TigerMarketTiming

[Joe McCann @joemccann]

Nasdaq cheapest forward P/E since COVID lows

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

Let me be blunt. Those who are afraid of AI feel deep down that they are impostors & have no edge. If you have a 1) clear mind, 2) a deep, not just cosmetic, undertanding of your specialty, 3) and/or are original enough to reinvent yourself when needed, AI will be your friend.

[TigerMarketTiming @TigerTradeChart]

@StockMKTNewz @grok is this real?

[Bluekurtic Market Insights @Bluekurtic]

The Nasdaq 100's performance since the launch of ChatGPT has tracked pretty well with its performance following the launch of Netscape.

It's still tracking, right? Right?

[CyclesFan @CyclesFan]

$SOX - We are in a confirmed bear market(bearish crossover on monthly TSI). Monthly RSI levels at all past major lows:
1996: 45, 1998: 40, 2002: 35, 2008: 25, 2016: 49, 2018: 50, 2022: 41, 2025: 48.
The RSI is at 60 now, which means we are only in the middle of this bear market.

[TigerMarketTiming @TigerTradeChart]

@HormuzLetter @grok is this a real warning

[kpak @kpak82]

$PLTR working on a major breakdown. Tight skinny jeans.

[Bonnie Boden @designergirla]

This Australian's reply to Trump's rant about “NATO not being there for America” is perfect.

"Mate. You run a country with 600,000 homeless people sleeping on the street tonight. A country where 40% of adults can't cover a $400 emergency without borrowing money. A country where insulin costs more than a car payment and people are rationing it to survive. A country where medical debt is the number 1 cause of bankruptcy. A country where women are dying in hospital car parks because doctors are too scared of abortion laws to treat a miscarriage.

You lock up more of your own citizens than any nation on earth. More than China. More than Russia. More than North Korea. The land of the free has 2 million people in cages, and a quarter of them haven't even been convicted of anything. They're just too poor to make bail.

Your life expectancy is going backwards. You're the only developed nation where that's happening. Your infant mortality rate is worse than Cuba's. Your kids do active shooter drills between maths and English while you sell the gunmaker's stock to your mates.

Your minimum wage hasn't moved in 15 years. You've got teachers working 2 jobs and veterans sleeping under bridges and you just spent a trillion dollars flattening a country that didn't attack you.

And you’ve got a convicted felon, adjudicating raping, paedophile protecting, porn star shagging insurrectionist running the biggest dumpster fire war campaign since the Taliban in Afghanistan thanked you very much for losing again.

And you're calling Greenland poorly run?

Greenland has universal healthcare. Free education. One of the lowest incarceration rates in the world. Nobody goes bankrupt there because they got sick. Nobody dies in a waiting room because their insurance said no.

'NATO wasn't there when we needed them." When exactly was that, champ? September 11? Because NATO invoked Article 5 for the first and only time in history FOR YOU. Soldiers from dozens of countries deployed, fought, bled, and died in Afghanistan FOR YOU. Australia wasn't even in NATO and we still showed up. For 20 years.

And you pulled out at 2am without telling anyone and left them to deal with the mess.

So maybe before you start calling other countries poorly run, have a look at your own backyard, you spray-tanned aluminium siding salesman. The only thing poorly run in this picture is your f----- mouth."

Credit to: Jim Keller

[TigerMarketTiming @TigerTradeChart]

@granthawkridge I’m so jealous

[TigerMarketTiming @TigerTradeChart]

@tomstockslab @McClellanOsc Maybe you didn’t, if so, I’m sorry. I saw Tom post this and within a day you come out with the same data. Again, sorry if I falsely accused you.

[Nexus Co. @NexusCoOfficial]

$BE reported what looked like an unbelievable beat on the surface
revenue up 138% to $1.24B, operating income up 500%, and full year guidance raised to 122% growth.

yet the stock got faded

here is why the tape actually sold the print:

1. negative cash flow on record revenue
despite doing over $1.2B in sales, cash flow from operations was negative $27M and free cash flow was negative $181M for the quarter

working capital ballooned because unbilled contract assets and receivables surged

when revenue explodes but cash collections lag behind, institutions hit pause.

2. full year gross margin was held flat
they raised full year revenue guidance for the third time, but kept gross margins capped at 34%

CFO Simon Edwards admitted that rushing deployments is creating near term cost friction:

"we're ramping new production lines. we're expediting deliveries to meet these customer timelines, and I think that carries some near term cost"

3. management refused to bracket backlog or capacity
analysts repeatedly pushed for color on scaling past 5 GW and how fast backlog was growing

KR completely stonewalled the numbers, telling analysts:

"we are not going to provide a timeline of when that's going to happen"

And on backlog:

"i am not going to directionally bracket it for you. sorry"

the commercial momentum with $GOOGL, $ORCL and $NBIS is undeniable, but burning $181M in FCF while capping gross margin guidance gave funds every reason to take profits.

[Bluekurtic Market Insights @Bluekurtic]

Several favorable seasonal windows begin next week for the bulls, starting with the Halloween Trade at the October 26 close.

From last 4 trading days of October through third trading day of November, Nasdaq 100 $NDX was positive 81% of the time since 1990.

[Bespoke @bespokeinvest]

This week was just the 8th time the Nasdaq 100 has fallen all five trading days with a 2%+ drop on Friday.

The next Monday was positive 5 of 7 times, while the next week was positive 6 of 7 times. $QQQ

[Bluekurtic Market Insights @Bluekurtic]

The Nasdaq 100 fell every trading day this week, marking only the 19th 5-day losing week since $QQQ began trading.

QQQ rebounded within 4 trading days in 17 of the previous 18 cases. Odds favor the bulls for next week.

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

Stat time! Bulls might like what they see:

$SOXX this week was the 3rd highest weekly red volume of all time.

If you take the other 4 highest weekly red volume weeks of all time and look what they did the next week it would look like this:

+7.60%

+10.46%

+9.57%

+5.95%

For an average return of +8.4%

Can the Semiconductors etf give us a bounce next week?

I mean keep in mind it’s also down 9 days in a row which is tied for the longest losing streak in its 26 year etf history.

Bulls, at least short term bullish traders, you know what to do…

-Heis

[TigerMarketTiming @TigerTradeChart]

@ericjackson Water is wet

[Bluekurtic Market Insights @Bluekurtic]

Place this on the ugly side of the table. NYSE McClellan Summation Index fell to its lowest level in over 2 years while the S&P 500 is within 5% of its all time high.

Only other times this happened were in the days leading up to the dot com bubble and the 2008 GFC.

[The Chart Report @TheChartReport]

Grant Hawkridge says the strongest 7-month window of the presidential cycle starts now.

@granthawkridge

[J.C. Parets @JC_ParetsX]

Here's one of the most important charts in the world. With the S&P Bank Index hitting new all-time highs, it would take a massive failure up here to invalidate any of the bullish implications. Do you think banks fail and start to fall apart? Or do they dig in here and buy them?