Mike Weekley

Chances last a finite time.

[Marvelous Videos @VideosMarvelous]

I never thought I'd have to make this post on X, but that day has finally come. @TeamYouTube, our 8-year-old channel, Marvelous Videos (https://t.co/dYYu69shUU), with 1.5 Million Subscribers, has been demonetized for the past 115 days under the claim of "inauthentic content."

[Le'Veon Bell @LeVeonBell]

the older I get, the more I realize, peace is the real flex ..

[ThomPete @Hello_World]

It's hard to truly understand how radical some of @DavidDeutschOxf theories are compared to much of modern scientific consensus.

One of Davids most controversial but valuable contributions to society is the rejection of probability (with the exception ex. card games) as an expression of truthiness or justified beliefs when applied to predictions or conclusions.

There is no probability of how likely we are to be hit by a meteor tomorrow.
There is no probability of how likely the stock market is going to be doing as well tomorrow as it is today.
There is no P(Doom), no percentage you can put on whether AI is likely to wipe out humanity or not.

Things either happen or they don't and we can either explain why they will and how or we can't.

All attempts at putting percentage on a prediction is really just guesswork dressed up as reasoning.

If a meteor is going to hit us tomorrow it's already on the way and the probability is 100%.

If the stock market is going to crash tomorrow the reasons for it's crash have already been put in motion maybe decades before.

If the AI is going to kill us all depends on what we decide to do with it not what some calculation says.

Davids primary critique is for the field of science but it goes beyond that.

Far too many of decisions done in modern society is based around the false certainty of using Bayesian probability. It's like a placebo for a society that demands certainty in an uncertain world. It's not just false it's regressive as it slows down knowledge creation.

The only thing that can change the outcome of the future is the creation of new knowledge. Knowledge based on good explanations that are hard to vary.

We can create knowledge that allow us to divert the meteor before it hits earth.
We can create knowledge that will allow us to hinder a crash of the stock market (both directly or indirectly)
We can create knowledge that let us evolve side by side with very powerful AI instead of enslaving it or be enslaved by it.

Like everything else in life there are no guarantees but there are definitely better or worse ways to deal with uncertainty, probability just isn't one of them.

[Naval @naval]

You Have to Enjoy It a Lot

[Reads with Ravi @readswithravi]

“You escape competition through authenticity.” - @naval

[Mike Weekley @MikeWeekley]

If you know someone with #Alzheimer's, you know how important it is to fight for a cure. I'm participating in the 2024 @alzassociation Walk to End Alzheimer's in support of my mother. Please read this article to learn more about supporting this cause. https://t.co/rG6mWLLF1E

[Jim Gaffigan @JimGaffigan]

I post this every year on 9-11. No words. #remebering911

[Bernhard Rannegger @BRannegger]

I can't stop thinking about this graph:

You feel miserable because you focus on the black.

The moment you realize that you only control 'today' and how you choose to live the green:

― You take back control.

Concentrate on the green.

/ Graphic by Tim Urban (waitbutwhy)

[Kamal Ravikant @kamalravikant]

The best investment for 2024.

[Mike Weekley @MikeWeekley]

@e4health can you follow me back so I can send you a personal dm? Thank you!

[Siddha Performance @KapilGuptaMD]

THE MYTH OF MINIMALISM

https://t.co/Qb7ceYFAr0

[Paul Reed @Bball_paul]

If you gone quit anything this year quit hating

[David Greene @fearless_greene]

You can be inspired by someone else…don’t try to BE them.

❤️ the message @CarliLloyd !

[Siddha Performance @KapilGuptaMD]

LOST IN THE CULTURE

https://t.co/idDv1h0jcw

[Evan Brandt @PottstownNews]

Incredible editorial by @ByNancyMarch that only a #LocalNews paper could write with honesty.

Pottstown comes together in aftermath of explosion that killed 5 https://t.co/ScZ1PmCfKj "This is not a town with the divisions that plague other more well-off places." @JohnJarmato

[Dave, @davegilmartin]

Evan is the one-man newsroom that stands between a hedge fund newspaper owner who doesn’t give a damn about Pottstown and a complete lack of local news coverage, like a house explosion.

Most towns don’t even have an Evan anymore.

[Mike Weekley @MikeWeekley]

@consequence @wearephoenix

[Wes Kao 🏛 @wes_kao]

You might think “I’m still absorbing, I shouldn’t speak up yet."

But your fresh perspective is one of the most valuable things you bring.

Don’t shy away from sharing what you’re noticing.

[Naval @naval]

https://t.co/gBfBY8kZ3g