George Gee

Visuals and thoughts on financial markets.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

Not having a gi (grips and friction), plays even a bigger role. But also Olympic judo is very different from old school judo, unfortunately becoming a sport It becomes all about optimizing for rules (relishing grips, no below body attacks, fall on your stomach when in trouble), not self-defense or fighting. Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu is also heading that way.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@HLPClips @tferriss Fruits are lindy, that part doesn't pass the sniff test.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

Nassim Taleb has done good work on this. "Cognitive Biases" are adaptive, rational heuristics or shortcuts that make sense in real-world conditions—especially under uncertainty, fat-tailed risks (where rare events dominate), survival pressures, and constraints like limited information or skin in the game.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

Inflation coming back? #Macro #InflationWatch #Economy

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@ZoharAtkins This was an amazing read, thank you!

[Kevin Gordon @KevRGordon]

Federal government payrolls lowest since May 1966

[Justin Skycak @justinskycak]

A natural edge you do not cash in eventually expires.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@ole_b_peters @StephanieKelton Something like debt to maximum sustainable revenue. Or interest payments as % of revenue.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@theswansjr No bubble according to the chart.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@JoumannaTV If a country was moving away from the U.S. dollar, they wouldn't be using the SWIFT banking system.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@PeterMallouk the momentum factor... All-time highs are created all the time, it just means the market is trending up, which it is.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

Comparing it to GDP is misleading, it's the wrong denominator (GDP measures transactions, which have increased at higher rate but have nothing to do with base layer production input). Absolute global oil consumption has tripled (~32M → 102M bpd). Much of the efficiency gained is from deindustrialization, offshoring heavy industry, and the shift to low-energy services/tech — as part of GDP. Oil is now locked into the hardest-to-substitute uses transport, aviation, shipping, petrochemicals/plastics. Efficiency gains are there but oil is even more important today. Hypothetical: What would today's global economy and 8.2 billion people do if oil production suddenly returned to 1965 levels of just 32 million barrels per day?

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@jsblokland absolute values are no bueno, maybe M2 relative to PPP GDP.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@charliebilello Complexity leads to corruption. Harder to cheat in a simple system. On the bright side AI will completely change this useless industry.

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@incentivising Min-max

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@ihtesham2005 Universal memory advantage of the Zeigarnik effect failed to replicate, but the behavioral drive it creates—and its appearance under highly specific conditions—has held up (Ovsiankina Effect).

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@karpathy could be a good extension to @Grokipedia

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@FreightAlley Is there a way to measure how much of this due to war spending? Vs manufacturing civilian goods?

[George Gee @SegResearch]

@Geiger_Capital I have a feeling I seen this election before.

[Tim Ferriss @tferriss]

If we assume the point of investing is ultimately to improve your quality of life and the quality of life of those you most care about, investments that consistently add stress over long periods of time probably don’t make sense.

Money is traded for things or experiences that catalyze certain feelings. If your investments are generating the opposite spectrum of feelings, it might be time to reassess. It’s easy to miss the forest for the trees.

Money is a means, not an end.

And in the end, most things matter very, very little.

Do what helps you sleep at night and wake up with a low heart rate.

To me, those are the hallmarks of a world-class investor who gets the big picture.