Counterintuitively, I see some startups obsessing *too much* over their first customer.
Big enterprise customer ghosting you? Maybe they’re just not a good fit. Go get 10 more.
Top-of-funnel solves most problems.
Worrying that your startup will be eaten by the model companies is like worrying that your life will be constrained after you become a movie star. You're far more likely simply to fail.
AI means people need to stop thinking so much about what their boss wants
They need to start thinking much much more about what customers want
And that will make a big difference in society: too much of it is caring about Keynesian beauty contests and other such contests that are disconnected from the direct needs of others
Less dead weight loss. More actually helping people.
If you’re intelligent your either all in on Ai and personal branding or you’re buying a farm and living off grid. No in between makes much sense anymore.
Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn.
So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works.
Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it?
Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them.
For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information.
Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible.
Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.
La plupart des dropshippeurs sont rentables car ils ne paient pas la TVA mais c'est dommage car en faisant ça vous construisez sur du sable
Vous êtes à 1 contrôle fiscal de finir en faillite et d'avoir des problèmes juridiques
En faisant les choses "proprement" ça prendra certes plus de temps, mais vous construirez quelque chose qui aura de la valeur par la suite
Une boutique de dropshipping qui fraude la TVA et qui est configurée sur une LLC US ne vaut rien
Une marque e-commerce qui tient une comptabilité propre dans un pays où l'on paie des impôts est revendable
Vous allez y mettre des efforts dans tous les cas, donc autant jouer au jeu dans les règles
The longer I am alive the more I realize happiness is an extremely dumb concept because if you have it, it is fleeting (like creativity) and you can't grasp it for long
I guess the definition of happiness in our language is the problem too, and everyone trying to get something so fleeting and ungraspable is the other problem
I agree that purpose/meaning is much better to aim for because that's systemic and becomes part of your daily routine
And ironically that gives you happiness
People looking for happiness are usually unhappy!
1. Sell women Beauty
2. Sell men Lust
3. Sell parents Peace
4. Sell kids Dreams
5. Sell the rich Safety
6. Sell the broke Hope
7. Sell the old Youth
8. Sell the young Status
9. Sell the lonely Belonging
10. Sell the sick Miracles
11. Sell the healthy Fear
12. Sell the smart Shortcuts
13. Sell the dumb Validation
14. Sell the faithful Certainty
15. Sell the faithless Rebellion
16. Sell everyone Time
You can make so much money. Try either. You can’t go wrong.
Choose where money is.