Daniel Bachler

Head of Engineering @OurWorldInData, author of He/Him

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

@cremieuxrecueil Related: at @OurWorldInData we recently built a population simulation tool. It allows anyone to select a country, then define fertility rate, life expectancy and net migration rate and it draws a population curve and age pyramid. Find it here: https://t.co/GL3cMy68kp

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

@jasoncrawford @obsdmd Bases is their relatively new mini query language (based mostly on yaml Frontmatter of notes) that is pretty useful. There is also a cli for it and an agent skill so that AI tools can also evaluate bases queries (https://t.co/Nuyu0Hh9WC). Also, follow @kepano, the creator of obs

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

@Noahpinion @s21n In theory in could but on practice it often isn't in Germany. Part of it is that air-water heatpumps are common which are harder to use for cooling than air-air (because of condensation etc); and part is subsidy schemes that target heating replacements

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

Recommended reading on loops in coding agents

[Armin Ronacher ⇌ @mitsuhiko]

Some more thoughts on looping in coding agents. https://t.co/loRLPZduec

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

@Robotbeat Not yet. Health care in childhood was abysmal 100 years ago (before antibiotics!). I do expect quite a few individuals who are children today to live to well past 123 years.

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

I was afraid this would happen — this was such a headache in the 90ies with cryptography. The fact that this happens so soon and with 0 nuance is really bad. In the https://t.co/Ub3YJyqFDY scenario that was released three days ago there were at least three tiers of access.

[Anthropic @AnthropicAI]

The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees.

The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance.

Access to all other Claude models is not affected.

We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible.

Read our full statement: https://t.co/bwn0sximKZ

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

@tom_sasse @Noahpinion At @OurWorldInData we recently built a tool that allows anyone to create their own projections - it might be of interest to readers who want to explore more scenarios: https://t.co/6OtOaqiWUu

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

@Ssterrenburg @MaxCRoser You can — click a control point for manual entry where you can go more extreme

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

@Karl_Lauterbach Unser Team bei @OurWorldInData hat gerade ein Tool veröffentlicht, das die Entwicklung der Bevölkerung simulieren kann. Der Benutzer kann seine Annahmen über Geburten pro Frau, Lebenserwartung und Migration eingeben und sieht in Echtzeit die Resultate: https://t.co/GL3cMy68kp

[parm🔬 @parmita]

I don’t know how this claim has gone so viral.

This was actually completely intentional by Novo.

Novo Nordisk does not operate in an “oops. lawyer forgot the $250 CAD fee” manner.

This is, with all due respect, a shallow read of Novo’s actual corporate strategy.

(1/)

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

@conradhackett @OurWorldInData Thank you very much for the kind words, Conrad! We're very happy that you find it useful!

[Alice Evans @_alice_evans]

I call it "Cultural Leapfrogging"

Young women all over the world are bypassing traditional gatekeepers and exploring content that affirms their status .

But as women move to the egalitarian frontier, male compatriots aren't keeping pace.

Thanks to @jburnmurdoch for covering!!

[The Longevity Initiative @longevityinit]

New post: Can longevity save us from a population crisis?

We tried out @OurWorldInData’s new population projection tool to see if increasing life expectancy could save us from demographic decline: https://t.co/23CQ49hkQi

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

@JesusFerna7026 Yes, good points. As you said before, many people don't understand the repercussions of a fertility rate of 1 for longer periods of time. At Our World in Data we just built a population simulation tool for this purpose: https://t.co/GL3cMy68kp

[Andreas Backhaus @AndreasShrugged]

I ran a little GDP projection for Germany these days, simply extrapolating growth from the past years but adjusting for the projected change in the working-age population. For the next ten years, projected GDP growth is near-zero because Germany will be losing so many workers.

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

If you're curious about the internals, we wrote up a technical explainer: https://t.co/WgvUZHKQUZ

Feedback is very welcome!

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

There's a lot of interesting discussion about fertility rates on X at the moment. At @OurWorldInData, my colleague @sophiamersmann and I just built a new population simulation tool to help inform the conversation.

[Daniel Bachler @DanyX23]

Try it yourself for any country and build your own scenarios: https://t.co/GL3cMy68kp