Excited to share our new paper in Earth, Planets and Space! AI models can forecast where and how many aftershocks will occur following major earthquakes, matching the performance of an ETAS benchmark at a fraction of the cost.
https://t.co/y7B9PDldIS
#AI#Seismology#Forecasting
Earthquake forecasting tools powered by artificial intelligence (AI) can forecast the risk of aftershocks seconds after the initial tremor, a study by BGS, @uniofedinburgh and @UniPD_Research suggests.
https://t.co/QhkHNWl988
Wherever you live in the world, your climate is getting warmer.
21st June is #ShowYourStripes day when we ask everyone to use the warming stripes to talk about how we are already experiencing the consequences of climate change.
Download your stripes: https://t.co/NCt3GNpeSN
Weather forecasts have become much more accurate. A four-day forecast today is as accurate as a one-day forecast 30 years ago.
The chart here shows the difference between the forecast and the actual weather outcome for forecasts 3, 5, 7, and 10 days in advance. The metric used here is the “500 hPa geopotential height”, a commonly used meteorological measure of air pressure — which dictates weather patterns.
The solid line is for the Northern Hemisphere, and the dashed line is for the Southern.
Three-day forecasts have been pretty accurate since the 1980s, and have still gotten a lot better over time. Today the accuracy is around 97%.
The biggest improvements we’ve seen are for longer timeframes. By the early 2000s, 5-day forecasts were “highly accurate” and 7-day forecasts are reaching that threshold today. 10-day forecasts aren’t quite there yet but are getting better.
This data comes from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which produces global numerical weather models and publishes analyses of its errors over time. While national weather agencies use much higher-resolution processing to get local forecasts, these global models provide a crucial input into those more local systems.
As a state of emergency is declared on the Greek island of Santorini, BGS seismologists are using artificial intelligence technology to provide high-resolution images of the ongoing seismic activity, in a bid to enhance short-term forecasting accuracy.
https://t.co/eWeyUfsfCf
Could #AI help save Scottish #Gaelic? I'll be giving my thoughts on this Pandora's Box on 4 Dec 2024 at 5.15pm. Please join me if you are near Edinburgh that night. All welcome! Bhiodh fàilte oirbh!
https://t.co/K5LbdTlZ0J
🆕Paper | Detecting spatio-temporal dynamics of western European heatwaves using deep learning
📰Art. Intel. for the Earth System @ametsoc
👏 @HappeTamara J.S. Wijnands, @miguelangelft, P. Scussolini @LauraMuntjewerf & @DimCoumou
🔎https://t.co/6MTTgOgnkW
@VU_IVM@KNMI
Με αφορμή την Διεθνή Ημέρα για Καθαρό Αέρα & Γαλάζιους Ουρανούς στις 7/9, ο @WMO εξέδωσε δελτίο τύπου σχετικά με την ποιότητα του αέρα που αναπνέουμε. Σημαντική ήταν η συνεισφορά του προγράμματος @CopernicusECMWF μέσω της υπηρεσίας #CopernicusAtmosphere🧵: https://t.co/qWQZul5Edq
How is #MachineLearning going to advance weather forecasting? Director-General @FlorenceRabier sets out the growing role of machine learning at ECMWF as well as the continuing importance of physics-based modelling ➡ https://t.co/YuIHMwYICI
The use of #AI and #MachineLearning is significantly advancing weather prediction, and the UK is leading this technological revolution.
Prof Kirstine Dale @metoffice & Dr @scotthosking@turinginst, share how the partnership is driving this innovation.
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Exceptionally hot 🌞conditions in south-eastern Europe 🇪🇺negatively impacted the yield potential of summer crops🌻🌽. Hot conditions coincided with limited water 🫧 availability, as was often the case in Hungary🇭🇺, Romania🇷🇴, Bulgaria 🇧🇬and Greece🇬🇷.
https://t.co/Nax8Djfol6
New air quality stripes!
Find your city and see how the air quality has changed over the past 170+ years.
https://t.co/6Xhw2QA9D9
Built by: @KJPringle & @jimmcquaid
ClimateXChange are offering x 4 #postdoc research opportunities with the Scottish Government, informing policies in: diet and climate, the just transition to net zero, peat-free horticulture, or electricity market reform.
Further information: https://t.co/TRiFHIltFf
Thessaloniki launches a groundbreaking platform for cleaner air & healthier living. Our new tool offers real-time air quality updates & warnings for vulnerable groups, supported by the EU's LIFE SIRIUS initiative. Together, we're building a greener, healthier city. #LIFEprogramme
PhD Fellowship openings with the @NOA_ReACT team in Athens 🇬🇷 and across multiple EU locations: Nicosia 🇨🇾 REading 🇬🇧 Évora🇵🇹 Barcelona 🇪🇸 Darmstadt🇩🇪 Karlsruhe 🇩🇪 Davos🇨🇭
Apply now: https://t.co/8fdIzZnmAI