Investor. World-curious. Change & progress. Ambitious, in pursuit of freedom. Libertarian.
Sharing my investment journey transparently - Not Financial Advice
Small rebranding and reorganisation of the site.
There are now three distinct sections. The transparent portfolio, with all positions still shared openly, remains there, but I’ve now added Macro and Valuation sections for the curious.
I’ll keep populating and improving everything gradually, as I see fit.
Still completely free: no paywall, no registration, and fully transparent.
🔗 https://t.co/HhaRnUe1rb
@_CryptoSapiens_ Yes, I’d say their influence is visible, as I noted in the post below a few months ago. The real question is the direction of causality: are they buying because the price pumps, or does the price pump because they’re buying? Probably a bit of both. https://t.co/fIZlqMx8uO
#Bitcoin the influence of the ETFs on BTC price action is quite undeniable lately.
🔸ETFs Assets Under Management (AUM) topped in October → BTC topped in October
🔸ETFs Assets Under Management (AUM) Bottomed in February → BTC Bottomed in February
🔸ETFs Assets Under Management (AUM) bounced till mid May → BTC bounced till mid May
🔸ETFs Assets Under Management (AUM) Bottomed in June ?? → BTC Bottomed in June ???
In basic words:
🔸ETFs sells their coins - BTC dumps
🔸ETFs buys BTC - BTC pumps
Our latest research paper explores the growing connection between AI and digital assets and explains why broad AI adoption may drive new demand, utility and applications across the digital asset economy. https://t.co/z5T88Orble
You are free to complicate things. Looking at a chart like this all I can see is an uptrend that recently broke out of a 20 year-long consolidation.
The boundary at 4.75 is the new long-term support. #COPPER
All over X, I'm reading #COPPER prices plunge...
Look at this trend and tell me if there was a less volatile period in this uptrend over the past year and a half.
@karlbooklover@ChifoiCristian Cheers! shown all the Shmita years on the very long term chart to get an idea of how it looks historically (it's not a 100% correction periods during these periods but still often)
@karlbooklover Not really having more than diving into it with an LLM. But the account who raised my awareness of it was @ChifoiCristian maybe you can dive his posts. Cheers
$COIN Coinbase gave us multiple opportunities to fill our buy orders around the ~$140 horizontal level. As shared transparently, I personally took advantage of those opportunities in June and July.
It's great to see the stock trading around $200 now, but the next challenge is to break through the key $210-$220 resistance area, which has been tested several times this year and rejected us on every occasion.
Current position: ~+51% unrealized P&L.
@MrNazir777 Hi, check out the below chart I don’t have a chart with targets for others alone. Maybe I’ll do one later. For now you can refer to the below. Cheers
People will find it hard to believe that an Altseason is coming, because they never got the one they expected this cycle.
Time has done its job perfectly, slowly eating away all their belief and hope until the very end (time capitulation?)
Yet, in my view, the probability of an Altseason happening is higher than that of it not happening. At this stage, it's only a matter of patience and being smart with your risk management.
Leverage on alts? Really not for me.
Patience and conviction.
$Others Altcoins gave us a failed Head & Shoulders pattern. Failed breakdown below the neckline, neckline now recovered and retested.
"A failed Head and Shoulders pattern occurs when the price breaks through the neckline (signaling a reversal) but quickly reverses and moves back past the pattern's boundary, turning into a powerful continuation of the original trend."
Quietly smiling lately, watching some accounts walk back their old mockery and overconfident calls, sometimes bordering on dishonesty and rewriting history.
But now, with Grok, it's easier than ever to dig through timelines and fact check past statements.
Unless, of course, those posts have conveniently disappeared.
The market humbles everyone. Being wrong is part of the game. Nobody is right 100% of the time. I don't see the point in pretending to be right all the time (unless farming engagement is the whole point).
Stay humble, stay open to being wrong, think in probabilities, and be willing to discuss and challenge your own ideas, especially with people who hold opposing views and engage respectfully.
That's at least what I'm trying to do.
Given the early 2026 correction, the probability that the Midterm Election correction period got pulled forward has increased.
Instead of the avg. -17% correction ahead of the Midterm, it may be far less and or simply jump over the plunge-period had of Election Day. So far..
$SPY $QQQ $DIA base:0x38f9bf9dce51833ec7f03c9dc218197999999999 $IWM $BTC $GLD $VIX