TheTradingGuy

Never financial advice.

[TheTradingGuy @TheTradingBoy]

The history of Bull and Bear markets @ftportfolios
https://t.co/KqcPgrozmi

[TheTradingGuy @TheTradingBoy]

@karpathy @landreu

[TheTradingGuy @TheTradingBoy]

@WizOfOps https://t.co/otI9aFhFva

[The Wizard Of Ops @WizOfOps]

Let's do this! @Cboe #RMC 🤝

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

SPX Spot-Vol Beta: -0.62

This gauge measures how implied volatility (via the VIX) is reacting relative to the S&P 500’s price move. A reading of -0.62 suggests volatility is under-reacting, meaning options traders are not aggressively bidding up protection relative to the underlying market move. In other words, the demand for hedging appears relatively subdued given the price action.

Spot-vol beta reflects how much volatility is over- or under-reacting to changes in the S&P 500’s spot price.

Source - https://t.co/wR9hqXIoUG

[TheTradingGuy @TheTradingBoy]

@MarketMike @unrollapp

[TheTradingGuy @TheTradingBoy]

@TukiFromKL @grok is this true? Give me sources

[The Wizard Of Ops @WizOfOps]

Mar. 9, 2026 - Market Moves with Volland: Dealer Positioning & Trade Strategies #optionstrading #volatility #impliedmoves #impliedvolatility #marketdata #optiongreeks $SPX $QQQ @darkmattertrade https://t.co/UQ0bZrh7Cb

[Casey @Team2Trading]

$SPY $QQQ $IWM • This is my ultimate starter pack for gauging market direction every day 📝

I start by marking these 4 levels ✍️

Previous Day High ✔️
Previous Day Low ✔️
Pre Market High ✔️
Pre Market Low ✔️

Then I add these indicators ➕

13 EMA 🟡
48 EMA 🟣
200 EMA 🔴

I study the reactions to those 4 levels every day and use the EMA trends as confluence on my bias ✅

This is the foundation of my trading strategy and it provides me and the team with some great opportunities every single week 👇

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

Volland SPX Spot Vol Beta: -0.96
This gauge shows how strongly the VIX is reacting compared to the S&P 500’s price move. A reading of -0.96 indicates volatility is under-reacting, meaning options traders are not aggressively increasing protection despite the market move. Overall, the volatility response looks subdued relative to price action.

Spot-vol beta: how much VIX is over- or under-reacting to spot move. Vol Event study by @wizofops
Source: https://t.co/wR9hqXIoUG

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

SPX Greek Hedging
Greek Hedging (SPX) estimates the daily amount of trading dealers may need to do to stay hedged against changes in SPX and option pricing.

Delta hedging (~$2.13B): hedging against SPX price moves.
Vega hedging (~-$1.46B): hedging against changes in implied volatility; the negative sign suggests dealers may be supplying volatility rather than chasing it.
Theta hedging (~$16.29M): impact from time decay; a small positive figure indicates limited additional hedging pressure from the passage of time.

Greek hedging: net notional dealer hedging that needs to be applied by the end of the day @wizofops
Source: https://t.co/wR9hqXIoUG

[The Wizard Of Ops @WizOfOps]

Game knows game! #volland data is now being shared on @financialjuice 🤝

[FinancialJuice @financialjuice]

Spot Vol Beta (SPX) compares how much volatility options are pricing in versus what SPX’s recent price movement would normally suggest.

A negative reading (-0.24) means options look slightly undervixed: the market is pricing less “fear” than usual, implying a more complacent vol setup than the spot action would typically warrant.

Source: https://t.co/wR9hqXIWKe

[Casey @Team2Trading]

I have always focused on providing the highest quality trading content on twitter absolutely free of charge!

So before anyone subscribes to my discord I encourage them to take advantage of that free content. Most of my followers will find that is all they need.

And for the rest of you who appreciate a more in depth breakdown of my strategy, along with my real time entry alerts every single day i appreciate you taking the leap and subscribing!

Either way I’ll be here, doing my thing and wishing all of you nothing but success every step of the way 💚

[TheTradingGuy @TheTradingBoy]

@WizOfOps 78x for a data-driven lotto is exceptional!

[Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️ @CaptainWick]

Gamma — what dealers actually hedge

🧵

[Captain Wick 🏴‍☠️ @CaptainWick]

Vanna: how traders use it

🧵

[TheTradingGuy @TheTradingBoy]

There’s no better way to trade 0DTE.

[The Wizard Of Ops @WizOfOps]

0DTE Delta Decay: Intraday Dealer Hedging Quantified
The final word on 0DTE hedging flows

When Cboe introduced daily options in $SPX, it forever changed market dynamics. Very swiftly, “0DTE” options became half of all SPX flow, but not at the expense of the other tenors. The result is that SPX option volume has been hitting daily volume all-time highs about as often as SPX itself.

With all of that volume comes different market dynamics. #0DTE options have been priced much differently than its higher tenor siblings, usually with much higher static IV and steeper skew. All of this created a dynamic that couldn’t be ignored, especially for the intraday trader.

While there are many flows that the need to be accounted for when intraday trading, considering that the margin of error is so small, the dealer hedging flow is critical. This is because options volumes are so high that the imbalance of the 0DTE dealer book must be taken into account. It was this failure that caused David Chau’s “Captain Condor” strategy to so remarkably blow up on Christmas Eve.

Volland saw these flows, and up until recently, attempted to signify this from the perspective of charm. We tried many ways to express that notional hedging more accurately, and we realized that we were deriving this with the incorrect terms. Notional charm was expressing delta notionals, when we wanted straight notional hedging but using the principles of delta expiration dynamics that vanna and charm express.

The new 0DTE Delta Decay widget completes what we set out to do with our work with charm.

Introducing 0DTE Delta Decay

The 0DTE Delta Decay widget is the only widget that swiftly and accurately shows the amount of notional delta that dealers need to hedge before expiration on the 0DTE tenor on a strike-by-strike basis.

If you need to know how much total hedging needs to be completed before the end of the day, Volland’s 0DTE widget has that total notional that needs to be hedged.

These widgets are available in all of Volland's 0DTE option offerings, including $SPY and $QQQ, which are needed for better timing and a full picture.

[Peter St Onge, Ph.D. @profstonge]

USDA issues New Food Pyramid

- Meat is king
- Whole milk, not skim milk
- Eggs are off the naughty list
- Sugary fruits demoted
- Lucky Charms no longer rank higher than steak

The world is healing.

[TheTradingGuy @TheTradingBoy]

@JHochderffer @threadreaderapp unroll

[Casey @Team2Trading]

Yesterday you saw me make $1,400 bucks in under 30 minutes trading from my phone…

While I was on vacation with my amazing wife and kid. That wrapped up December with a total of $67k in profits 🙏

What you might not realize is that I’m from Hawaii, and in order to learn how to trade I had to wake up at 2:30am every single morning for years.

I would study and trade from 2:30am to 7:30am, where I would often lose money and then rush to clock in at 8am for my day job where i would work till 4pm.

So between trading and my job I was working from 2:30am to 4pm. That’s a 14 hour shift 5 days a week.

Oh, did I mention I found out I had stage 4 cancer right in the middle of it all, thankfully through the grace of God I was able to overcome that.

So between working non stop and my visits to the infusion center my life was feeling like a 24/7 shit show other than getting to see my wife’s beautiful face every night.

My point is… Don’t let my highlight reel fool you into thinking this game is easy or that I didn’t have to work for it.

This shit took everything I had and then some! And I’m extremely thankful for every dollar I have earned.

Sorry for the long post, I’m just seeing all the “let’s lock in for 2026” posts and I wanted to remind some of you what “locking in” actually looks like.

So cheers to another year of getting the amazing privilege of being on Gods green earth! 🍻

That alone is all you need to be a thankful and humble person in 2026 💚