The data is coming in, and the impact of #SchoolFeeVAT on state schools and children's education is undeniable, it's clear that the Govt has got it projections very wrong. Here's what we know:
ISC reported: A 1.7% drop in ind. school student numbers in Sept, including a 4.6% decline in Year 7 —around 10,500 fewer students on roll vs 2023.
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In-year transfer applications: 200 LAs have reported 3,000 in-year transfer applications, with 85 LAs still to respond, suggesting around 5,000 applicants.
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ISC report that 2,550 students have served notice to leave 900 independent schools in Jan, with the total across all 2,600 schools likely even higher.
🙈This early data does not bode well for schools, children—and this is just the tip of the iceberg as it should come as no surprise that: Parents will protect their children’s education, they will strain every sinew to avoid in-year transfers, which educators recommend avoiding, especially during GCSE/A-level years. Parents will wait for the right "jump-off point" (e.g., September, Year 3, Year 7, Year 12) for an unfunded state school place.
Given the early data, the Govt should expect medium-term displacement to be far greater than their projected 3000 in 2024/5 and longer term 35,000
The full impact won’t be clear for a few years, but by then, much damage will have already been done to children, state schools and our world leading independent school sector. Parents will seek a formal review of this pernicious tax and the Govt must be held to account each year. There is time to #FindABetterWay and @UKLabour should scrap #SchoolFeeVAT #EducationNotTax
Sources https://t.co/j0HRq4taBr…… https://t.co/cHKZUSfLwE…
@RachelReevesMP@LauraTrottMP @NeilObrienMP @KemiBadenoch@Keir_Starmer@BPhillipsonMP@CMcKinnellMP@StephenMorganMP@Jacqui_Smith1@TomTugendhat@DamianHinds@educationgovuk@hmtreasury@TheIFS@ASI @MaxwellMarlow
@ISC_schools@Parentkind@NASUWT@NEUnion@SSAFA @NavalFamiliesFed @TheAFF @RAFFamilyFed @CamillaTominey@Nanaakua1@joerichlaw@KirstieMAllsopp@IsabelPat1886 @OllyMetcalfe @dshensmith@Anthony_J_Perry@joenutt_author@abritishparent@lianafricker@thatginamiller@BellaWallerstei@RobertJenrick@CarolineLucas@theSNP@UKLabour@Conservatives@reformparty_uk
Brilliant to see two OBs (2024) playing each other 🏉 today. On this occasion Alfie’s team (@GlenalmondSport ) was victorious against Sam’s (@lorettosport )
😀 though I’m not sure Alfie’s hair is a winner… 🤔
#BeBelhaven
@LBC@Matthew_Wright This presenter is either extremely stupid or chose to misrepresent what the person was saying.
There are thousands of freeloading parents who use the state system who are far wealthier than those who use the independent system.
EXPOSED: here's why Norwegian/Faroese giant Bakkafrost is seeking an injunction against filming inside salmon farms across Scotland & the use of drones......
Congratulations Charlie T. & Alfie B on being awarded their cricket 🏏 colours caps today 👏 & especially Ottilie T on her award as she is the first girl to receive a cricket colours cap 🤩
#BeSporty#BePartOfOurHistory
Well done to Alfie & Charlie, both of whom scored unbeaten half centuries in the boys’ 1st XI 🏏 v Ardvreck. That makes three players who have reached that milestone already this year for the team - an impressive start to the season 👏
#BeExcellent
WARNING: This video will leave you sick to the stomach! When you see @rspcaassured 'welfare friendly' Scottish salmon advertised in a supermarket remember the collateral damage from infectious diseases, animal abuse & mass mortalities @LochDuartSalmon@ScotlandSalmon@Selfridges
Mission complete! 🤩 Starting at North Berwick Law, all senior pupils walked 15km to & up Trapprain Law to raise money for Scottish Air Ambulance Charity. 💪 What an effort from all pupils & staff. Nearly £8000 raised! @ScotAirAmb#BeChallenged#BeEpic
Two outstanding performances in the semi-final and final for the U14s! Plate winners in the @kingsmacrugby Myles Marshall Sevens. 4 wins, 1 draw and a loss along the way. #collsport#rugby7s@glenalmondcoll
The 🌧️ didn’t dampen spirits for our Parents v Form 1s 🏑 & 🏉 matches today. It wasn’t your usual sporting attire 😳 but was good fun all round.
#BeSlightlyBonkers#BeBelhaven
Drama on penultimate ball as big hit is caught in the deep but unfortunately fielder stepped back onto the line, meaning a 6 to get Jamie into the lead by one run. 😬Jamie C is our 2023 champion 🏆(Proudly wearing an England shirt donated by Mr. Brown.)
@strath_sport#BeSporting
Congratulations to our 6 boys & girls who have been awarded Sport or sport linked Scholarships to their senior schools: Sophie & Louisa G & Willow F to @GlenalmondSport , Harry B to @AmpleforthSport , Jamie C to @strath_sport & Izzi D to @Fettes_Sport
Amazing! Well done. 😁