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Macro trader, PhD

[Linda Raschke @LindaRaschke]

"AI investor Leopold Aschenbrenner forced to unwind all public stock positions after steep losses". Sign of a bottom! Uncanny how these downdrafts force overleveraged players out before the swing reverses...!

[Peter Boockvar @pboockvar]

CCC credit spread index widening, as of Friday. Something to watch.

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@ShanghaoJin @BabybusFL @FabinLi999 Jin 老师，中际旭创和新易盛未来怎样？

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高善文先生千古

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不加存储？江波龙来了个大的😂

[爱吃红烧肉 @q083v4]

‼️我是全网第一个告诉大家，周五光模块龙头-中际旭创和新易盛将带领大盘反弹。下午怎么办？请看评论区！

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Then u will avoid the AI bubble bursting and be proud. Anyway, the quality of the letter does drop quite a bit

[Jared Dillian @dailydirtnap]

Lost a subscriber today because I wasn’t recommending any AI stocks in the newsletter.

He’s 74.

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@ShanghaoJin 怎么看出来的？

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@paurooteri 因为你的专业

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@LPX2019 @grok 是真的吗

[Linda Raschke @LindaRaschke]

If you stay 100% technical, you will quickly see that news does not matter 95% of the time.

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slim chance

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@jukan05 It's expensive bro...

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@orrdavid Probably US rates. But Iran thing is very complicated...

[John Spencer @SpencerGuard]

“Decapitation strikes don’t work,” they say. “The strategy isn’t working,” they say after 5, 10, or 20 days.

Strategic effects are cumulative. Impatience is not analysis.

Let's review just what Israel has stuck in Iran according to @IDF 🧵

[Linda Raschke @LindaRaschke]

GC, SI and HG will all have 7 closes below the 5 SMA today.

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@XiaoZha62335239 not coming yet, still has room to run

[Jack Prandelli @jackprandelli]

Asia's refineries are built for Gulf crude

That's exactly what's disappearing from Hormuz right now

You can't just swap in US Light Sweet.

It doesn't run the same way.

Why there's no easy substitute:

→ #Russia: Already maxed out, can't scale further

→ US Light Sweet: Wrong grade for Asian refineries

→ #Venezuela Heavy: Extra-heavy, rarely goes to Asia

→ #Canada Heavy: 96% to US, not exported to Asia

The reality is that Asia doesn't just need oil.

Asia needs Medium and Heavy Sour crude from the Gulf.

And right now:

→ The Strait is 80% closed
→ Refineries are burning
→ Producers are declaring force majeure
→ Tankers won't enter the Gulf

You can't replace it barrel for barrel because refineries are built for specific grades.

When those grades disappear, the system breaks.

#oott

[NEXTA @nexta_tv]

Israel has called on residents to evacuate the area near Iran’s Fordow nuclear facility, The New York Times reports

The warning applies to civilians living near the city of Qom, located about 16 km from Fordow.

The military urged people to immediately leave the industrial zone and published a map marking the area. The statement says staying there could pose a risk to life.

Such warnings usually appear before possible strikes on specific sites.

Fordow is one of the key facilities of Iran’s nuclear program. The uranium enrichment plant is built inside a mountain and is considered one of the most heavily protected nuclear complexes in the country.

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@agnostoxxx U did hedge with march put option, right?

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@agurevich23 Congrats!