Brad Jones

Senior Research Director, @YouGov; formerly @Meta; even formerly-ier @PewResearch;

Political science PhD; board game aficionado

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

You can request this if you work with my team at @YouGov also

[John V. Kane @UptonOrwell]

Tip for folks who do survey research with @Qualtrics : before fielding (or pre-registering), highly recommend generating test responses first. Two big reasons. 🧵

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

Survey researchers, this is a new initiative of mine, and right now the queue is wide open meaning any new submissions have a high likelihood of acceptance: https://t.co/eFACfex8ma

#polisci #research

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

Attn: Survey researchers and practitioners

Call for proposals

YouGov’s Scientific Research Group is accepting proposals for experimental research on web survey methods.

Details here: https://t.co/eFACfex8ma

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@hjghassell GeoCorr will get you a mapping from CD to county if you have a list of which counties each DMA is composed of
https://t.co/QpOJEUlCGI

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@derchadmeister I started a Sunday school class this year with a quick discussion of conic sections https://t.co/uNxcR0zsUF

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@jrpjrpjrp Perhaps just upload the first 10k rows or something and make a note in the README about where the full dataset is available?

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

This is a bad take -

Outlier polls can certainly happen, but we want pollsters to publish all their results (even the outliers). The Washington Post did a great job of acknowledging that their survey was an outlier and contextualizing it in this case.

[Larry Sabato @LarrySabato]

Ignore the Washington Post - ABC poll. It’s a ridiculous outlier (Trump up 10 over Biden—laughable). My question: How could you even publish a poll so absurd on its face? Will be a lingering embarrassment for you.

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@aedwardslevy Maybe this? https://t.co/9pouSKx6eE

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@AriWRees Weather by Jenny Offill
Emily Wilson's translation of the Odyssey
A Long Petal of the Sea by Isabel Allende
Sea of Tranquility by Emily St John Mandel
Arcadia by Lauren Groff
Cloud Cuckoo Land by Anthony Doer

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@awmercer ... but how could that be possible? I thought the new guy's verification system was a fool-proof way to eliminate bots and the spam

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@pewresearch's validated voter report provides a good bookend to election reporting. It's certainly not the final word on the subject, but it definitely beats some of the post-election pontificating.

The detailed tables are particularly rich.

https://t.co/ZEJ4OlQmim

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

I'm glad to hear the good news from @JnJNews
https://t.co/6wYfnv2TIx

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

Not a good look @JNJNews

https://t.co/3fkXuBz3dL

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

Not a good look @JNJNews

https://t.co/3fkXuBz3dL

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@rp_griffin I'm not saying this is what is going on here, but sometimes Pew graphics will look like this because of a "DK/Refused" category that is not plotted.

(but also, sometimes it is the problem you point out)

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@kwcollins I'd love one if possible

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@CassDonish Weather by Jenny Offill seems to fit here

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

@MeredithDost @IRP_UW @HHS_ASPE Congrats Dr. Dost!! Very exciting!

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

You can always count on Pew to pull out all the stops with these polling methodology reports. This is a really important one - the polling industry is changing quickly and the methods can be really consequential.

https://t.co/pjtFFnYTjQ

[pollcat @pollcat]

A question we hear a lot: Are pollsters changing their methods in response to falling response rates, new tech, and errors in preelection polls? Yes! Our new study finds that most national pollsters have changed or added methods since 2016 https://t.co/7mH27EMpzo

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

In 1996, Shor and McCarty estimate that the most conservative Democrat in the Colorado lower chamber was more liberal than the most liberal Republican and the gap between the two parties has only increased over time. (fin)

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

What a great resource for political scientists! I spent a little time this morning visualizing some of the trends in the data. This plot shows the change in the state parties over the past 25 years (or so). (1/8)

[Boris Shor @bshor]

🚨New data posted!🚨 Today I posted an update to the individual and state-level data for the ideology estimates I've been working on with @Nolan_Mc for more than a decade. The data now goes from 1993-2020. Please download, use, enjoy, and cite! https://t.co/IctyIYGYsw

[Brad Jones @B_radJ_ones]

In my home state of Colorado, the picture has looked much different over the past quarter century. The parties were pretty distinct in 1996 and have only become more so over time (7/)