Blair Jensen

Commentary on fintwit. Don't be offended if I don't agree with you because disagreement is what makes a market.

[Blair Jensen @_TradeFollowers]

Bad manager syndrome in action. One person in the office uses too much sick leave or keeps coming in late. The manager doesn't have the guts to confront them to fix the problem so they create a policy that punishes the whole office

[Clash Report @clashreport]

Germany's Chancellor Merz:

We can no longer accept the extraordinarily high levels of sick leave in our companies.

We are abolishing sick leave by telephone and introducing the requirement to submit a medical certificate from the very first day of illness.

We know this is a tough decision. But we can no longer afford this competitive disadvantage caused by prolonged absences from work.

[Blair Jensen @_TradeFollowers]

First hurdle RSI positive divergence complete. Next we next to see a recovery above the 20 ema.

[David Keller, CMT @DKellerCMT]

What makes $GLD a bearish chart?
📉 Price making lower lows and lower highs
📉 Price below downward sloping moving averages
📉 RSI consistently below 50
📉 Relative strength trending lower

What makes $GLD a bullish chart?
📈 All the above points are no longer true!

[Blair Jensen @_TradeFollowers]

When Elon goes to mars it's all over for the rest of us.

[Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱 @Kristof_Poland]

Atlas Shrugged made simple:

1. Society runs on a small number of highly capable producers ��� industrialists, inventors, engineers – whose work everyone depends on but takes for granted.

2. The system starts rewarding need over achievement: the more capable you are, the more you’re expected to sacrifice for those who aren’t.

3. Success gets treated like a debt – taxed, regulated, resented – until the most capable start asking why they bother trying at all.

4. One by one, led by a man named John Galt, they simply withdraw – walking away rather than keep propping up a system that punishes them for producing.

5. Without them, the whole structure collapses, revealing that the “automatic” prosperity everyone assumed was actually being generated by specific, irreplaceable people.

6. Atlas is the Titan from Greek myth, condemned to carry the sky on his shoulders forever – Rand’s stand-in for the producer class, holding up civilization while getting blamed for it.

7. “Shrugged” is the whole argument in one word: Atlas doesn’t fight, doesn’t protest – he just quietly sets the weight down. Nobody realized the sky was being held up by anyone in particular, until the day it isn’t.
You don’t want us? We just go…🤷🏻‍♂️

[Larry Thompson, CMT CPA @HostileCharts]

Anyone who invest knows this game is played in a glass house and very difficult.

I would not trust those who constantly throw stones.

[Callum Thomas @Callum_Thomas]

Funny thing on this chart, Perspective matters...

if you hold something that falls -50% it has to rise 100% to get you back to where it started.

if something you don't hold falls -50% it will gain 100% if it just gets back to where it started.

(there's a lesson in there)

[Blair Jensen @_TradeFollowers]

If you don't answer 100% you probably shouldn't be putting hard earned money in any market

[James Wynn @JamesWynnReal]

Poll: $BTC

Will Bitcoin be trading above or below $60,000 by the end of the year?

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

I watched that Jeremy Grantham CNBC interview yesterday at least 10 times. Joe Kernen was a bit over the top yes, but CNBC needed this debate. I think it made for good television ngl. Do more of these 1v1 style segments lol.

And yes it’s true, the stock market will one day crash 50%. “One day”…

But that day can be tomorrow, 5 years from now, 10 years from now, 15 years from now. The $SPX can be well above 10,000 or 12,000, or 15,000 before then. No one knows. NO ONE KNOWS WHEN…

A little google search shows that Jeremy Grantham has been bearish yoy pretty much since Covid. The $SPX was trading around 2,400 lows then.

Hell, he even embraces the title of permabear by writing his newest book called “The Making of a Permabear.�� There’s your free plug Mr. Grantham. Lol.

Anyways the point is it’s a fool’s errand to time a stock market crash for 99% of us. Think opportunity costs for sitting in cash these 6 years if we took that advice. Or god forbid, shorted based on his advice.

It brings me to that famous quote popularized by Kenneth Fisher:

“Time in the market beats timing the market.”

[Blair Jensen @_TradeFollowers]

$IBIT below the price from two years ago. Ouch!

[Sean McLaughlin, NLD 📈 @SeanHasOptions]

This little creek, at this spot, is the beginning of the mighty Colorado River.

This is the river that cut the Grand Canyon and supplies water and irrigation to Las Vegas and much of Southern California who depend on it.

It starts RIGHT HERE.

Big things often start small.

[Blair Jensen @_TradeFollowers]

If you want to create a clickbait bubble use a linear chart.

[The Great Martis @great_martis]

🚨𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘰𝘯𝘭𝘺 𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘳𝘶𝘭𝘺 𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘴 ... 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘬 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘰𝘯 𝘣𝘦𝘵𝘸𝘦𝘦𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘸𝘰 𝘵𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘯𝘪𝘤 𝘣𝘶𝘣𝘣𝘭𝘦𝘴.🫧

2000 Vs 2026 🫧

𝘚𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘰𝘶𝘴 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘴 𝘸𝘰𝘶𝘭𝘥 𝘣𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘴𝘵𝘶𝘥𝘺 𝘪𝘵 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘤𝘢𝘳𝘦.

𝘓𝘰𝘰𝘬 𝘤𝘭𝘰𝘴𝘦𝘭𝘺 𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦 𝘧𝘳𝘢𝘮𝘦, 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘶𝘤𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘢𝘤𝘵𝘦𝘳. 𝘓𝘢𝘺𝘦𝘳 𝘶𝘱𝘰𝘯 𝘪𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘓𝘪𝘷𝘦𝘳𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘱𝘦𝘤𝘶𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘤𝘺𝘤𝘭𝘦 𝘴𝘱𝘢𝘯𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘯 𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘺, 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘵𝘳𝘶𝘵𝘩 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘴 𝘶𝘯𝘮𝘪𝘴𝘵𝘢𝘬𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦: 𝘯𝘰𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘯𝘨𝘦𝘴. 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘤𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘳𝘦𝘮𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘴 𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭. 𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘥𝘦𝘭𝘶𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘢𝘥𝘯𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘤𝘳𝘰𝘸𝘥𝘴 𝘦𝘯𝘥𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘢𝘨𝘦𝘴.

𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘰𝘯𝘭𝘺 𝘲��𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘳𝘶𝘭𝘺 𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘵𝘰𝘥𝘢𝘺 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴: 𝘢𝘵 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘱𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘵 𝘥𝘰𝘦𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘶𝘴𝘪𝘤 𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘱?
𝘛𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 $𝟨𝟫 𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘭𝘭𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘲𝘶𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯. 𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰 𝘰𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘳. 𝘗𝘢𝘺 𝘯𝘰 𝘩𝘦𝘦𝘥 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘢𝘭𝘬 𝘰𝘧 𝘤𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦 𝘸𝘢𝘷𝘦𝘴 𝘰𝘳 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘳𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘶𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘺𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘴.

𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘣𝘶𝘵 𝘰𝘯𝘦 𝘢𝘣𝘴𝘰𝘭𝘶𝘵𝘦 𝘲𝘶𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘮𝘰𝘷𝘦𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 ��𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘺 𝘦𝘯𝘥? 𝘞𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘪𝘵 𝘥𝘰𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘢𝘴 𝘸𝘦 𝘮𝘪𝘳𝘳𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘨𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘵 𝘣𝘶𝘣𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘰𝘧 𝟤𝟢𝟢𝟢 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘵𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘦𝘵𝘴 𝘴𝘩𝘰𝘸𝘯 𝘰𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘵 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘰 𝘧𝘶𝘭𝘭 𝘷𝘪𝘦𝘸.

𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴, 𝘢𝘣𝘰𝘷𝘦 𝘢𝘭𝘭, 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘰𝘯𝘭𝘺 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘮𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘪𝘯 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘥𝘪𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘮𝘢𝘥𝘯𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘰𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵.

𝘠𝘰𝘶𝘳𝘴 𝘵𝘳𝘶𝘭𝘺,
𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘎𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘵 𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘴💫

[Blair Jensen @_TradeFollowers]

Why not both. See which one plays out. That's what channels are for, aren't they?

[bob coleman @profitsplusid]

Silver Alert

One Channel is not like the other (Sesame Street)

Silver has been in a defined channel or trading range since the peak in January. Bears would look at the green channel for the potential of lower lows, while bulls are watching the blue horizontal channel which would have confirmed a low last week.

Adding MACD, we see positive divergences building while RSI, has been flushed to levels not seen since the big drop in silver in April of 2025 (35 to 28).

The Federal Reserve meeting is today. Lower oil prices may be correcting the inflationary thesis and setting up for a neutral policy stance. Any dovish comments or removal of rate hike commentary may set silver up for a move to the top of the blue channel.

[The Factor Report @PeterLBrandt]

T-Bonds
On the basis of this charts Bayesian probability now favors the recent decline as a bear trap $ZB_F

[Otavio (Tavi) Costa @TaviCosta]

Game on for gold miners.

From weak hands to strong hands.

This is what a bottoming process looks like.

https://t.co/fgoZZOWPRS

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

Nice one from @FrankCappelleri in his note today.

That bearish S&P 500 pattern failed, much like what many bearish patterns tend to do in a bull market.

[Helene Meisler @Chartfest1]

Saturday Poll.

The next 100 points for the S&P?

[Tom McClellan @McClellanOsc]

@DavidBCollum Well, you don't want to buy a rocket company for its "breakup value".

[Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick]

Wall Street's most famous bearish signal isn't bearish.

Nice reminder from @granthawkridge that the Hindenburg Omen isn't bearish for stocks.

We've noted this many times, but Grant found some of the best years in recent memory had many HOs (2013, 2014, 2017, 2024, and 2025)

[Bit Harington @bitharington]

@MichaelXBT Drawing linear lines on a log scale chart is always a bad idea. Particularly for long-term graphs.

[Helene Meisler @Chartfest1]

Guys, please follow Neil's new account.

[Tom McClellan @McClellanOsc]

No, it doesn’t. “Correction territory” is not a term used by professionals, it is a stupid made-up TV journalism term. A correction is any movement of any size that is against the prevailing trend, but which does not establish a new trend. In an uptrend, a single downtick can be a corrective move. Or it can be the start of a downtrend. The size of the move does not tell you which it is.

So for those of you who want to demonstrate professionalism, let go of the silly “10% is a correction” theme. It does not serve you or anyone else well.