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Came from my software? Only follow if you like politics. DM for tech support.
Programmer | Democrat | American | Gun Control | Pro-density | Pro-🇹🇼🇺🇦

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With the rise of my software userbase, I should make a pinned tweet.

This is my only social media account, so I use it for politics. If you're not interested in that, don't follow. Feel free to DM about bugs/questions, and check out all my projects at https://t.co/gBUSuoKzPy.

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@RiverRising1 @seeemmeffell @jackunheard The second sentence is also false.

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@FcukYRfeelings @Indy_Is_Here @Alexandra4Trump I find it funny how conservatives always try to tell men that they aren't men, but get really angry when someone tries to transition to being a woman.

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@JohnSheaHey Money is the priority.

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@katzhavfun @BayAreaTrev The FO doesn't care what the fans on twitter are speculating about.

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@DBrown6607 @NoahMullins @kaylatausche Yes. The electoral college is structured such that narrow margins are often amplified in the number of EVs won, which was the case in 2020.

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@itswallywallaby @naciasi What you're describing is slavery.

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@HexBazinga @ShelbyMeyer_ Cops could already do stuff about it. Misdemeanors can still have stiff penalties, including jail time.

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@Tiroshani_Amodo @deanmckee757 @NateSilver538 The fact that you think it's 7 coin flips in a row makes me highly doubt whatever methodology you're using in your model. The states are correlated. It was highly likely per Nate's model that all or almost all of the swing states would go in the same direction.

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@_JBanks__ Rent control leads to higher rent. It can be a good short-term remedy during times of extreme economic stress. It is not a long-term solution, and if you try to use it like one it just exacerbates the housing crisis.

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@_IrishStyle @alumni_cesar @JenniferCa9174 Huh? It's the inflation rate. It's based on prices in each country. It's not relative to the dollar.

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@_silvioo_dantee @JosephOnions @johnnywestt @Geiger_Capital @rabois @NateSilver538 Rabois. He never followed up.

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@tonguesoutglass @NetAesthetic @CallahanAutoCo @cenkuygur Yes, Clinton conceded the election the next day.

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@therealAAndrew @yashar If they act like Hitler, yes.

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@JustinWolfers @NateSilver538 He provided evidence with his original claim.

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@JustinWolfers The evidence is that pollsters have a much smaller margin of error than they report, when it should be the opposite since sampling MoE doesn't even account for other forms of bias.

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@crowdturtle @RalstonReports Ann Selzer would read the article

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@Tiroshani_Amodo @deanmckee757 @NateSilver538 There's nothing wrong with back-testing. The problem is claiming that it predicted every general election since 2004 when it didn't, it was just back-tested on elections going back to 2004.

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@Tiroshani_Amodo @deanmckee757 @NateSilver538 Back-testing also isn't a prediction. A prediction is where you don't know the answer in advance.

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@Tiroshani_Amodo @NateSilver538 Fitting your model to past data is not a prediction.

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@alexquigley @NateSilver538 He doesn't do polls, he analyzes them. Each pollster trying to do their own analysis rather than just reporting the numbers makes his job much harder.