Iran’s DepChairman of the Parliament’s National Security Commission, Nabavian, in an interview with SNN:
The texts released about the MoU in the media are not complete, and are just excerpts.
@GenFlynn@POTUS “The Iranian regime fought for 8 years against Iraq and allowed the chemical slaughter of thousands of their own children”
Holding the country that was attacked with chemical weapons responsible for the deaths caused by those chemical weapons is peak American logic.
New U.S. Strikes on #Iran: Coercive Diplomacy or A New Round of War?
🔹By now, it has become clear that coercive diplomacy is not the reason – or at least not the only reason – behind the repeated U.S. strikes on southern Iran. The choice of the targets, together with the political signaling accompanying them, suggests that there is an attempt to erode Iran’s leverage over the Strait of Hormuz and open the strait through military means.
🔹On the one hand, the strikes over the past week, especially in the past two days, have been concentrated on Iranian air defense systems, command-and-control centers, facilities related to the Iranian Navy’s drone operations, and radar systems.
🔹On the other hand, Donald Trump admitted openly for the first time that the United States has been helping ships pass through the strait over the past month and has thereby contributed to increasing the flow of oil to global markets.
🔹Taken together, these developments suggest that the Trump administration wants, on the one hand, to operationally weaken Iran’s ability to target shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and, on the other hand, to signal at the highest political level that the security situation around the strait is improving, thereby reassuring shipping companies.
🔹At the same time, it has become clear that the Iranian responses, in the form of targeting U.S. bases around the Persian Gulf, have not had any meaningful deterrent effect vis-à-vis the United States. Rather, the United States appears to have calculated that the benefits of continuing these strikes outweigh the costs.
🔹This has led to different conclusions and proposals within Iran’s strategic community. On the one hand, there are criticisms that Tehran has become too cautious and too predictable in its response to the United States. This, critics argue, has allowed the adversary to make a reliable assessment of the costs and benefits of escalation and to confidently plan its targeting of Iranian territory.
🔹The suggestion is that Iran needs to become more risk-taking and less predictable in its responses by, on the one hand, acting directly against the U.S. naval presence in the region and its warships and, on the other hand, targeting energy infrastructure in the region so that Trump’s strategy of reassuring the energy markets will not succeed.
🔹 On the other hand, there are warnings that these developments may be part of a broader pattern of preparations for a new large-scale war coordinated between the United States and Israel. The argument is that, just as the United States has concentrated on targeting Iranian air defense systems and radar installations in the south, Israel, in its latest strikes, targeted the same types of facilities in central Iran. Together, they may be weakening Iran’s defenses in order to secure a free hand in a new round of large-scale war.
🔹Overall, this is why the ceasefire, which has now been reduced to little more than a name, appears not to have brought any meaningful benefits for Tehran, and the process of rethinking the country’s strategic options seems already to be underway.
@JoseArocaALC Que despida a toda la plantilla y ponga a la “IA” a quemar tokens como si no los fuese a pagar bien caros al corto plazo.
Y cuando descubra la trampa de coherencia de los LLM, llorará.
Cosas de ser ignorante y tener un micrófono delante.
At a time when ocean temperatures are smashing records and scientists are still trying to understand how fast the system is shifting under climate change, they are talking about scrapping a 368 million dollar early warning network that has ALREADY BEEN PAID FOR by tax payers.
This is not just a few sensors in the sea. It is a network of ~900 instruments measuring temperature, currents, carbon, chemistry and ecosystem change. It was designed to deliver long term data over decades.
This would effectively end key long running records and that matters because ocean data only becomes powerful over time. You cannot rebuild a continuous climate record once it is interrupted.
@shortmagsmle Ideally, you grow one or two plants yourself with care and good practices, then after properly curing the buds, vaporize a small amount at the right temperature using a quality convection vaporizer. I think it’s the best option overall.
The average student graduates after 12 years of schooling and still cannot answer the most important questions in life.
What is a good man?
What is justice?
What is worth sacrificing for?
What is beauty?
What is truth?
What is the purpose of life?
Classical education begins with the assumption that any education failing to address these questions is not really education at all.
@squishydunsparc In reality, you see those Europeans saying such things not because that’s what people generally think, but because it generates enough outrage to provoke responses like yours. That’s how the algorithmic game works, all while we “enjoy” the ads.
@OopsGuess@Pontifex They are large language models, not artificial intelligence as we usually imagine it. We won’t be told that because the trick would ruin the magic, and without the magic, there is no investment.
Oman has no objection to international commercial vessels navigating through the Iranian side of the Strait of Hormuz. However, if geopolitical or security circumstances require vessels to alter course and transit through Oman’s territorial waters, Oman has a sovereign responsibility to ensure that such passage is safe, orderly, and environmentally responsible. This includes preventing harm to Oman’s marine ecosystem, avoiding disruption to local shipping routes, and protecting the livelihoods of fishing communities.
Under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, coastal states may regulate passage in their territorial waters for reasons related to safety, environmental protection, and maritime order. They may also impose charges for specific services rendered to passing vessels, provided such charges are applied transparently and without discrimination. In the Strait of Hormuz, these conditions are especially significant because of the volume of traffic, the sensitivity of the marine environment, and the strategic importance of the waterway.
To provide safe passage and related maritime services, Oman would need to invest in port and coastal infrastructure, surveillance systems, navigational support, emergency response capacity, and the recruitment and training of hundreds of personnel. Oman is prepared to support the United States in this regard, particularly within the framework of the U.S.–Oman Free Trade Agreement. Other states may also seek similar arrangements with Oman through bilateral agreements.
An important development that underscores several broader dynamics in the Gulf and U.S.-Iran arena:
A. Iranian deterrence toward the Gulf states appears to be working. Gulf capitals increasingly seem to assume that neither their own capabilities nor those of the United States can fully prevent a large-scale Iranian retaliation or regional escalation. That perception continues to shape their strategic behavior.
B. After significant frustration in the Gulf over decisions to move toward confrontation without meaningful consultation, the coordinated pressure now being applied on President Trump may suggest that Gulf states are regaining part of their influence in Washington. Regional actors clearly want a greater role in shaping the pace and scope of any future escalation with Tehran.
C. The central problem, however, is that this currently looks more like a tactical postponement than a strategic shift. Unless negotiations move toward a meaningful compromise, something Tehran itself may not be interested in, given its preference for an agreement on its own terms, the same dilemma is likely to return to President Trump with even greater intensity in the future.
D. If hostilities resume, the issue of strikes on energy infrastructure will likely become the central axis of escalation between the sides. The vulnerability of regional energy assets remains one of the most sensitive pressure points in the Gulf security architecture.
E. Ultimately, despite the rhetoric, the overriding priority of the Gulf states remains preventing escalation and not encouraging Washington to pursue a broader confrontation with Tehran. There is growing recognition across the region that the Iranian regime has survived the current campaign, and that additional military action may not fundamentally improve the strategic picture.
#IranWar
#iran