brock

discovering the future of work; ex enterprise agents @openai, eng @figma

[brock @____brock____]

@nextokens midtown is one of the great cases of nominative determinism

[dpark @itsdpark]

many don't realize that design is hospitality

[brock @____brock____]

@mannay these are stunning

[Travis Whitaker (hs/acc) @TravisMWhitaker]

Programmer discovering engineering management:

[brock @____brock____]

i disagree with him, there’s tons of proof points that generalization works, and that RSI is on the very near horizon.

this isn’t to say there’s not value in more, different distributions of data—but i think he’s taking his book more than he’s actually conveying real insight from the frontier.

[brock @____brock____]

@bri_guy_ny @dylanypyen Except it’s not misinformation. Coops that this year transacted for far below $5m are caught in the cross hairs of this because NYC assessments are deeply uneven.

[brock @____brock____]

@zentrad25019803 @constans @AlexBerenson you’re correct. they’re taxing any coop assessed at more than $1m and its causing tons of properties under $5m to get caught in the filter.

[brock @____brock____]

@henrytdowling @TheEthanDing that would squeeze their services and software margins and therefore put massive pressure on their revenue growth story, pushing down share price

[Yingtian Tang @yingtian_david]

🚨 NEW PREPRINT

Videos strongly shape activity across the visual cortex. But can we design videos that maximally drive specific brain regions?

We present NEvo 🧬🧠 — a neural-guided evolutionary framework that synthesizes videos to maximally activate target visual ROIs.

(1/10)

[Flappr @flapprdotnet]

"The fate of unborn millions will now depend, under God, on the courage and conduct of this army. Our cruel and unrelenting enemy leaves us only the choice of brave resistance, or the most abject submission. We have, therefore, to resolve to conquer or die.”

- George Washington, July 2, 1776

[brock @____brock____]

condos aren’t a great representation of the NYC market for two reasons;
1. much of the supply is coops not condos
2. condos uniquely experiences a massive bubble in the 2010s that broke due to corrected RE taxes and a reversion to the mean PPSQFT as speculation cooled
3. coop values are UP in real terms

chart shows the carrying cost of condos has far outpaced coops which has negatively weighed on resale.

[brock @____brock____]

@garyniv @visakanv don’t talk about our beauty like that

[prinz @deredleritt3r]

As a lawyer who uses LLMs every day at work, I feel qualified to respond.

First, hallucinations are no longer a problem. Consistent with the prediction you quoted from 2023, GPT-5.x almost never hallucinates. And overall, the percentage of inaccurate responses I get from GPT-5.2 Pro is lower than the percentage of inaccurate responses I would get from a competent junior associate (yes, fully accounting for hallucinations).

Second, people wildly overestimate the difficulty of most tasks performed by lawyers. The vast majority of the things we do are not nearly as challenging intellectually as solving an Erdos problem. Key skills for a lawyer are attention to detail, ability to synthesize and reason through precedent, ability to construct logical arguments, writing, research. LLMs are *very* good at most of these things even today, and top-tier LLMs (GPT-5.2 Pro) are excellent at them.

Put in another way, I feel that the biggest barrier to widespread adoption of AI by lawyers today is connectivity, interfaces, harnesses - *not* intelligence of the best models, and certainly not hallucinations. Unclear to what extent these issues will be resolved in the next 12-18 months, but given how economically valuable lawyers' work is, I wouldn't be surprised to see significant progress on that front. It's also worth considering that, given the general trend of rapidly falling costs of running reasoning models, it is likely that a model as intelligent as GPT-5.2 Pro, but *much* cheaper and faster, will be publicly available in the next 12-18 months.

Note that the above assumes (conservatively) that the next 12-18 months in AI will be relatively boring: no continual learning, no drop-in virtual employees, not much further progress in agentic AI (Codex), no significant progress in intelligence possessed by the best models. Relaxing these assumptions would mean that we should expect even faster progress.

[brock @____brock____]

@PottsJustin I remembered seeing this when listed before. Incredible roof, and the house is perfectly at home in new canaan. Odd that it’s now listed for over half a mil more than before with no added work. Unclear why the sellers were so confident.

[brock @____brock____]

@jononeum @gmoult vicenza gang

[brock @____brock____]

This is not the right take. You as a human would prefer a normalized catalogue/interface to flip through when trying to compare items rather than unstructured and inefficient walls of text that make otherwise easy comparison tedious.

UIs just happen to be hyper optimized for visual inspection, but APIs are much more efficient.

[Sam Altman @sama]

if i were like, a sports star or an artist or something, and just really cared about doing a great job at my thing, and was up at 5 am practicing free throws or whatever, that would seem pretty normal right?

the first part of openai was unbelievably fun; we did what i believe is the most important scientific work of this generation or possibly a much greater time period than that.

this current part is less fun but still rewarding. it is extremely painful as you say and often tempting to nope out on any given day, but the chance to really "make a dent in the universe" is more than worth it; most people don't get that chance to such an extent, and i am very grateful. i genuinely believe the work we are doing will be a transformatively positive thing, and if we didn't exist, the world would have gone in a slightly different and probably worse direction.

(working hard was always an extremely easy trade until i had a kid, and now an extremely hard trade.)

i do wish i had taken equity a long time ago and i think it would have led to far fewer conspiracy theories; people seem very able to understand "ok that dude is doing it because he wants more money" but less so "he just thinks technology is cool and he likes having some ability to influence the evolution of technology and society". it was a crazy tone-deaf thing to try to make the point "i already have enough money".

i believe that AGI will be the most important technology humanity has yet built, i am very grateful to get to play an important role in that and work with such great colleagues, and i like having an interesting life.

[brock @____brock____]

@Alex76905294 @DeepDishEnjoyer Yes but it’s also important to trade Euro style options not American so early execution of a single leg isn’t possible, which is what puts you at risk.

[henrylmcnamara @henrylmcnamara]

I think reducing everything to a casino will have some negative long term consequences for society

[AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️ @AISafetyMemes]

a16z has gone full cartoon villain