David Paulus

Crisis data and decision-making | actually have a PhD in this but who listens | papers:

[Jeremy Konyndyk @JeremyKonyndyk]

Over 1000 cases barely a week past detection.

Soon to be the 2nd largest Ebola outbreak ever, and echoing the 2014 mega-outbreak in all the worst ways.

A thread outlining the huge challenge that looms, and some thoughts on what must be done:

https://t.co/Ig3tjEZsDW

[Helen Branswell 🇨🇦 @HelenBranswell]

1. #WHO has declared the #Ebola #Bundibugyo outbreak in NE DRC a public health emergency of international concern, aka a PHEIC. Yet another sign this is likely to be a very challenging outbreak.
So far there've been 8 confirmed cases, 246 suspected cases & 80 suspected deaths.

[Francesca Albanese, UN Special Rapporteur oPt @FranceskAlbs]

2yrs after the Oct 7 crimes against Israeli civilians, Israel's most lethal aggression against the Palestinians continues, causing unspeakable suffering.
Violence won’t end if States facilitate illegal occupation, apartheid, and now genocide, as they have done for the past 58yrs.

[UNOSAT @UNOSAT]

The United Nations Satellite Centre (@UNOSAT) has released an updated satellite-based assessment of structural damage in the #Gaza Strip. As of 8 July, approximately 78% of all structures—around 193,000—are damaged, including 102,000 that are destroyed.
➡️https://t.co/Bfmd5NM098

[Francesca Albanese, UN Special Rapporteur oPt @FranceskAlbs]

So little, so late, President @vonderleyen :
After you have given Israel 21 months a free pass in Gaza, it will take more than words to prevent Israel from completing its genocidal mission and overt ethnic cleansing campaign. And even more, to repair what's left of the EU credibility.

[Jeremy Howard @jeremyphoward]

Here's a complete unedited video of asking Grok for its views on the Israel/Palestine situation.

It first searches twitter for what Elon thinks. Then it searches the web for Elon's views. Finally it adds some non-Elon bits at the end.
ZA
54 of 64 citations are about Elon.

[Bill Madden @maddenifico]

Regarding Elon Musk's America Party: Perhaps if Musk had never backed dictator-wannabe Trump, never supported the fascist authoritarian takeover of American democracy, never promoted far-right conspiracies and disinformation, never gave a Sieg Heil Nazi salute at Trump's inauguration, never backed Germany's fascist far-right AfD Party, and never called Social Security a "Ponzi Scheme" — if all these things Elon Musk did never happened, perhaps then I'd have an interest in his America Party. But given the fact that Musk actually did all these repulsive things, to pretend that his America Party is somehow centrist is fucking laughable.

[Jeremy Konyndyk @JeremyKonyndyk]

Extremely powerful and thorough investigation further confirms the Sunday massacre was:
- committed by the IDF, and
- directly linked to the GHF aid distribution

GHF & Israeli govt denied this as fake news for days.

But in reality: massacre risk is baked into the GHF model.

[World Food Programme @WFP]

More than 335,000 people have received WFP emergency assistance after arriving in Tawila, in #Sudan's North Darfur region.

More food and nutrition supplies are on the way as the number of people seeking safety climbs.

Watch as WFP's Yawar explains ⤵️

[Yohan @yohaniddawela]

Turns out there are some pretty big issues with DHS data.

A new study finds massive subnational differences in data quality across 35 African countries.

Here's the breakdown:

[Ben Phillips @benphillips76]

Zoom in!

Genius from @DGlaucomflecken

[Jeremy Konyndyk @JeremyKonyndyk]

Spoke with CNN today about what it actually takes to deploy disaster and outbreak response operations - and how Elon’s vendetta against @USAID has destroyed the US Government’s ability to do so.

[Jeremy Konyndyk @JeremyKonyndyk]

The "receipts" that DOGE has posted this evening show yet again that these morons can't interpret government data.

@SecRubio has issued waivers for food aid & lifesaving funding, but even a cursory scan of the canceled contracts finds lifesaving expenses being canceled.

[@timnitGebru (@dair-community.social/bsky.social) @timnitGebru]

OpenAI has to be the most insufferable company in the world. They can steal from the whole world & guzzle all resources. But no one can give them a taste of their own medicine even a little bit.

https://t.co/D9oKpKgofr

[Nathaniel Raymond @nattyray11]

🆘 RSF IS EXECUTING ALL OUT ASSAULT ON EL FASHER 🆘 Read @HRL_YaleSPH documentation of heaviest combat engagement near and within the city since siege of capital of north Darfur began last spring. Emergency report from @HRL_YaleSPH @YaleSPH below ⬇️ ⬇️ ⬇️

[David Paulus @_paulusd]

“In the chaos of conflict, clinging to unattainable quantitative thresholds isn’t just unrealistic,” Ainashe told Reuters. “It’s a fatal oversight that risks abandoning entire populations to suffer and die in silence.”
https://t.co/rWdQ4JxRqv

[David Paulus @_paulusd]

In conflicts, one can always argue the data is "outdated" or "inaccurate" just because the population is displaced on an ongoing basis, and people's needs change.

This can't be an argument against the publication of a report.

[David Paulus @_paulusd]

This political influence defeats the purpose of an objective famine early warning system.

Also, the argument is trivial.

https://t.co/s2QsaivBLy

[David Paulus @_paulusd]

"USAID...noted discrepancies in population estimates and some other data...FEWS NET did not resolve any of these concerns and published in spite of these technical comments and a request for substantive engagement before publication. As such, USAID asked to retract the report."