Avishai Schiff

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@AndyStaples This part also seems important, if you're not just interested in making it look like Texas just buys players: “It didn’t really get that crazy; he was going to Texas the whole time,” they said. “I think he was using us to get the price up at UT, which I’m fine with."

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@JoshKraushaar Isn't this a parody acct?

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@ZaidJilani https://t.co/59REnjEfRr americans would never vote for back to back car salesman prez

[Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump]

Number one, it's a great product, as good as it gets—and number two, because @ElonMusk has devoted his energy and his life to doing this and I think he has been treated very unfairly…

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@mattyglesias How much of "tariffs are bad" is inflationary pressure due to pass through, how much is due to threat of retaliatory tariffs, and how much is due to strong dollar and exports? Seems like #1 and #3 can't both really hold?

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@ZaidJilani In theory it could make sense, but in reality, this is the Israeli far-right's wet dream.

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@Yair_Rosenberg I would add one more (smaller) point: I think the right-wing flank would have been outraged had this deal gone through under Biden (he let Hamas off the hook!), but Trump has them heeled

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@Ian_A_Boyd brace both legs!

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@CJVogel_OTF Pretty sure the GT HC spent the last 4 OTs practicing his "almost had'em" midfield handshake look rather than actually coaching the team

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@BlakeMunroeOTF 2 or three of those for like -20. Good on Arkansas for blowing up our short game in that half

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@SeanTrende I remember in 2020, the actual counted ballots were lower than estimated outstanding ballot counts and also I imagine some under votes. So I suspect fewer total ballots remain

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@jasonfurman @maximlott Are betting markets pricing off of empirical or risk neutral probabilities?

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@AGHamilton29 Doesn't your personal view ascribe a lot of real time mental acuity to Biden, beyond what you would normally ascribe?

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@TPCarney Actually it's even more than just being charitable - I think the best thing for the country is to have a president say he did not want to call 50% of the electorate garbage. We should give him the latitude to walk it back

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@TPCarney I don't know man, seems like we can be charitable about this

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@AGHamilton29 to be that guy, sounds like he was going to say the garbage is the Trump supporters' demonization, then he switched it to "his" demonization, trying to lay it on Trump rather than on the comic who made the comments

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@jessesingal Dems are masochists and so you have it backwards - Kamala would need to drop a point in the average

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@SethAMandel @neontaster I am more partial to the Moneyball analogy. "We can re-create him in the aggregate."

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@CFBNerds TBF @Ian_A_Boyd is writing on a Texas site, where by this logic, the fan base should lap up bad news about OU

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@DinaPomeranz @NateSilver538 My guess is it's pr(harris wins pop vote) * (1 - p(harris loses EC | winning pop vote). I assume p(trump winning EC | trump winning pop vote) is essentially 1

[Avishai Schiff @avischiff]

@Noahpinion Dr. Ruth and Dr. Drew are the real Elders of Zion