SF Lawson

[Helen Andrews @herandrews]

The racial hysteria of 2020 didn’t come out of nowhere. Two trends have been building for decades to force American race relations to a crossroads. We can choose a different path, or we will end up with permanent 2020 by default. https://t.co/RM5fYeE5S1

[Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 @lymanstoneky]

In the future, birth rates may stabilize. Or they may rise.

Or, they may keep declining.

Shockingly, public forecasting bodies have mostly refused to project that third scenario.

In a new @FamStudies report, we do. It's a dire possibility.
https://t.co/E7ibkkgpr6

[Jamie Sarkonak @sarkonakj]

In 2022, Edmonton stopped airdropping bacteria into water bodies to control mosquitoes to comfortable levels, opting for a more "natural" strategy involving bats and dragonflies.

There were many problems with this, including:
- Bats barely eat mosquitoes; mosquitoes aren't the preferred food of (adult) dragonflies either
- City officials considered breeding Alberta bat species in captivity — which is virtually impossible (scientists have tried for years with no success)
- The city never presented evidence that the bacterial treatments harmed local ecology in the first place

It was a decision based on feelings, not science, and in an extremely rainy year like 2026, it means for unmitigated swarms. It's a lot like Europe's bizarre opposition to air conditioning: both compromise health and enjoyment to placate a few people's romantic notions of an unmanaged environment. My column: https://t.co/6IFeB38F8I

[Meb Faber @MebFaber]

A bull market in earnings...EM is on fire

via @SchrodersUS

https://t.co/2lx4L2Go1k

[Clifford Asness @CliffordAsness]

As usual, read Owen.

[Jeff Weniger @JeffWeniger]

More than half the S&P 500's total value is now in stocks priced above 10x sales. This was once considered an outlandish valuation, as it leaves little room for error. The list includes Nvidia, Apple, GOOG, MSFT, Broadcom, Tesla, Micron, Eli Lilly, AMD, Oracle and 57 more.

[Ben Rabidoux @BenRabidoux]

Fill out the survey. Have your say—>

2026 consultations on immigration levels - https://t.co/5c8E9BnPXW https://t.co/llgsbkk8R3

[Dr. Rhonda Patrick @foundmyfitness]

I am totally committed to getting a standing desk.

This conversation with Kelly Starrett convinced me.

Sitting isn't necessarily bad. Standing (and more movement in general) is good. But desks give you almost no movement options. So how can we create more movement choice during the workday?

If you have a standing desk, it helps to make it an actual movement station. That means having something to put a foot on so you can shift your pelvis and spine out of the same static position, and ideally a bar stool or perch so you can lean, sit, prop a foot up, or change positions easily.

That’s the real benefit of a good desk setup. Not that you’re standing all day, but that you’re no longer locked into one posture.

From the latest episode of the FoundMyFitness podcast with @thereadystate.

[David Beckworth @DavidBeckworth]

“The EU is not one economy moving slowly. It is two economies moving in opposite directions, and the disagreement about which story is true is really a disagreement about which Europe you are looking at.” Great article from @lugaricano https://t.co/e4ndiSLV7h

[Eric Kaufmann @epkaufm]

Yes, but there appears to be some female deradicalization in the latest (2024) data for 18-year olds entering college.

Also note that young women moved 6 pts toward Trump between 2020 and 2024:

[Hoover Institution @HooverInst]

Hoover Senior Fellow Ross Levine and @EconTalker examine Adam Smith's insight that humans desire not only to be loved but to be genuinely praiseworthy.

Watch the full episode of EconTalk here: https://t.co/l35Hf8f5m5

[Max @minordissent]

This was definitely one of my biggest red pills in life. I always thought i was rational and logical and was objectively assessing reality. Once i realized everyone is compressing out 99.999% of the data and thus are operating almost entirely on bullshit core premises that make micro level rationality irrelevant, and thus that just believing what is most effective regardless of its truth value is not any less objective, i started doing that and my life has only improved every day since.

[wil @WillbBTC]

what's it like to be an oil & gas analyst these days ?

[Richard Dias @RichardDias_CFA]

Canadian Youth Unemployment is in the news again. The data speaks for itself. Youth participation rates were stable for years until this government changed immigration rules to favour younger, less-experienced people (see BOC paper https://t.co/6T3FLDSaMm )

[Paxtysk @Maptysk]

PROTO-INDO-EUROPEAN MIGRATIONS:
The Yamnaya Culture, Animated.

This Culture, and its brother or descendant the Corded Ware, are the Ethnolinguistic Ancestors of all of the Indo European Languages spoken today, spoken by approx. 3.4 billion people today.

[Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 @lymanstoneky]

Can sharing a last name save your marriage?

Couples who share a surname:
1) Divorce 30-60% less
2) Stick together 2-4 years longer even if they do eventually divorce
3) Have slightly higher reported relationship quality Sorry

@JillFilipovic -- it may be worth considering!

[Daniel Foch @danielfoch]

Canada launches national initiative to build large-scale AI supercomputing capacity

https://t.co/RKNE849dGk

[Scarlett Maguire @Scarlett__Mag]

Strikingly, young women are *a lot* more negative about the opposite gender than young men.

✴️U30 women are 3x as likely to hold a negative view of young men than the other way around

✴️Just 35% of u25 women hold a positive view, only 11% a very positive view

[Anish Moonka @anishmoonka]

The research behind this is wild. Your sperm carries a set of instructions that tell your genes when to turn on and off. A Duke University study found that THC rewrites those instructions. The more weed in your system, the bigger the changes. It goes straight for the genes your future embryo needs in its first week of life.

I had to read the "day 3 crash" part twice. For the first three days after fertilization, an embryo runs entirely on the mother's DNA. Day 3, the father's genes switch on. If those genes carry cannabis damage, the embryo just stops growing. Fertility doctors see this happen in their labs: embryos that fertilized fine and looked healthy on day 2 go completely still by day 5.

Boston University tracked 1,535 couples trying to have a baby. Men who smoked weed once a week or more doubled their partner's miscarriage risk. That number held up even when the woman herself never touched cannabis. And the miscarriages clustered in the first 8 weeks, right when the father's damaged DNA would be doing the most harm.

Duke also found that the specific genes THC alters in sperm overlap with genes linked to autism. One of those genes, called DLGAP2, helps brain cells communicate with each other. It was changed in cannabis users' sperm. When researchers bred THC-exposed male rats and checked their offspring, the same altered gene pattern showed up in the pups' brains. The damage crossed a generation.

Weed has gotten way stronger over the last 30 years. THC content was about 4% in the 1990s but nearly quadrupled to 15% by 2018, and modern dispensary strains regularly sit at 20-30%. Concentrates go up to 95%.

Quitting for about 11 weeks (one full cycle of sperm production) reverses some of the DNA changes. Not all of them. Duke's lead researcher says men should stop at least 6 months before trying for a baby. Half of your kid's genetic blueprint comes from you, and right now, THC is editing that blueprint before conception even happens.

[First Things @firstthingsmag]

The Myth of the Independent Girlboss
by Inez Stepman @InezFeltscher
https://t.co/nQVs5kr3Ep