Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️

An ESRC-funded academic study of voting in Scotland

Team
@ailsa_henderson @RobJohns75 @cjcarman @jaclarner @frasmcm @eichhorn_jan

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

The post-election talks continue with roadshow dates next week!

⛴️ Oban - Monday 8th June
🎻 Ullapool - Tuesday 9th June
🏰 Inverness - Wednesday 10th June

More details and registration ⬇️

https://t.co/ruA9QYMAXu

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

📅 BACK AT IT TONIGHT 6PM IN GLASGOW

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 A nation votes: What the 2026 election reveals about Scotland

📍Senate Room, Main Building, University of Glasgow

💻 Also available via livestream

https://t.co/TBgAudLYDQ

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

📅 SES EVENT TODAY 2PM

📊 What happened in the 2026 Scottish Elections?

📍 Edinburgh Futures Institute, Room 2.35

https://t.co/g1UyZQi8li

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

🆕 A rapid response blog on Scots' views about the mandate for an independence referendum and the political realities facing the SNP from @ailsa_henderson

https://t.co/SD2a56lbcN

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

🚨 SES Annual Lecture 2026

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Prof. Richard Wyn Jones

🥀 The Decline and Fall of Welsh Labour

🕗 6PM, 23rd of May

📍 Usha Kasera Lecture Theatre, University of Edinburgh

Sign up https://t.co/5BzLfyOSjh

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

In this week's blog, @cjcarman discusses our data on Scottish voter awareness and concern surrounding the digital information environment 📱🗞️

Are Scots worried about fake news? Find out below on our well-trusted blog ⤵️

https://t.co/Yj7xdnnoXh

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

@frasmcm Highlights 🔦

- Folk are quite pessimistic about the state of the country
- The SNP's core support base is losing faith
- But the party's continued dominance of that camp is boosting their chances
- Independence attitudes remain strongly polarised by age cohort

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

New blog 📰🗳️

What's the mood of the country going into the election? Which issues do voters have in mind? Why are the SNP still favourites to win? And what about independence?

@frasmcm's new long read reviews trends in public opinion since 2021 🍦

https://t.co/gu5cBin8fe

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

Four weeks to go! 🗳️

We'll be publishing analysis on our blog every Thurs + Tues, looking at data beyond the immediate horse-race 🏇📊

First up, @cjcarman on what Scots think about changes to voting rights in recent years!

https://t.co/TgydfjsqSw

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

@MeanwhileScotia @MattyBall93 full February dataset is not yet available but core measures including PTV are in the latest Scoop tracker here (format is Stata .dta file)

https://t.co/YlVNfUJzEL

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

@ammacj @mcmotors23 @JamesKelly @BritainElects @ElectionMapsUK @LeftieStats @bellacaledonia appreciate it 😇🗳️

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

@mcmotors23 @ammacj @JamesKelly @BritainElects @ElectionMapsUK @LeftieStats @bellacaledonia the Scottish Greens mathematically cannot get 11% since they're running in so few constituencies now, but that was announced right before we signed off on the questionnaire

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

@mcmotors23 @ammacj @JamesKelly @BritainElects @ElectionMapsUK @LeftieStats @bellacaledonia hiya, we're an independent academic project

the seat projections are not our own, they're extrapolations from our data

we offered Scottish Green constituency vote option to all respondents since this is the way we've run vote intention in every survey since 2021

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

@MikePicken57 @TamTomney66078 @LeftieStats @indy_swim @scottishgreens @UKLabour @AnasSarwar it's reported now ;)

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

🚨🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 FINAL SCOOP POLL BEFORE MAY IS OUT

Crosstabs here: https://t.co/K1QGgIDn76

Trends since 2021 with our final numbers 👇🏻

More on our Public Opinion Dashboard: https://t.co/yVaQPwO4tV

[British Jnl Poli Sci @BJPolS]

NEW -

Political Scandals and Vertical Contagion in Multilevel Systems - https://t.co/7XJu0h6Q8Z

- @Jaclarner, Robert Johns, @Ailsa_Henderson, @frasmcm & @cjcarman

#OpenAccess

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

New blog on indyref mandate 🗳️

By our PI @ailsa_henderson, this blog investigates attitudes to #indyref2 timing and whether there is a middle ground on the "mandate" question 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇬🇧

Particularly relevant given @ScotGovFM has set out @theSNP's stall

https://t.co/CMnHc6Lw5m

[Stop Climate Chaos Scotland @sccscot]

Thank you Climate Action Secretary @GillianMSP for speaking to 40+ SCCS members ahead of the new Climate Change Plan, and speakers @talatyaqoob, Anki Deo @hopenothate, @frasmcm @ScotVoting for sharing insights ahead of the 2026 election. Lots to think about as we plan campaigns!

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

Might be of interest @RachelAmery @mrdavidbol @LeaskyHT @BallotBoxScot @conor_matchett @holyroodmandy @justinbowie1997 @alexmassie @HolyroodSources @PonsonbyMassie @adamtomforrest @akmaciver @OfficialSYP @SPICe_Research @SPRExchange @ScotFutures @gillcruicky @BlairJenkinsYes

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

🍦Big Scoop tracker update 📊

We've fully updated our handy page of time series public opinion measures, added new visualisations and made it much easier to find.

And we've renamed it the SES Opinion Dashboard 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🧑🏽‍🤝‍🧑🏻

Summary 🧵

https://t.co/yVaQPwOCjt

[Scottish Election Study 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🗳️ @ScotVoting]

Finally, while the salience of indy continues to fall, constitutional views remain closely divided and seemingly won't budge 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿⚖️🇬🇧

Views are incredibly polarised across age groups, and the working-age population aren't turning against it even with a @UKLabour govt. in London 👀