Andrej Sokol

Economist @Bloomberg. Formerly @ECB, @BankofEngland. Views are my own.

[CEPR @cepr_org]

New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP17982
CBDC Policies in Open Economies
Michael Kumhof @CFMUK @bankofengland, @marco_pinchetti @CFMUK @bankofengland, @phurichai @bankofthailand, @asokol_econ @Bloomberg
https://t.co/fyCcHi9VAq
#CEPR_IMF, #CEPR_MEF

[Björn van Roye @RoyeBjorn]

With US CPI for December coming out at 6.5% today, our brand new Blomberg Economics nowcast scored a perfect hit. It had also been pointing in the right direction since mid-December...

[Björn van Roye @RoyeBjorn]

Our new MF-BVAR nowcast model pointed to the risk of a negative reading for U.S. GDP growth early on. This time both nowcast models, the @AtlantaFed GDPNow and our model, did a better job than consensus this time. @asokol_econ @economics @BhargaviSakthiv @OwenMinde

[Bloomberg Economics @economics]

#DailyDataPoint: Euro-zone inflation looks likely to stay above 8% through 2022, but next year Bloomberg Economics’ @asokol_econ & @RoyeBjorn see a high probability of a sharp drop toward the European Central Bank’s 2% target https://t.co/HTWiD7IdpK

[Zoe Schneeweiss @ZSchneeweiss]

Sharp drop for euro-zone inflation in 2023 looks likely https://t.co/q01003V6we via @asokol_econ @RoyeBjorn

[Bloomberg Economics @economics]

#DailyDataPoint: US nowcast model says recession might already be here (via @asokol_econ & @RoyeBjorn) https://t.co/yKQZOxaqMT

[Björn van Roye @RoyeBjorn]

We have just released our new U.S. nowcasting model, which is updated on a daily basis. Similar to the @AtlantaFed GDPNow, it assigns a high probability that US Q2 GDP turns out negative.

[Fernando Eguren @fereguren]

Our paper with @asokol_econ on FX tail risk is now available at the IMF Econ Review’s website (open access!). Have a look here: https://t.co/6SlwYwVklj

[Fernando Eguren @fereguren]

Our paper with @asokol_econ on characterising tail risk in FX has been accepted for publication at the IMF ER!
Link below for those interested

https://t.co/HCuJY5q30J

[Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi @AmbrogioCB]

Our paper on "Financial shocks, credit spreads, and the international credit channel" (w @asokol_econ) is now out in the JIE!

Many thanks to editor (@skalemliozcan), referees, and everyone who commented on the paper over the past six (!) years

A short 🧵
https://t.co/GmtefUt42U

[Francesca Monti @FrancescaVMonti]

My paper with Jacopo Cimadomo, @DomenicoGiannon, @miclenza and Andrej Sokol on “Nowcasting with large Bayesian vector autoregressions” is now available for download from @JEconometrics. https://t.co/5tuU95Lz4d.

A short thread: 1/n