@macrocephalopod Your market participation is proportional to your forecast expectation minus std (see how no point on the right is below 0 and no point on the left is above 0). Then you need to clip, i.e. no trades when expectation < std. The discontinuity you see is from the clip function.
schools should include a class called Truth Is Hard, where u get bombarded with examples of confused eyewitnesses, incorrect public outrages, studies that failed to replicate, super convincing arguments that fall apart with one additional fact u didn't expect, etc.
At @avec_alan, we are gladly hiring, with advantageous visa policies, all the people whose plans were shattered.
We are hiring 40+ engineers, but also PMs, data scientists, designers...
DMs open.
After 6 years at Twitter and 9+ years working with tweets, Friday was my last day at Twitter.
Getting acquired and working for this company has been the experience of a lifetime. Thanks to everyone for making this time so special!
Now is time to focus on my next startup.
@wseblen@vjo@alung Maybe @Gorintic has recommendations? Haven’t been to Paris with my little one just yet. I’d assumed any relaxed environment like a café would be ok. Just don’t go to a Michelin-star restaurant!
Q1 1492
Objective: Find western route to India
KR: Obtain 100% funding from Tier 1 VCs or equivalent
KR: Complete round-trip transatlantic expedition with >66% of ships and crew intact
Secondary KR: Determine spherical/flat nature of the planet
My team is hosting drinks at KDD London next week! Sign up on the link below if you are interested. We are hiring both ML engineers and Data Scientist!
@hanchenxiong@alung@changtao_z https://t.co/hal8cftGH7
I'm excited to tell the story of intriguing links between particle physics and peculiar numbers called octonions, and the physicist who has been finding them: https://t.co/zjWFpmuw3E