AI automates tasks, not jobs, and when a task gets cheaper, demand for the job grows.
AI cannot automate jobs end-to-end because it lacks autonomy and cannot operate without supervision. There is still zero job from 2022 that can be performed end-to-end by AI, not even translator or customer support associate.
"Since written language only emerged about 5,000 years ago — recent in evolutionary terms — our brains haven’t had time to evolve dedicated reading circuits. Instead, we’ve repurposed the neural networks that once kept our ancestors alive in the wild." https://t.co/5snSlhtDsv
Professor Judea Pearl — the pioneer who invented causal reasoning in AI — says scaling won't save us.
"Mathematical limitations that are not crossable by scaling up."
The brutal truth: LLMs aren’t learning how the world works. They are learning how we describe the world.
This resonates with most biologists: Drug discovery is hitting the same wall. We have mountains of genomic data, but most AI models just find patterns in published papers — not in the raw biology itself. They're learning what scientists think causes disease, not what actually does.
Pearl's causal revolution? That's how we move from "this gene correlates with cancer" to "this gene causes cancer" — and finally design drugs that work.
Until then, we're building very expensive parrots.
Les juro que a absolutamente nadie le interesa saber cómo se ven uds y su trabajo en una caricatura. Llamen a su abuela, salgan a tocar pasto, cocinen algo, no sé, pero ya aléjense de la IA.
Academia already did what you’re proposing.
Universities are now run like businesses with professional administrators, branding strategies, risk management, consultants, and KPI dashboards. The result hasn’t been better research or teaching. It’s been the transformation of universities into brand-management and lifestyle companies, where prestige, expansion, and revenue extraction matter more than scholarship or education.
Research and teaching don’t reliably maximize short-term financial returns, so they get crowded out. What grows instead is administration because once an administrative class is established, its primary function becomes self-preservation and expansion, not mission fulfillment.
This is exactly what happens when a nonprofit adopts corporate logic without corporate accountability. You don’t get efficiency. You get mission drift and an institution optimized to look successful rather than to be successful.
We are still extremely far away from AGI. This means that there is still lots research to be done to figure out how to design such a system. Don't overfocus too much LLMs, you'll lose the big picture.
No creo que haya alguien que quiera o pueda controlar el «mundo». Sin embargo, los humanos quieren tener insistentemente la idea que alguien los gobierne. Lo necesitan. La libertad les aterra. No pueden concebir un mundo sin que alguien les diga lo que toca, dónde y con quién.
This sounds right to me.
So… can we now all agree to stop saying "agent" and say "tool loop" instead? It's the same # of syllables, and is much clearer.
El jueves de tbt «denota» exceso de tiempo libre de quien lo referencia; «connota» un problema evidente de querer omitir el ahora por un pasado futuro más frívolo.