HOW DOES THIS QUANT BOT PRINT $15,296 IN PROFIT PER DAY
+$183,551 PnL in 12 days on Polymarket
Only on short crypto “Up or Down” markets
On Mar 24, this wallet switched to a market-making style using Bayesian + Kelly + Stoikov pricing rule
P(H|D) = P(D|H) · P(H) / P(D)
Bayesian is used to recalculate fair probabilities before the market has time to completely update the odds
This Quant Bot's wallet:https://t.co/Z4hQZl757u
The software makes 621 predictions per day, that’s almost 26 trades every hour, using these models:
f = (bp - q) / b* - Kelly tells the bot how much capital to put behind the setup
r = s - qγσ²(T - t) - Stoikov determines where to quote and how to keep inventory risk under control
That's how perfect it works:
$8,636 → $50,838 (+488.67%)
$6,527 → $30,581 (+368.52%)
$4,788 → $23,620 (+393.26%)
At the center of the strategy is one simple condition: YES + NO < 100¢