Vogt WeatherWatcher

A weather service dedicated to the Poconos specializing in school predictions. Supported by an awesome community. Predictions are my own opinion. #InVogtWeTrust

[Vogt WeatherWatcher @VWeatherWatcher]

With a winter storm on the way, this is a great time to sign up for Premium!
✅School predictions for all districts in PA.
✅Zip Code predictions with weather graphs.
✅County-level predictions for the Northeast USA.
✅The original NEPA-focused graphics.
https://t.co/O7AWYGcF2D

[Vogt WeatherWatcher @VWeatherWatcher]

@hurrtrackerapp AIFS ensemble guidance not enthused on the Atlantic system, FNV3 (Google DeepMind) not at all.

[Bobby Martrich | EPAWA @epawawx]

A separate severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for areas farther to the east of the previous/existing watch (Central PA)

This one is in effect until 9:00pm today with similar expectations. Damaging wind gusts are the primary concern.

[NWS Severe Tstorm @NWSSevereTstorm]

A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for parts of Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania until 9 PM EDT

[Vogt WeatherWatcher @VWeatherWatcher]

@LI_Weather516 @Eweather13 Have to agree, it's performance has been extremely volatile from run to run. The other models were more consistent and steady. Have to admit, @eweather13 is the only voice I have heard so far in the weather community that is supportive of the RRFS.

[Vogt WeatherWatcher @VWeatherWatcher]

@StormNetWx Not sure how comfortable you are with this idea, but have you thought about aligning the colors or risk level descriptions to that of the SPC? That way it would be easier to see the SPC equivalency.

[East Stroudsburg Area School District @esasdtweets]

ESASD Recognizes Administrative Professionals Day. Thank you to our Administrative Assistants, Administrative Services Staff, Business Office staff, Bus Aides, Bus Monitors, Front Desk Receptionists, Secretaries, and Information Technologists for all you do.

[Vogt WeatherWatcher @VWeatherWatcher]

@petermeteor Impressive up close imagery!

[NY NJ PA Weather @nynjpaweather]

For our region, I don't see much threat for severe thunderstorms outside of maybe a weakening severe thunderstorm from central PA into eastern PA. Primary focus this evening will be on heavy downpours and occasional strong wind gusts.

[Northeast Regional Weather @neusregionalwx]

Rain is transitioning to heavy snow as our front pushes through Pennsylvania.

Snow reports out of Western Pennsylvania have been around 2-4”+. Comparing current observations to some of the mesoscale guidance, it appears that the transition to frozen precipitation is moving quicker than modeled.

This is likely because of the abundant frontogenesis at 850-700mb, supporting more potent dynamic cooling as soon as the front passes through and temperatures plummet.

We’ll likely see a brief period of moderate-heavy snow, perhaps as far east as Eastern PA, around or just after midnight. Any accumulation of snow that does fall will likely be on grassy surfaces up to 1”.

#PAwx

[East Stroudsburg South Baseball @baseball_es]

Due to the threat of severe weather this afternoon, all after-school activities are canceled. Go home, and stay safe!

[NWS Mount Holly @NWS_MountHolly]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning including Lehighton PA, Palmerton PA and Jim Thorpe PA until 2:30 PM EDT

[NWS Mount Holly @NWS_MountHolly]

A tornado watch has been issued for parts of Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey and Pennsylvania until 7 PM EDT

[Vogt WeatherWatcher @VWeatherWatcher]

@FloridaTropics1 The thunderstorm to its southeast of Lake Mary had very strong 50-60 mph winds.

[Northeast Regional Weather @neusregionalwx]

WATCHING MONDAY...

Confidence is increasing for some significant severe weather as a strong cold front with a negatively tilted trough moves through the region. Warm moist air will surge in from the south with abundant wind shear that will aid destabilization in the atmosphere, causing widespread, powerful thunderstorms to develop.

The primary hazard looks to be damaging winds, with a QLCS/squall line looking probable, but hail and a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out and remain fully in play.

#PAwx #NJwx #NYwx #MDwx #DEwx #VAwx #WVwx

[Vogt WeatherWatcher @VWeatherWatcher]

@Eweather13 People also forget ENSO forecasts are not as accurate during the Spring months due to seasonal changes. El Niño coming? Sure, but not super, IMO.

[IEMBot PHI @iembot_phi]

PHI issues Winter Weather Advisory valid at Mar 6, 12:00 AM EST for Monroe [PA] till Mar 6, 10:00 AM EST https://t.co/WvfJFwQYxx

[ℌ𝔢𝔞𝔱𝔥𝔢𝔯 𝔞𝔯𝔱𝔥𝔲𝔯 @Heathermarymag]

@VWeatherWatcher

[Wayne Highlands SD @whsdk12]

Wayne Highlands School District is now CLOSED on Wednesday, March 4, 2026.

[Wayne Highlands SD @whsdk12]

Wayne Highlands School District is operating on a two hour delay on, Wednesday, March 4, 2026.