Nils1975

[Research & Invest @R_and_Invest]

$META

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

Infineon w/a pretty bad quarter...rev/guide max in-line w/buy side, margins below. But AI (spoiler in the slides that they raise the '27 AI guide materially, a next Q thing i guess) and orders (>2x b2b, backlog +5B q/q implies ~9B in orders) might save the day imo... https://t.co/E9agKmOOst slide 55 + slide 67

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@aleabitoreddit https://t.co/ObTfR4Y0ta baml sees 5B rev in humanoids by 2035. Mkt cap 9B, ~5B for core automotive & industrial biz, i'd say 1-1.5B for defense & space opportunities, so ~2.5-3B for the humanoids biz...to be fair in 2027 humanoid revs only gonna be in the area of 100M

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@DivesTech @SquawkStreet why Cincinnati outperforming Cupertino so much this year? Is that the better staple?

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@hmeisler @sharkbiotech SUNW, csco, emc, nortel (?) maybe

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@jimcramer if said buy anything (tech) else prob much better

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@3PeaksTrading where u goin'?

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@OptionsHawk $AAOI had ~30%q/q datacenter growth and guides to further 70% q/q growth in segment...from a narrative "DC" is now "AI"...bodes well for multiple expansions (AI) and est raises (upcycle) at other optical cos. $COHR $LITE... $MTSI also guided dc q/q + 50%...maybe a theme? n=2

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

Dan Ives 🦄yday initiated $PLTR at o/p w/PT $25 calling it the "Messi of AI", 2y ago pbly would have called it the "Belichick of SPACs"...2.5y ago the "LeBron of AI"...ah, wait he actually used that one for his Jan'21 init of $AI w/PT $200, cut to neutral in May'22 w/PT $16 🤡

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@MuppetTrading if 20% of the obese (~40% of US) would use GLP-1 drugs, that could be up to a 2% headwind to food consumption imo (20% x 40% x 15% = 1.2% x factor these obese consume more than average)

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@VetTechTrader was 32% y/y in Q1'21

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@sharkbiotech 3x in the 90s

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@trader_53 Haha

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@VetTechTrader it is, around FY27, in a reasonable bull case :-)

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@knockouttrader Haha, dafür mal den ganzen Dax shorten... fällt denen das eigentlich auf?

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@VetTechTrader @CapitalObserver ASP the only other highlight, but will already come in (prob by a lot) next q, also think it's funny that u don't hear of cFX growth now that it is a tailwind (guess e.g. service growth is just in the low to mid teens cFX now vs 20%+ cagr guidance...also helps the ASP)

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@CapitalObserver so basically to back there it was? or how much is the reduction now across the S&P 500 (5-6%?)

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@CapitalObserver @VetTechTrader imo it's the tax rate...seems like a huge surprise at 15% for fy18. should lead to a derating tho on the decel over time

[Nils1975 @Nils1975]

@VetTechTrader guidance at street low, tax rate below wildest dreams. Overall OI cut by ~10% vs tax uplift by 14% leads ~to current a/h price