I deeply respect anyone who can update their views in the face of new evidence. The last four years have really taught me how rare it is for someone to be able to publicly change their mind.
My new Li-Ning running shoes are easily the most comfortable shoes I’ve ever worn. I mean, I’m sure Hokas feel exactly the same. But I’d never wear Hokas. I’m way too cool for that brand.
The market is pricing Li Ning ($2331.HK) like it’s facing another 2011–2017 inventory crisis, but the balance sheet tells a completely different story:
• Inventory write-down provisions remain low and stable at 5.9% (vs. 12.9% a decade ago).
• 77% of inventory is new product (up from 56% in 2016).
At ~9x NTM P/E, markets are pricing in a prolonged slump while business health is significantly better than expected.
(1/5)
Everyone’s talking $NKE this, $NKE that. While I’m over here wondering whether Li Ning has got it in them to be the next major global player. $2331.hk $LNNGY
FIRST LOOK: Steph Curry’s first Li-Ning basketball PEs which are expected to release soon 👀
The upcoming collection includes Curry-branded Way of Wade 12s and a Jimmy Butler 4.
This is the crucial unaddressed issue for $NKE. Their product quality was declining for years before the stock did. Cutting costs will always open opportunities for competitors to take your business. In this case, they exposed themselves to a fatal blow.
@KobeissiLetter long time Nike customer. I bought a pair of Monarch and they started squeaking a few weeks later. I thought I was unlucky, defective model, so I bought another one and a few week later they also started squeaking. This is the story of me buying my last pair of Nike
It’s not about bull vs bear. It’s about being right, and Avian has an exceptionally high hit rate. Good thing money can be made in any market condition if you play the cards right.
@Coffee__Capital@biancoresearch Yeah well we can be pretty sure it’s not gonna gap up massively overnight, so plenty of time to wait for confirmation of a bottom.
Tried making instant ramen I found in the office and I think it’s time to get millennials out of marketing. We quirk chungused too close to the sun. Let the children take over and fix our mess.
@maxmarchione It also prevents your spine from fully decompressing during sleep, potentially causing some shortening and skeletal issues later on. Still worth it if nighttime GERD is intractable though.
The precious metals keep getting pummeled as real yields rise
This is a big reason I have not given in to the pleas to put the silver (or gold) laser eyes back on
Bond yields have to peak out first
@Mayhem4Markets Well, how much has the cost of things you actually spend money on increased since 2020? Note what government is quoting as inflation, but how much more does home/car/insurance/food actually cost since then? Give me what that is in yearly inflation +1% and I’d consider it.
Look, its going to take years for people to understand this, but LLMs are useful when there is an obvious terminating condition, like math (is it correct) or writing code (does it run and give the required outputs).
LLMs dont have judgement, and never will have it.
@the_aiju Do you see your current experience as similar to how software rapidly antiquated the skills of people in other fields that spent years developing them?