Anvar Sarygulov

Policy wonk. Interested in social security, inequality, elections. Previously Head of Research @WeAreBrightBlue. All views my own. 🌈

[Dan Tomlinson MP @dantomlinsonmp]

No.

We won a landslide majority on a mandate of solving the housing crisis and growing our economy.

People voted for change, for prosperity and for a party that was honest about what needed to be done.

Now is the time to do, not duck, the hard choices.

[Phoebe Arslanagić-Little @PMArslanagic]

Perhaps the most forward-thinking thing the government can do for the UK’s economy & future is to make it easier to have children, for everyone.

In this Telegraph piece about our ageing society, I argue it shouldn’t be so hard to be a parent.
https://t.co/MlCVPRStbq

[Torsten Bell @TorstenBell]

The context for the debate about whether benefits should be cut next week? They already have been A LOT. Impact of benefits not keeping pace with inflation, plus other cuts, since 2010 is huge: the poorest fifth are around £2,700 a year worse off.

[Anvar Sarygulov @ASarygulov]

@s8mb I'm afraid this is incorrect. Around half of tenancies which end are periodic tenancies, which have no end-lease point, so this is a common arrangement. Section 21 is far more likely to be used to end an ongoing periodic tenancy, not to end a fixed term tenancy.

[Tom Forth @thomasforth]

We have now invested more on transport, on research & development, and in institutions in London and South East England for another decade. Far from trying to level up, we have actively deepened economic divides. And it has made almost all of us poorer. https://t.co/orguwlzswz

[Phoebe Arslanagić-Little @PMArslanagic]

The Baby Boom swept over a vast range of countries, from the UK & Australia, to Finland & France.

In the US alone, 76 million babies were born in its peak 18 years.

In @WorksInProgMag, @ASarygulov & I investigate what caused this demographic phenomenon.
https://t.co/i6qqzaXfAH

[Anvar Sarygulov @ASarygulov]

@IGMansfield Successful PIP claims have increased across all age groups, and across both physical and mental health. Non-benefit related indicators of poor health also up. It's clearly a major driver of rising caseload, acknowledging this doesn't mean thinking every claim is genuine.

[Anvar Sarygulov @ASarygulov]

@IGMansfield DWP can't make people healthy. There's been a sustained rise in poor health, hence also rising PIP caseload. Data from IFS: https://t.co/l2gfwxLJCg

[Anvar Sarygulov @ASarygulov]

3. The Government should look into creating a new contributory, higher-level and time-limited element in Universal Credit, which will provide better short-term income protection for those who have recently become unemployed.

[Anvar Sarygulov @ASarygulov]

UK’s social security system continues to be inadequate, inaccessible and unfair for many, as outlined in the final report I have authored for @wearebrightblue.
https://t.co/XtsVUKGAks

[Anvar Sarygulov @ASarygulov]

2. The DWP should create a centralised digital platform for all Universal Credit claimants, which will act as a single referral, application and processing platform for all working-age social security, and give the claimants greater control over how they receive their payments.

[Anvar Sarygulov @ASarygulov]

It is very welcome news that benefits will likely be uprated in line with inflation, as called for by @WeAreBrightBlue. As I have outlined last month, it is both a good policy and good politics.
https://t.co/RSC4DpUQPt

[The i Paper @theipaper]

Benefit cuts won’t encourage more people into work, but mental health support packages can

🔵 @ASarygulov for @ipaperviews https://t.co/S9UZ5YJr8g

[Anvar Sarygulov @ASarygulov]

As @OpiniumResearch polling is showing, Tory party members are not tax-slashing zealots some paint them to be. There is room for a much more nuanced debate about how the tax system can be reformed, and how tax burden is distributed between income and wealth.

[Sam Freedman @Samfr]

"Thinking about the amount of money the government raises in taxes and then spends on public services (such as health and education), do you think they should…?"

Less tax/less spending 29%
More tax/more spending 20%
Keep as now 38%

[Ryan Shorthouse @RyanShorthouse]

🚨 OUT TODAY @WeAreBrightBlue’s new report, by @wilflytton and I, on how to build a competitive and clean steel industry in the UK

💡 To achieve that, we identify 5 objectives and offer 7 new policy recommendations

📚 Read here: https://t.co/bXzRG0yPzw

[Anvar Sarygulov @ASarygulov]

The current political climate is too chaotic for creating impactful policies that can deal with the immense cost-of-living pressures, help us reach net zero and address a dozen of other challenges facing the UK right now.

Something needs to change.

[Bright Blue @WeAreBrightBlue]

📻 Our Head of Research, @ASarygulov, reacts to the resignation of both Rishi Sunak and Sajid Javid on @LBC.

He says whatever lies ahead for the #Conservative Party, it must pursue "forward-thinking, creative policy" to deal with #NetZero and the #CostOfLivingCrisis.

[Sarah O'Connor @sarahoconnor_]

Really not a fan of all this morally loaded "workers must show pay restraint" rhetoric. It's entirely rational for people facing 10% inflation to try to get a pay rise. Tell them no if you want, but don't tell them they were wrong to even ask.