We can fix it. We have the technology. OK. We need to create the technology. Alright. The policy guys are mucking with the technology. Relax. WE'RE ON IT.
I'm increasingly thinking that every functioning system has two forms: The abstraction that outsiders are led to believe, and the reality that insiders actually and carefully operate.
You don't incrementally learn a system. You eventually unlearn its necessary lies.
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@gcampax Have you seen ngboost? Regression with explicit probability distributions.
https://t.co/S3WTnFCl7K
There’s a lot going on treating probabilities as first class citizens. But do you know of anything quantifying probability prediction error for various real world systems?
Close. AI has plenty of doubt (most models can return probabilities for any prediction, if you configure them to).
The problem is humans, not doubting the AI enough to notice when it doubts itself.
It’s a tool, and it matters how you use it.
@SpeakingBee@AlexShulepov7@patio11 Why? Out of spite?
You think the flu shot is going to stay the same? Do you imagine the vaccine production lines will be shut down?
Chronic lower respiratory disorders were the number three killer of humans before COVID came along, which is btw a chronic lower resp disorder.