@0.314

[@0.314 @Thresholde]

Like AI and biotech, quantum computing helps speed up other elements of the wave

[Justin Banks @RealJGBanks]

I have made over a MILLION in the last 2 MONTHS

My SECRET is having a watchlist for each sector to catch rotations EARLY

HERE IS THE SECTOR ROTATION WATCHLIST:

Memory: $MU $SNDK $WDC $STX

Semis: $NVDA $AMD $ARM $INTC

Networking: $AVGO $MRVL $CRDO

Photonics: $AAOI $LITE $COHR $NVTS $GLW

Infrastructure: $DELL $SMCI

Data Centers: $IREN $CIFR $APLD $NBIS

Software: $MSFT $NOW $SNOW

Defense: $PLTR $KTOS $AVAV

Drones: $ONDS $DPRO $UMAC

Robotics: $OUST $SYM $TSLA

Space: $ASTS $RKLB $RDW $LUNR

Quantum: $IONQ $QBTS $RGTI

Nuclear: $OKLO

Fintech: $HOOD $SOFI $AFRM

Copper: $FCX $SCCO $TECK

Autonomous: $JOBY $ACHR

[Nicolas Flamel @NicolasFlamelX]

Investors buy ideas

[a16z @a16z]

The SpaceX iteration loop:

1. Question every requirement.
2. Delete any part or process you can.
3. Simplify and optimize.
4. Accelerate cycle time.
5. Automate.

Most engineering organizations skip directly to step five. They take a process that should not exist and then automate it.

SpaceX runs the steps in order, every time, on every part of the company. When the Algorithm has been run enough times on a piece of hardware, it starts to look like nothing else in the industry.

@elonmusk

[DHH @dhh]

What a delightful culture.

[Michael Dell 🇺🇸 @MichaelDell]

Focus on what you can control.

Build something. Anything.

A product. Yourself. A family. Your community. A team. Relationships.

Or help someone else build theirs.

Don’t complain. Don’t play the victim.

Ever.

What are you building?

#PlayNiceButWin

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

Price to Sales Ratio (TTM Sales)
SpaceX: 125
Palantir: 66
Broadcom: 26
AMD: 24
Micron: 21
NVIDIA: 20
Applied Materials: 16
Tesla: 15
Intel: 11
Google: 11
Apple: 10
Microsoft: 9
Oracle: 8
Cisco: 8
Netflix: 7
Meta: 7
Amazon: 3.6
S&P 500: 3.6

https://t.co/mXnDcJZYWa

[Rand Group @randgroup]

The AI supercycle will last 15 years. We're in year 3.

Most investors are still buying Phase 1 names while the real money is already rotating into Phase 3.

I mapped the entire cycle into 4 phases with the tickers that matter at each stage:

The AI supercycle is the biggest investment theme of our generation. Bigger than mobile. Bigger than cloud. A 15 year structural shift that will reshape every sector of the global economy. Hyperscalers just committed $725 billion in capex for 2026, nearly doubling last year. Microsoft, Google, Amazon, and Meta each spending over $100 billion individually.

This is not speculation. I've mapped the entire supercycle into four phases so you know exactly where we are and where the asymmetric opportunities sit.

🔴 Phase 1: Already Ran (2023 to 2025)

The foundation layer is complete. $AMD ran 78% in 2025, $NVDA 39%, and $INTC just posted a blowout Q1 that sent the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index above 10,000 for the first time. Chips still power every phase but the generational entries are gone and risk/reward has compressed.

- $NVDA, $AMD, $ARM, $INTC, $AVGO, $MU, $GLW
- Semiconductors, Memory & Storage,Photonics/Optics
- Foundation complete. Still growing but priced for it.

🟠 Phase 2: Peak Buildout (2025 to 2027)

The phase most investors just woke up to. $CEG acquired Calpine to become the largest U.S. private power producer at 55 GW. $GEV up over 200% in a year. $VRT co engineering cooling for NVIDIA's Rubin architecture. $GLW up 74% YTD on optical fiber demand. Nuclear SMRs are the breakout with $OKLO, $SMR, and $BWXT positioning to power data centers directly. Still upside but the obvious names have moved.

- $CEG, $GEV, $VRT, $VST, $TLN, $ANET, $GLW, $MOD, $EQIX $OKLO, $SMR, $BWXT, $NNE
- Power/Grid, Cooling, Networking, Nuclear/SMR Peak buildout.
- Nuclear SMRs are the sleeper.

🟡 Phase 3: The Positioning Window (2026 to 2028)

Where AI escapes the data center and enters the physical world. Most will be late. Tesla converting Fremont to Optimus production, $25B capex, mass production targeted H2 2026. Rocket Lab posted record $602M revenue with $1.85B backlog. $LUNR up 47% YTD with $943M in contracts. $KTOS Valkyrie drone selected for the Marine Corps. The window to position is open right now.

- $TSLA, $RKLB, $LUNR, $KTOS, $AVAV, $PATH, $ISRG $MP, $FCX, $ALB, $ASTS
- Robotics/Autonomy, Space/Defense/Drones, Rare Earths
- This is where the asymmetric risk/reward lives.

🟢 Phase 4: Final Frontier (2028+)

The endgame. Microsoft capex $190B. Alphabet $190B. Amazon $200B. Meta $145B. Google Cloud backlog past $460B. They're building the rails for AI software dominance and AGI. Quantum still early but $IONQ and D Wave are laying groundwork. The platforms that control the software layer win the entire supercycle.

- $MSFT, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $META, $ORCL, $IONQ
- AI Software Dominance, AGI Infrastructure Decade long thesis.
- Accumulate on weakness.

💊 Key Takeaway

- Phase 2 is confirmed ($725B hyperscaler capex)
- Phase 3 is where the smart money positions nowRobotics, space, defense, nuclear
- SMR are the 2026 to 2028 trades
- Most will rotate into these names 12 months too late

15 year supercycle. Not a trade. Phase 1 ran. Phase 2 is priced. Phase 3 is where you want to be.

[Naval @naval]

The only truly wasted time is time spent wishing you were somewhere else.

[Rand Group @randgroup]

This chart explains why semiconductors are not a trade but a decade long structural position, and most people still don't get it. The industry is about to cross $1 trillion in annual revenue for the first time ever.

$ASML sells machines that cost $350 million each and has zero competitors at the leading edge. $TSM uses those machines to fab chips for $NVDA, $AMD, $AAPL, and $GOOGL, all of whom are fighting for the same advanced packaging slots.

$AMAT, $LRCX, and $KLAC are seeing order books fill up because TSMC alone is spending $54 billion in capex this year. $ARM collects royalties on basically every non-x86 chip shipped on earth. $SNPS sells the software that every designer on this chart needs before a single transistor gets drawn.

$AVGO is quietly becoming one of the most important custom silicon companies in the world. $TXN and $INTC are recovering from different cycles but both sit on massive installed bases. $AMKR is riding the advanced packaging wave that has become just as critical as fabrication itself.

The bears keep waiting for the cycle to roll over but the AI capex supercycle keeps raising the floor. Hyperscalers are set to spend over $600 billion this year and the majority of that flows directly through this value chain.

[Noctara @rumilyrics]

Be proud of your progress.

[Min Choi @minchoi]

It's over... for FAANG

TANGOS is coming

[OnChainKai @OnChainKai]

@CryptoHayes Markets don’t pay for narratives. They pay for timing.

[David Senra @davidsenra]

Still one of the funniest things anyone has said on the podcast 😂 @RickRubin

[Aubrey de Grey @aubreydegrey]

New podcast - whose presenter came up with its name "Undoing Aging" completely not knowing about the Berlin conferences!
https://t.co/Yv28yNkrHk

[Noctara @rumilyrics]

Eye contact is a lost art.

[Noctara @rumilyrics]

Train your mind to stay calm in every situation.

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

JUST IN: Chinese startup Monako unveils smart glasses built to run AI coding agents like Claude Code & Codex.

[Noctara @rumilyrics]

As soon as you choose you, everything around you chooses you too.