@NathanBomey@robertjdenault Spoilers arent always right. They've been wrong before. They weren't this year but I almost guarantee one of these markets is gonna have a big flip.
I lost betting on 2nd half overs in the CLE-NY game last night. Kalshi argued that 2nd half only includes regulation time, even though their full rules state overtime points are included unless explicitly excluded, and every sportsbook I know includes OT in 2H lines.
Seem fair?
Been fun playing the Survivor market this year. I do think the bonders are going to get burned on some reality show by some fake info eventually.. looks like its not this year (or is it? - we'll see tonight)
@jmichaelparty@probaaron Yes you are correct it moved to Feb 26 on December 20. Additionally, it moved to Mar 26 on Jan 21. I dont get what your disagreement is... on Jan 15 the front-month was Feb 26.
@slyscooter@probaaron Front-Month is the next month to expiration. On Jan 15, the Feb '25 contract was still open (expired on Jan 21). Therefore the Feb '25 contract was the front-month, on Jan 15.