A short history of how we got here, because the chronology is the whole story.
January: the Pentagon demands unrestricted use of Claude for autonomous weapons and domestic surveillance. Anthropic says no.
February: the President orders every federal agency to drop Anthropic. The Defense Secretary bans Pentagon contractors from doing business with them. A rival announces its classified-network deal within hours.
March: the Pentagon designates an American company a "supply chain risk" under a statute written for foreign adversaries. A federal judge blocks it.
May: the Pentagon signs AI deals with seven companies. Anthropic is not one of them.
June 9: Anthropic releases Fable 5.
June 12: Commerce issues an export control directive over a jailbreak that, by the government's own account, was demonstrated verbally, came with no written explanation, and involves a capability you can get from other publicly available models today.
Two things are true at once.
First: Anthropic spent months marketing Mythos as too dangerous to release. Sam Altman said it was "incredible marketing to say we have built a bomb." The Commerce Department has now formally agreed it is a bomb. If you describe your product as a munition in every press release, eventually a government takes you at your word. They wrote the legal predicate themselves and called it a brand.
Second: we have run this experiment before. In the 90s the government classified encryption as a munition under ITAR. Activists defeated it by printing PGP's source code as a book, because books are protected speech and floppy disks were arms exports. A t-shirt with three lines of RSA Perl was legally a munition. The controls collapsed because math does not stop at customs.
The new wrinkle is the "deemed export" rule: showing controlled technology to a foreign national inside the US counts as exporting it abroad. Which is why Anthropic's own foreign-national employees are now locked out of the model they built. The munition is in the building and the people who made it are not allowed to look at it.
The jailbreak is the paperwork. The refusal was in January.
@steipete@DavidOndrej1@_ARahim_@bcherny Google does not have many great products but their latest update to their AI polish for emails is incredible. Beyond not caring about typos you can just give a little context and it handles the rest.
@ylecun@DavidSacks One could say instead of research he's just doing the thing. The budget is bigger, it's just not going into a wasteland of academia. Check notes: lol at the department of energy's budget.
@jaegermedia1 I never got the 4 hour podcast with people who have been on other lengthy podcasts. The gaul to believe your questions were so special they required another 4 hours of talking above the public record of literally every guest is weird.
@Timcast The most sensible business analysis I've seen on this. Bravo. I don't dislike the daily wire. Maybe a annoyed about all the Israel talk, not cause I don't like Israel it's just not my jam. Post Trump victory I just want a rest from the fight. That's all. I imagine I'm not alone
@patrickbetdavid Consulting firms don't necessarily need to lower pricing, instead they need to offer different payment structures that are tied to risk based payments not billable hours.
It's still hard to get shit done. If you get a consultant to get it done. They should be paid