platnerchecker

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@realPrestonHill I mean, D+8 environment means a D+6 generic ballot in NC. And Cooper’s a strong candidate so he gets a boost from that. 9 points would be a pretty expected result

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@PollTracker2024 Surely the 50th woke culture war clip from 2020 will get him!

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@JDP_PTL @PpollingNumbers No, democrats have -11 approval rating. Republicans have a -15 approval rating. Democrats are now more popular than the Republican Party for the first time in years

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@UNATCOHillaryPC If you think Whatley or Collins will even get close to winning I have a beachhouse property in Idaho to sell you

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@InsideElections When are you going to make Texas a tossup?

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@QuantusInsights Same mistake Alan Lichtman made in 2024. It doesn’t matter what the objective economic numbers are, it matters how voters feel about it. And right now, voters are more than 2-1 negative on Trump’s economy, those are apocalyptic numbers

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@motherfqrjonez @sethjlevy You think Trump is more rational and sane than he actually is

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

ConET makes a lot more sense once you realize they mentally add +5 points to the republicans in every poll, and add 7 if the democrat leads by more than 5

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@BeshearStan @dakplswin3 @georgia_psc I’d like to note that those crosstabs are from their last poll, not this poll, because they “mysteriously” did not release recall vote this time. But all their recent polls have been in that Trump+9-11 range, and bases off top lines this one is no different (probably higher tbh)

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@Snarfalarf @earlyvotedata I’m actually being conservative to them with that estimation. All their recent polls are Trump+9-10. They DIDN’T release recall vote this time because they didn’t want to be clowned (my screenshot is from their last poll where they did), but it’s probably Trump+10-15

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@cmd__8 @overtoninsights @DRvulupa @AzelfDaGirl That’s just how people say they’ll vote

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@Darthballz619 It’s weighted to an R+11 party ID lol. Idk how they got that

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@MetsFanInTexas Trump+11 sample btw

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@realPrestonHill This is a Trump+11 sample btw

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@BobJ1652180 @PpollingNumbers The poll is sponsored by a right wing think tank lol this is not good for Abbott or Paxton

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@PollTracker2024 @grok Is this company’s polling usually more R biased or D biased?

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@Peachorino @Darthballz619 Paxton can’t even get 44% of the vote in those same aggregates! That’s a huge problem for him

[platnerchecker @anon864296]

@smith_cade9 Paxton could pull out all the stops and it would still be a 50/50 race. This ad blitz only saves it from being a 70/30 race. Do not get complacent! Remember georgia 2022! We would have 60 senate seats right now if not for shit candidates!