Lasse Cramon

Software developer always looking for new and interesting ways ;-)
Partner in Tigerteam.

[Andrew Ng @AndrewYNg]

Over the last two weeks, both the U.S. Government and Anthropic took significant actions that demonstrated their power to control access to AI by restricting what others can do with frontier models. This has been one of those moments that, once seen, will be hard to unsee, and it is significantly accelerating many businesses’ and nation states’ efforts to ensure reliable access to AI that no one else can terminate.

Anthropic first released Claude Fable 5, a version of its Mythos model with additional guardrails, including some restrictions that seem well justified on safety grounds (such as limitations on applying it to hacking, bioweapons, and so forth). However, it also restricted developers’ ability to use it to build competing LLM technology. This move was concerning, given that the whole AI community, including Anthropic, has benefitted tremendously from open research — indeed, the AI revolution was kicked off by my former team (Google Brain) freely publishing the Transformers paper!

Imagine if Microsoft’s terms of use barred anyone from using their tools to build competitive software, or if Google barred using it to search for information to work on competing search engines. Anthropic’s argument that it was unsafe for others to be able to make advances in AI also rang hollow. Initially, Anthropic silently degraded Fable 5’s performance for users detected to be working on LLM research through invisible interventions that weakened the model’s outputs without notifying the user. After significant backlash, it walked back this decision and decided to be transparent when it did this, but it still refuses to use its latest capabilities to help AI researchers.

This move represents a raw demonstration of power by Anthropic. It has used “safety” arguments to hinder potential competitors. Platforms succeed when they are viewed as stable, reliable partners that one can build on. The sudden rule changes by Anthropic (including a mandatory 30 day data retention policy for Fable usage) have made developers wonder about the stability of building on any one proprietary LLM provider, not just Anthropic.

The U.S. Government then shortly followed with an even greater demonstration of power. It used the Commerce Department’s authority to regulate technologies that may be national security threats to restrict exports of Mythos and Fable, requiring a license for use by any foreign national, whether inside or outside of the U.S., including employees of Anthropic. This led Anthropic to disable access to Fable to all users worldwide.

Sam Altman pointed out, referring to Anthropic, “It is clearly incredible marketing to say, ‘We have built a bomb, we are about to drop it on your head. We will sell you a bomb shelter for $100 million.’” But when one engages in this type of fear-based marketing, it increases the odds that the U.S. Government will agree with you and slap export controls on the bomb you say you have built.

To be clear, I don't think Anthropic has built anything like a bomb, and I don't think export controls on Fable are appropriate.

However, following the U.S. Government making this move, many nations, including U.S. allies, saw how the U.S. can suddenly yank their access to AI models. In many capitals around the world, this has spurred discussions on AI sovereignty and how others can ensure uninterrupted access to this critical technology.

For decades, many nations were comfortable having many parts of their supply chain rely on the U.S., China, and other major producers. Once a nation issues a threat, or takes action, to limit other nations’ access, other nations will rationally try to secure alternatives. For decades, semiconductor manufacturing in China made slow progress; once the U.S. moved to limit China’s access, China’s efforts kicked into high gear. Similarly, once China threatened U.S. access to rare earth minerals, U.S. efforts to secure alternatives accelerated. Now that it has become crystal clear that private U.S. companies and the U.S. government can limit, in short order, other nations’ access to frontier AI models, the incentive of others to invest more in alternatives like open source grows significantly. Of course, training frontier models is not easy, so it remains to be seen how successful they are, but we have crossed the rubicon.

Satya Nadella wrote an essay about the importance of building a healthy ecosystem on top of frontier AI technology. I heartily agree with him, and hope this week’s events will ultimately prove to be constructive steps toward this.

I hope we can build a more free, more open world, where research is freely shared, and laws and societal norms shape a level playing field that allows everyone to make progress. A silver lining of the events of these past two weeks is now that everyone better realizes key points of instability of the current system, we can all work to create a more stable foundation.

[Original text: The Batch newsletter]

[HITMAN @Hitman]

Mads Mikkelsen returns as Le Chiffre from 2006 film “Casino Royale”, the iconic private banker to the criminal underworld. Play now for free the new Elusive Target in HITMAN World of Assassination. Agent, this is your only chance. Do not miss it.

[Mike Hudema @MikeHudema]

Coca Cola produces 3 million tonnes of plastic packaging a year – equivalent to 200,000 bottles a minute.

Send @CocaCola a message. It's time to end #plasticpollution. #ActOnClimate

#Useless #WasteLess #BuyLess #BreakFreeFromPlastic #nature #GreenNewDeal

[Jeppe Cramon @jeppec]

Jeppe Cramon: Messaging, Distributed systems principles and horror stories - Lund&Bendsen https://t.co/sdUlRdDVu3

[Pat Dennis @patdennis]

Sick of people calling everything in crypto a Ponzi scheme. Some crypto projects are pump and dump schemes, while others are pyramid schemes. Others are just standard issue fraud. Others are just middlemen skimming of the top. Stop glossing over the diversity in the industry.

[Killed by Google @killedbygoogle]

Google hasn't gotten into crypto. That's the tell.

[Hacker News Bot @newsycombinator]

'Freeze-thaw battery' stores electricity long-term for seasonal release https://t.co/YPKu30nWeR

[The Wall Street Journal @WSJ]

Hedge funds are betting against a cryptocurrency whose price shouldn’t move. Tether says the short sellers are part of a "clever scheme to raise capital from those less knowledgeable." https://t.co/2oqW8SfVF2

[Conks @conksresearch]

Web3 is the mass normalization of Ponzinomics, the commodification of disenfranchised minds, and the rise of securities fraud as a business, all combined into one flaming shit-comet of a regulatory disaster.

[Work Chronicles @_workchronicles]

We are agile.

[Jeppe Cramon @jeppec]

Kursus - Scalable Architecture using microservices and DDD

Der er få ledige pladser d. 8-9. Marts https://t.co/Lr4bIkiR96

[Evan Phoenix @evanphx]

Really enjoying the description of NFTs I’ve heard this week as “content-free DRM” and “entity-free ownership”.

[Molly White @molly0xFFF]

When I speak about inefficiency, that we are hurtling towards a "web3" so centralized it challenges big tech's grasp on today's web, that no one has found a truly good use for blockchains, I often hear "it's early days".

"It's not still the early days"
https://t.co/hATjL74rB0

[Moxie Marlinspike @moxie]

Wrote some notes summarizing my first impressions of web3: https://t.co/16MoPROOGc

[Jeppe Cramon @jeppec]

I’m offering a new course on #microservices and distributed architecture https://t.co/PlrbrLi4JS

[Matt Anderson 🇺🇦 @MattAndersonUT]

How Much Value Has Amazon Created for the World? by @timoreilly https://t.co/S8mFAAN7G9 via @jafurtado

[Charlotte Jee @charlottejee]

I've found it, the perfect explanation of NFTs

[The Tor Project @torproject]

Take a stand against @Spotify's recent speech-recognition patent that claims to detect “emotional state, gender, age, or accent” to recommend music. Music services shouldn't be using covert surveillance in their products. https://t.co/ZP879v4VBm

[Ian Carroll @iangcarroll]

1Gbps of sustained outbound transfer on aws is about $21,000/month in us-east-1.

that's it. that's the tweet.

[DHH @dhh]

“Bitcoin might be trustless in itself, but if it’s being bought for fake dollars, its valuation in dollars will be fake as well.” https://t.co/ZlMLTBK2GT