@firesidealpha I think market has made up its mind that it doesn’t give a about “compute is sold out”. It reminds me 2018 “cloud capacity is sold out”. Only difference is, no one bidding up beta since rates are not zero. Macro matters.
@Howey0616641896@Gfilche@BosCybertruck First time it’s time consuming u have to give a lot of info about yourself. Second time much much faster. Also, while
It books for you, you can do other things with your time.
@chamath Using simple CDS math, assuming 500 up front coupon, 25% recovery assumed,
Coreweave CDS at ~ 1000 pricing in 13.3% probability of default in 12 months
Cumulative PD to tenor (5 year) ~ close to 50%
@SubuTrade I mean these stats are always cool to look at I guess, but they don't really provide much insight.
Stocks go up 100% of the time given a long enough time frame.
IMO a more useful stat would be to show when breadth thrust kick in and market still goes down
That’s it! Thanks for checking out my thread.
Target 1-3x/week, 1-3 sets of 5-30 reps
I hope it helps you build strong knees.
If you enjoyed this, 2 requests:
1. Follow me @singhcredible to become a great runner
2. Share this so others can read it
@ilzizzo @TheBostonView MW is no genius. People always worship someone who helped them preserve capital for 6m. But if he missed a sizable bull mkt, no one will get crucified for that. he can make these bear calls is coz his employer is a large wealth manager. He won’t be doing this if he was at an ib