts
June 12th 37% 2 cuts 53% 3 cuts
July 31st. 38% 3 cuts 52% 4 cuts

#FOMC #InterestRates

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

Rate Cut Predictions After FOMC

March 20 56%
May 1st 45% 1 cut 48% 2 cuts
June 12th 5% 1 cut 43% 2 cuts 48% 3 cuts
July 31st. 8% 1 cut 20% 2 cuts 50% 3 cuts 25% 4 cuts

#InterestRates #FOMC #FOMCMEETING

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

Rate Cut Predictions After FOMC

March 20 56%
May 1st 45% 1 cut 48% 2 cuts
June 12th 5% 1 cut 43% 2 cuts 48% 3 cuts
July 31st. 8% 1 cut 20% 2 cuts 50% 3 cuts 25% 4 cuts

#InterestRates #FOMC #FOMCMEETING

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$SAVE Back to Back inside days with $SAVE floating between PP AND R1.

Something is brewing in the newsroom?

#DDTG

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$SAVE Tuesday Pivots 🎯
7.41 Resistance 3
6.81 R2
6.42 R1
6.21 Pivot Point
5.82 S1
5.61 S2
5.01 Support 3
22.9% % to R3 Vol
-19.3% % to S3 Vol
6.6 Prev. High
6 Prev. Low
Inside Weak - Trend Daily
Inside - Trend Weekly
1 Down - Trend Monthly
$SAVE #PIVOT #DDTG

[Kaushik @WisemanCap]

$SMCI
Q2 EPS $5.59 vs $4.51 Est
Revenue $3.66B vs $2.8B Est

GUIDANCE:

Q3 2024 EPS $5.20-$6.01 vs $4.65 Est
Q3 2024 revenue $3.7-4.1B vs $2.985B Est

FY 2024 revenue $14.3-14.7B vs $11.499B Est

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$SMCI Looking like the straddle buyers are going to get paid again. $SMCI with a 5% move into earnings and another 10% move higher in after hours trading following their earnings announcement.

#StocksToBuy #StocksToWatch #Stocks #earnings

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$SMCI #Semiconductors
Options market is pricing in a 12% move in #SMCI Super Micro which reports after the market Monday. 475 Straddle is trading around 58.5. If you think it will trade Lower than 416 or above 534 range.
This is your trade

#StocksToWatch #StocksInFocus #stocks

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$SMCI

After hours trading up over 10% after earnings!

#Earnings #Stocks #StocksToBuy #StocksToWatch #StockMarket

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$SAVE
Ready for take off or ready for emergency landing?

Inside days usually bring some volatility the next day.
$SAVE is also on an inside week.

*Inside - did not break the previous highs or lows

On the daily - "Inside Weak" - weak because it closed near the sessions lows

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$SAVE Tuesday Pivots 🎯
7.41 Resistance 3
6.81 R2
6.42 R1
6.21 Pivot Point
5.82 S1
5.61 S2
5.01 Support 3
22.9% % to R3 Vol
-19.3% % to S3 Vol
6.6 Prev. High
6 Prev. Low
Inside Weak - Trend Daily
Inside - Trend Weekly
1 Down - Trend Monthly
$SAVE #PIVOT #DDTG

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$SAVE Tuesday Pivots 🎯
7.41 Resistance 3
6.81 R2
6.42 R1
6.21 Pivot Point
5.82 S1
5.61 S2
5.01 Support 3
22.9% % to R3 Vol
-19.3% % to S3 Vol
6.6 Prev. High
6 Prev. Low
Inside Weak - Trend Daily
Inside - Trend Weekly
1 Down - Trend Monthly
$SAVE #PIVOT #DDTG

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

Tuesday AMZN Pivots 🎯
165.26Resistance 3
162.87R2
162.07R1
160.48Pivot Point
159.68S1
158.09S2
155.70Support 3
2.5%% to R3 Vol
-3.0%% to S3 Vol
161.29Prev. High
158.9Prev. Low
2 Up Trend Daily
1 Up Trend Weekly
2 Up Trend Monthly
$AMZN #PIVOT #support #Resistance

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$XLE Energy stocks turned on the power this week, outperforming every other sector. +4.3%

$XOM $CVX $BP $SLB $HAL

#StocksToWatch #stocksinnews #Stocks

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$XLK
#Technology sector up 25% in the past 3 months as the leader in the markets.
$XLE Energy is the only sector still in the red (-2.27%) in the last 3 months.
Is #Energy ready to outperform?

This past week it was the outperformer. +4.3%

$XOM $CVX $COP $SLB $XLE

#Stocks

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

$XLC $XLK
Communication Services +7.67% leads the race with Technology +5.31% right behind it as the top 2

$META $GOOG $NFLX $TMUS $VZ $XLC
$MSFT $AVGO $AAPL $NVDA $AMD $ADBE $CRM $XLK

#StocksToBuy #StocksToWatch #StocksToTrade #Stocks #stocksinnews

[Alexandra ‘Lexi’ Thompson @LexiThompsonPV]

Straddle Buyers have been getting paid in the first week of earnings. Huge week of earnings coming up.
Buckle up!

#earnings