@richardhirschs1 The 1973 parallel is instructive. Prices never returned to pre-embargo levels. The real question: does the prewar supply architecture come back? Vessel traffic fell 70-80% within days. Hormuz remains severely restricted. That doesn't reset on a ceasefire.
We celebrate duty-free access as a win. But market access without value-addition is volume without margin. Kenya got the door open-who owns the corridor?
@TheOrganicPod Duty-free access is a start; the real test is whether Kenya moves beyond raw exports. Local processing captures the margin and creates jobs. Policy should focus there next.
@FareedZakaria The California paradox is what happens when regulatory complexity outpaces institutional effectiveness. Spending more to deliver less isn't a resource problem, it's a governance problem. Capital notices these things.
@M_C_Klein Speed without strategy is just faster debt accumulation. Ghana's demand-driven path looks unglamorous next to six million desert units, but building around actual economic strengths creates resilience, not ruins.
@JohnGardnerVoH A 300% input cost swing would be existential for a small manufacturer in Accra. Same volatility, no hedging, currency risk layered on top. For Ghana and similar economies, policy consistency isn't optional for industrial development.
ยฃ250m for 20,000 specialists is roughly ยฃ12,500 per head. That's a recruitment budget, not a retention strategy. Talent stays where the regulatory and tax environment rewards risk.
@CECinvestor Ghana's mining sector illustrates the gap: resource wealth, limited processing. The beneficiation opportunity is an energy question first.
@CapitalPmh The M&A wave is real but the framing matters. These are solid businesses being bought cheap because Westminster's tax and regulatory uncertainty holds down valuations. The buyers understand this. Does SW1?
@SamuelFPT SamuelFPT is right on viability. But you can't schedule what you can't guarantee; generation and transmission bottlenecks upstream make this a coordination problem, not just a commercial one.
@reieurope If even Germany couldn't sustain export-led growth against Chinese competition, what does that imply for emerging economies still building that model? The path isn't abandoning exports; it's diversifying dependency.
Taxes don't reduce working hours once you account for labour regulations and formalisation. Institutional architecture, not incentives, shapes work patterns. That reframes how we think about reform in developing economies.
Economic growth does not lead people to work less. What matters instead are policy choices about education, pensions, and labor rules, Amory Gethin and Emmanuel Saez write in F&D magazine. https://t.co/A4K2mpc1g0
@Shejackiesays Two days without rain and water still stands. That tells you everything about urban planning capacity. Flood resilience isn't luxury spending; it's the foundation for any credible economic transformation.
@ECA_OFFICIAL@ECASROSA Cross-border payments are the quiet bottleneck. When settlement takes days, working capital costs eat SME margins before a product reaches market. Fix the payment rails and much else follows.
Visa-free travel is progress, but intra-African flights remain among the world's most expensive. AfCFTA needs open skies and competition policy to deliver.
"The number of tourists visiting African countries grew by almost 8% last yearโthe fastest growth in the world...
Itโs being driven in large part, experts say, by a growing African middle class."
https://t.co/tsEkEojDHr
@Channel1TVGHA 50% degradation before intervention is a governance failure. Tree planting is reactive. Ghana needs long-term enforcement, not election-cycle responses to crises.
@PeterDiamandis Institutional filings and primary data. In my work, the gap between media narratives and ground reality is often enormous. Numbers reported to regulators face consequences; headlines don't.