Spent the last few months doing R&D on arbitrage between prediction markets.
The idea: buy "Up" on one platform, "Down" on the other, for the same BTC 5-min window. If priced right, you lock in profit no matter which way BTC moves.
Here's what happened. π§΅
Parking this β midterms first. But prediction markets + low-latency execution is something I want to keep building in as one income stream among others.
More R&D soon.
Lesson: paper P&L only means something once you've modeled real execution β chain confirmation, not just your code's speed. "Risk-free" on a spreadsheet can still lose to latency.
Built a bot that streams BTC price straight from Binance, predicts direction, and fires into https://t.co/Xsnc7iLtGc's order book. Ran the server in Tokyo to shave every millisecond of latency I could.
@0x_exit This is completely fake, as polymarket takes a delay 0f 250 ms and in this duration market maker reprice the market as there is a big gap or big jump, also poly 5 min window resolve from the 60 second twap of chainlink.