$TAO/BTC Technical
41 days to the halving.
Chart is starting to talk.
Current pair: 0.0044 BTC
August peak: 0.009 BTC
Drawdown: 51%
Latest move: +14% off the lows
This looks like a bottoming process, not a breakdown.
Support keeps holding around 0.0044.
Bounces are picking up volume.
Failed breakdowns.
Higher lows starting to print.
Translation: sellers exhausted, quiet accumulation.
Why TAO/BTC matters: if BTC runs and the ratio stops falling or turns up, TAO/USD gains leverage.
Conservative path: BTC up, TAO/BTC flat, TAO follows.
Better path: BTC up, TAO/BTC tags 0.006, TAO outperforms.
Bull path: BTC up, TAO/BTC revisits 0.009, TAO accelerates.
Now the catalyst.
Halving in 41 days at 10.5M TAO.
Emissions go from 1.0 to 0.5 per block.
New supply cut by half.
Daily sell pressure cut by half.
If demand holds or grows, price adjusts upward. Basic math.
Fundamentals did not disappear during the drawdown.
Subnets kept shipping.
Revenue models are emerging.
Quality is verified.
This is not a whitepaper trade.
Like the old days
I'm watching:
Hold above 0.0044 BTC.
Break and hold 0.0050 to flip momentum.
Next bands at 0.006 and 0.009.
Volume on green days.
BTC strength into year end.
Risk is a clean break under 0.0040 with weak BTC.
Reward is a move back toward 0.006 to 0.009 into or around the halving window.
Plain & Simple:
Deep correction.
Sideways build.
Known catalyst approaching.
Macro tailwind from BTC.
Actual network progress in the background.
This is what accumulation looks like before the next leg.
Position sizing and patience matter.
The market will price the first $TAO halving in real time.
Payments (Neo Banks/Stables) + Agents + Robotics = Neo Finance
Tele-operated robots stole the spotlight this week as 1X opened pre-orders for its humanoid helpers; reigniting the debate on just how close we are to the Physical AI breakthrough
Benefits will spill into DeAI, so here's an update for the past week:
- @coinbase publishes its Q3 earnings report, mentioning Agentic Commerce and payments (in light of x402 returning to focus). This may seem trivial to most but for a listed entity to publicly comment on this as a directional trend for global payments is significant
- @AlloraNetwork unveils details of its Allora Prime program: Duration is 9 months, supply 3.3% of ALLO and top tranche is 50% of the rewards. Stakers and prior participants will be rewarded. The Allora technical roadmap is also released - I've got my eye on 'Phase 5' (Robotics)
- @GoKiteAI reveals its $KITE tokenomics with 48% for eco and community, 10bn total tokens. Binance Alpha to feature Kite first on November 3rd. SBTs also distributed for select creators
- @bluwhaleai also reveals 8,888 NFTs; could we see this as more ways of rewarding loyal community members with airdrops in the future? Meanwhile their $10m Series A continues to make media headlines
- @SemanticLayer announces our Series A, led by @greenfield_cap bringing total raised to $5M to advance AI autonomy onchain
- @useTria opens its community raise through @legiondotcc - they also confirmed an airdrop for premium card holders: Use code for up to 20% discount: https://t.co/0lWwMdz3X1
- @telegram CEO Pavel Durov unveils “Cocoon”, a TON-based decentralized GPU network for privacy preserving inference.
- @surfai introduces "Evil mode" for spooky season, offering a fresh spin on its AI crypto research models. Give it a whirl for free here: https://t.co/9P7RvXSHCV (3-day pro membership)
- @tengyanAI +CoT produce a comprehensive report on SURF, well worth the read: https://t.co/zl2zeAwUv6
- @openservai unveils its prediction market arena competition where agents compete based on betting performance
- @virtuals_io is covered in a report by @fundstrat, essentially highlighting the potential for Base airdrop, AI potential with x402 in the limelight and primed for alt season. Also partnered with @Infinit_Labs to scale agentic DeFi
- @extropic reveals a thermodynamic computer that is 10,000x more energy efficient, opening up the realms of possibility for AI training. h/t @beffjezos and the team for this
- CEO @katanationcyber represented @NaorisProtocol at the Global Investors Symposium in Mexico City, pushing forward awareness around Quantum computing and cybersecurity threats; especially as AI + quantum computing advances
- Kaiko launches its @TheARCTERMINAL; the "autonomous reasoning computer". You can talk to Anima, your EQ powered agent. Most models focus on quantitative factual outputs, this offers a unique emotive angle that many are overlooking
- @almanak hits $1m in yield paid out from its AI swarm of agents; currently leading on AUA (Assets Under Agent) with > $150m and 15% yields on its alUSD vaults as we approach TGE
- @caesar_data rolls out x402 support enabling agents to make micropayments to access Caesar's deep research tooling
- @Treasure_DAO launches "AI Frens"; a platform on @Base where AI becomes a virtual creator, builds a fanbase, and earns onchain
- Pi Network Ventures makes its first investment into @openmind_agi (OS for Robots)
- @Velvet_Capital partners with @falconfinance + @olaxbt for AI Driven vault management on BNB using x402 for micro-transactions
- @sire_agent commences "Buy-Back and Burn" with profits generated from its αVault
- @khalani_network goes live on @0G_labs to bring intent driven execution to the AI L1
- @vooi_io rolls out support for Aster DEX; both YZiLabs backed entities. Worth paying attention to VOOI which aggregates Perp DEXs for the optimal solution for the end user. VOOI V2 implements Chain Abstraction and Derivatives Marketplace concepts using agents
- @WesternUnion is building on Solana; could we see them lean into agentic payments like other payment behemoths?
- @gaib_ai provides more details of its $AID token and architecture
- @pieverse_io brings x402 to @BNBCHAIN, enabling micropayments by agents over on BNB
Where's this headed?
"The biggest embodied AI opportunity will be humanoid robots" - (Cathie Wood: CNBC interview, Oct 2025)"
Once we get digital AI sorted, physical will be next.
Let me know (politely) in the comments if I've missed anything and I'll append below!
Disclaimer: I hold several tokens and have partnerships with some projects mentioned in this post.
It takes a great deal of effort for our Head of AI to calm his mathematical gigabrain but when he does, we get a beautifully eloquent yet comprehensive explanation of the revolution we have started.
Some BIG changes coming to the #TAO ecosystem. The first TGIFT back in almost two years, did not disappoint. Here are some updates from tonights #TGIFT🧵
1. Root Auto-sell, No Longer Mandatory
As of Monday, you'll be able to toggle if you want your interest on Root to come as TAO "Risk Free Yield", Or as a basket of alpha tokens.
Thoughts:
- Not sure if you will be able to select the alpha tokens or you'll have to get all alpha tokens "Dust" as a result
- Could put Trusted Stake business model slightly at risk
- Could be an interesting opportunity for DATs to differentiate themselves by holding different baskets of Alpha tokens
2. Updates coming to how we calculate TAO emissions into subnets.
My basic understanding...
Old Calculation: Alpha Price
New Calculation: TAO emissions will be calcluated by a moving average of the TAO flow in/out of your liquidity pool over time.
In Simple Terms: If TAO flows into the liquidity pool are increasing (Positive Motion), emissions increase. If TAO is flowing out, (Negative Motion), emissions decrease.
Reason: While price is a good indicator of value, it is technically what we're trying to incentivize. What we are trying to incentivize are subnets that are good at "sequestering" TAO.
Subnets sequester TAO by getting people to buy into their liquidity pools. More TAO in liquidity pools, less TAO to be sold on open market.
Thoughts:
- This should accelerate the death of extractive subnets
- This should drive high emissions for "top of mind" subnets
- This should reduce the benefit of having early subnets with large liquidity pools
- Subnet emission schedule will become less stable
- This will shake up the subnet leaderboards on Taostats more often
I think most of Bittensor is underestimating @sundaebar_ai. Especially the purists. I see a lot of negative ninnies criticising a bunch of new subnets because the codebase or IM or Vali mechanism isn't live or airtight.
But many of the subnets I see being socially hammered have only been alive for like a month or two. Why is there not more furore towards subnets haven't done anything after 9 months of activity? Or 2 years of inactivity and milking emissions?
Yes it's very early days for Sundae and they're getting their ducks in a row, but they are extremely revenue focused.
Also, the secret sauce that Sundae has which NO subnet has, is the Tradfi capital market linkage.
Technically, they could/literally have the ability to raise mega amounts of money (in dTAO terms) for "cheap" to just buy alpha and choose where on the leaderboard they wish to sit. And keep doing so until revenue plugs the gap...
Sundae is the first and won't be the only. And these chimeras have the ability to think and be capitalised a lot longer than other subnets...
I personally am all for this. It's an inevitable next step of subnet/dTAO maturity as bigger boys n gals enter the space which will ultimately lift the general tide.
The Incentive Layer #Bittensor documentary is dropping tomorrow at 16:00 UTC
You can watch it here 👉 https://t.co/q6l3M2ICWu
The @taostats team helped @evert_scott create a brand new sexy website for the documentary launch 🔥
Grab your popcorn..
$TAO
France introduces a bill to accumulate 2% of Bitcoin’s fixed supply and establish Europe’s First Bitcoin Strategic Reserve⚡️
This bill from @partiudr@eciotti proposes the acquisition of 420,000 BTC over 7-8 years to protect France’s financial sovereignty using nuclear and hydroelectrical Bitcoin mining and perpetual holding of Bitcoin ⚡️
Capital B, France’s and Europe’s First Bitcoin Treasury Company @_ALCPB, is ready for that future ⚡️🇫🇷⚡️
2 projets avec des actions à valider AVANT un TGE imminent ✅
🟣 Monad
—> Pour recevoir des tokens le jour du lancement du mainnet, il faut checker tes wallets + réseaux sociaux afin de valider ton éligibilité. Ça se passe ici pour t’enregistrer : https://t.co/6eK4t7VRP9
—> N’hésite pas à checker tous les wallets possibles : au niveau de l’activité on-chain, ça cible plutôt large.
—> Je viens de voir passer des tweets mentionnant une upgrade pour les utilisateurs avec une bonne activité Discord (semblerait être un intermédiaire avec les allocations les plus élevés)
—> Si tu ne le fais pas avant le 3 novembre, les tokens auxquels tu aurais peut être été éligible ne te seront jamais distribués.
—> Je m’attends à une grosse allocation du côté des 5 500 membres de la communauté qui ont chopé le rôle Community Last.
—> Les premières allocations devraient être visibles dès aujourd’hui, ce qui donnera un bon ordre d’idée de l’ampleur du drop.
—> La suite sera disponible le 3 novembre avec l’intégralité des allocations dévoilées.
🔘 Kinetiq
Le fameux LST d’Hyperliquid qui permet de bootstrap des $HYPE pour lancer des marchés HIP-3.
—> Comme pour l’airdrop d’Hyperliquid, pour récupérer tes tokens il faut signer les conditions d’utilisation (tu peux le faire ici) : https://t.co/fzFL8xtSVa
—> IMO, les estimations qu’on voit circuler sur Twitter à 20 $+ le point sont exagérées, je préfère ne pas avoir d’attentes.
—> Tu as jusqu’au 21 novembre pour valider, sinon tu seras non éligible par défaut.
2 annonces qui changent le game ✅
🔵 Base
—> Teasing d’un « possible » token qui pourrait voir le jour.
—> Pas à nous Base, pas à nous… c’est très probablement programmé depuis le tout début.
—> JPMorgan valorise cet hypothétique token entre 12 et 34 milliards $.
—> Un nouveau guild de quêtes que j’ai pas encore pris le temps d’explorer : https://t.co/EtpPTfLaur
—> Pas sûr que ça suffise à lancer une Base Season.
—> En tout cas, c’est pas déconnant de laisser de la TVL tourner sur cette blockchain.
—> Bullish sur les projets financés par le fonds d’investissement de Coinbase et qui n’ont pas encore de token.
🟢 Hybra
—> 100 000 $ distribués proportionnellement aux points que t’as marqués sur le projet - si t’as bien farm, c’est loin d’être négligeable.
—> Distribution dans environ une semaine, rien à faire pour le moment.
—> Délai d’une semaine au niveau du TGE pour effectuer des vérifications sur certaines activités liées au wash trading.
—> Possiblement plus de points pour nous, bullish.
—> Autre spéculation : il est possible qu’on ait deux semaines de fees qui contribueront au butin des holders pour cette première semaine.
—> Ce qui devrait aider le projet à mieux se valoriser au moment du lancement. ✅
—> J’espère que ça perf mieux qu’Hyperswap.
—> Fin de la S0, début de la S1 - wut ?
2 projets intéressants encore jouables aujourd’hui 👀
🟡 Zama
—> 130 millions $ levés.
—> Via l’activité sur les projets qui utilisent Zama en testnet (cf. ce tweet : https://t.co/hbYD5gipsr )
—> Via le programme créateur, probablement en 4 saisons : on arrive à la fin de la 3ᵉ.
—> Si c’est un créneau qui t’intéresse n’oublie pas de t’inscrire sur le guild qui va bien : https://t.co/WcH2BFMXey
—> Et de tag au choix @zama ou #ZamaCreatorProgram pour que tes posts soient pris en compte.
—> Il faut au minimum une audience existante sur Twitter, sinon tu vas juste perdre du temps.
—> TGE annoncé pour 2025 ; avec la S4 en novembre, ça ferait un drop courant décembre.
—> Mieux vaut attendre le lancement de la S4 si tu n'as pas déjà commencé
🟤 Soneium
—> La L2 de Sony (pas sûr que l’argument suffise à justifier une valorisation intéressante).
—> C’est le game classique des L2 : activité sur les principales Dapps + dépôts de liquidité + quêtes.
—> Il y a un score sur 100 associé à l’activité de ton wallet (oui, ils ont copié Base).
—> Pas le play le plus exceptionnel au monde, mais pour un petit wallet c’est pas déconnant.
—> Possible qu’il y ait encore plusieurs saisons avant l’airdrop ; ça me fait beaucoup penser à Kraken qui tease un token pour sa L2 Ink depuis un moment, sans que ça sorte.
—> Pour toutes les infos ça se passe ici : https://t.co/t060I47uwc
I built a web UI for Claude Code so I can actually see what it's doing in my projects...
Just run this command 👇
npx claude-code-templates@latest --chats
You'll get a web interface that shows real-time conversations between Claude Code and your project
Each tool has a "Show details" button so you can see exactly how Claude Code calls tools and edits every line of code 👀
This project is open source and runs directly on your computer, so it works with full privacy.
Here's the repo: https://t.co/5JT5ClN92H
If this helps you, leave a star ⭐️
Asked Shortcut if I should invest in this company
"Build a DCF model, use their 10k, do deep research on them, do sensitivity analysis, and a Monte Carlo simulation."
Oh and build it like a KKR associate.
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Nice little Claude Code development kit. Lots of people have asked me about custom rules/commands for:
- Code reviews
- Creating code docs
- Refactoring
- Handing off to a new agent
This has examples for all of these (link below)
Can't work without this anymore. claude automatically updates what it's working on, and the little icons next to the git branch show how many files are changed.
When I want an update I just press the little magic wand icon to trigger a status update in claude.
And terminal title shows status as well, never again pasting into the wrong window!