I've been reflecting on ten years of privates investing & my first 18 months at Coatue. 11 thoughts:
1/ Idea size > everything: Lots of funds talk about “big swings” but few operationalize it. I'm of the mind that idea sizing should be the atomic unit of consideration for every fund/stage.
2/ Think about the Trends: Transcendent companies ride massive secular shifts. Internet; Mobile; Cloud; LLMs. Great investments often sit at a convergence of multiple trends: the further out you zoom, the clearer trends become.
3/ the Path to Platform: the greatest source of privates alpha is identifying a platform company *before it's a platform. Every investment thesis is really just "the path to this being a Platform"... what’s wild is how compressed the timeline has become: platforms used to take a decade to emerge, but now signals show up in just a few years (why some Series B valuations are so high!)
4/ Avoid Losing: You don’t need to win deals -- you just need to not lose! In the interest of winning deals, not going to share more on how to avoid losing with peers on X (:
5/ Privates are far more zero-sum than publics: There's a tech narrative that we’re all in it together. Like Teletubbies, with Ramp cards. In reality, privates are much more zero-sum than Wall Street. But you can still choose to be nice! It helps you avoid losing (:
6/ Great founders share a trait, rate of learning: the best founders are, without exception, learning machines. They just keep getting better in a way that almost runs away from you (especially if you're a schmuck investor like me)
This is the one signal effectively impossible to fake -- and why investors actually want to meet CEOs well ahead of a fundraise; “we just want to get to know you” ;p
7/ You cannot make money on a spreadsheet: the alpha in spreadsheet investing was competed away years ago. People understand gross dollar retention now. To understand the Platform-anatomy of a company: help you, excel spreadsheets will not (Yoda)
8/ "Pattern Matching" is overused, but underrated: Investing is an exercise in reducing complexity: "the best models have fewer rows" .. Pattern matching is an overused term -- but the act of "seeing simplicity" is evergreen underrated.
9/ Diversification is a tax: concentrate winners! Diversification is not your friend: this is a known fact in venture (and increasingly true in publics)
10/ Decision Quality > everything: for all the hustle culture, busy calendars and "value add resources" at funds .. all the leverage is in decision quality. Great decisions compound. Avoiding losing compounds. It feels bad (but is correct) to say 95-99% of "passes" don't matter in power law investing. Know when you're around a BFI and get the decisions right!
11/ the Future is built by weird people, doing things that are obvious (in hindsight): if you’re not at least a little weirded out, it’s probably bad, actually!
Was fun talking with @alexklein0x about many things, but in particular loved being able to spotlight how Coatue Growth operates as one team: Thomas, @spencermpeter , @jadelai__ , @1daveschneider , @carynm650 , @DanRose999 , @BenSchwerin , Colin, Abhi, and now @hanseulnam , Philena, and Pranav who recently joined us.
The one constant at @coatuemgmt is that we're always adapting and only as good as our next investment. Privileged to build with this team
listen here
https://t.co/1qWjkIlLTQ
Michael Truell (@mntruell) fell in love with coding at 12. The company he co-founded, @cursor_ai, went from 15 people to 700 in two years.
Today, over 60% of the Fortune 500 build with its AI coding platform.
.@coatue_thomas describes how a meeting with Steven Spielberg eventually taught him how to pitch companies.
"Steven said, 'Every great story can be pitched in three sentences, no matter what the story was.'"
"In three sentences you got the whole movie. And what I realized is it takes a true understanding of story to be able to crystallize it in three sentences."
"All the great investors that I've met, like Stan Druckenmiller, my brother Philippe, or Dan Loeb, they have an ability to take any kind of story and just drill it down into its essence to what the key pivot points are that are going to make or break that stock at that particular moment."
From his appearance on the show last month.
Composer 2.5 being Pareto dominant in coding per CursorBench is important.
This is after only a few weeks of supplemental training and/or RL in the Colossus 2 cluster.
The 1.5 trillion parameter version of Grok will likely be a much better base model than Kimi. We shall see.
if you're building something and you feel "what more could i be doing", spend a couple mins watching nikolay at revolut.
he has this nonchalant intensity that basically says - the sky is the limit, i will not stop.
@patrickc@aphysicist yes!
Detroit is also a unique community of “die hards”
many US cities feel they’re regressing & are populated by folks always thinking/talking about where to live next
Detroit is a die hard community working to make the city better year after year
Coatue's May 2026 Public Markets Update is out.
The update covers the rise of the token economy, how AI is reshaping key sectors, and why agents are the next major unlock.
Link to the full update in the comments ⬇️
.@thomas_coatue describes how a meeting with Steven Spielberg eventually taught him how to pitch companies.
"Steven said, 'Every great story can be pitched in three sentences, no matter what the story was.'"
"In three sentences you got the whole movie. And what I realized is it takes a true understanding of story to be able to crystallize it in three sentences."
"All the great investors that I've met, like Stan Druckenmiller, my brother Philippe, or Dan Loeb, they have an ability to take any kind of story and just drill it down into its essence to what the key pivot points are that are going to make or break that stock at that particular moment."