Chris Wecht

Director of Analytics @FantasyPts @FantasyPtsData | NFL Projections

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

I took over the projections for @FantasyPts two years ago

We track our projection accuracy across all players on the DK Main Slate each week and compare to other major projection providers across the industry

I had a strong first season in 2024 but not the best

After a really strong Week 18 FantasyPoints finished the NFL regular season with the highest correlation of projected DK points to actual DK points

Projections are really really good throughout the industry so the edges are minor but they can make a big difference in a singular week

People think projections is largely just a model that spits out numbers but there is so much subjective stuff that goes into it. Coaching tendencies, depth chart moves, transactions, etc. all require a ton of time analyzing and deciding what is real and what is just noise

Hope this helps put FantasyPoints on the map as a serious DFS content and data provider

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Hopping on soon to talk some football with @EricBalkman !

Come hangout!

[Eric Balkman @EricBalkman]

The @FFPC #InsiderAccess Show is live in 15 MINUTES

with hosts @EricBalkman & @FantasyPts' Director of Analytics @ChrisWechtFF from @FantasyPtsData

talking #FFPC #FantasyFootball, Jonathan Brooks, Alec Pierce & more!

Watch: https://t.co/r1JjYPG11L

[The HSFF Hour @HSFFHour]

The @FFPC #InsiderAccess Show goes pops off tonight at 7 PM ET

with @EricBalkman & @FantasyPts' Director of Analytics @ChrisWechtFF from @FantasyPtsData

talking #FFPC #FantasyFootball, Drake London, Sam LaPorta & more!

Watch: https://t.co/pw4QzvIpjx

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Rams making all these moves for Sean McVay to punt on 4th and 1 on the opponents 40 in the playoffs

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

@PSidikman That’s fine. Defense season long projections are extremely flimsy because units aren’t sticky year to year. Basically just a blend of how often they produced sacks/turnovers and what their opponents allowed the previous year

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

@DhananiZain @FantasyPts This can’t be right I think Gainwell stinks

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Yeah maybe Cirie played too hard to maximize her chances of winning if she was in the final 3 cause that’s all the matters when in reality she beats any combination of players

Hard to put yourself in that mindset though and extremely dangerous to do so cause ask Aubrey that and she’d say don’t assume you can beat anyone

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Yeah I think Tiff has a shot to win for sure. I’d just hope Rizo can point out her serious flaws in her strategic game

Cirie knows Rizo won’t win this game though so I’m not sure she ever can foresee taking him out as an option. She has no clue he’d easily flip on her like why she knows about these other players

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Post-NFL Draft Biggest Projection Winners:

Rashee Rice WR14 to WR7
Matthew Golden WR72 to WR62
Christian Watson WR37 to WR24
Tony Pollard/Tyjae Spears RB27/RB39
Cam Skattebo RB41 to RB28
Xavier Worthy WR68 to WR56
Josh Downs WR45 to WR35

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Looks like the Bears DJ Moore RB package will be back in 2026

Rookie WR Zavion Thomas is expected to take snaps at RB along with being a WR that can take the top off a defense per the Bears organization

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

The Ravens took a pair of WRs and TEs in the 2026 NFL draft, but the way they discussed the players was very different

For Ja'Kobi Lane they said they view him as a RZ threat

For Elijah Sarratt they said they view him as a big slot player

For Matthew Hibner he was coached by Jesse Minter at Michigan and viewed as a explosive receiver

For Josh Cuevas they said they view him as a competitive blocker

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Dave Canales on new Panthers' WR Chris Brazzell

Brazzell's vertical presence can take the top off the defense and create open space for Tet McMillan, Xavier Legette, and Jalen Coker

Sounds like Brazzell is the cardio guy for this offense but they really did need someone with serious speed

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Sounds like the Ravens view Ja'Kobi Lane as the replacement for the type of stuff DeAndre Hopkins was doing for them last season

Eric DeCosta said the Ravens intentionally sought a larger receiver to build a more versatile room and mentioned that the choice was "by design" to find an "X receiver" who could play outside and contrast with the team's smaller, faster targets

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Best/Worst picks using @BGWhitefield's Big Board scores from Day 2 of the NFL Draft

The Browns with a really strong Day 2 having 2 Positive Pick Values in Boston and McNeil-Warren

Chris Bell the overall best value for the day to MIA

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

@blake_becker @FantasyPts It’s baked into our AI tool but we do also hope to have a dedicated dynasty trade tool in the future too

https://t.co/aktXOnpLwV

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Denzel Boston Initial Projections for @FantasyPts WR96

56 TGTs, 35 RECs, 363 Rec Yds, 2 Rec TDs

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Eli Stowers Initial Projection for @FantasyPts TE53

28 TGTs, 21 RECs, 199 Rec Yds, 1.4 Rec TDs

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Germie Bernard Initial Projections for @FantasyPts

53 TGTs, 34 RECs, 493 Rec Yds, 2.9 Rec TDs

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

De'Zhaun Stribling Initial Projection for @FantasyPts WR96

44 TGTS, 29 RECs, 404 Rec YDs, 2.8 Rec TDs

[Chris Wecht @ChrisWechtFF]

Best/Worst Picks based on @BGWhitefield's Big Board values from the @FantasyPts Prospect Guide