@Jake__Wujastyk@mikepalmieri13 A CEO that’s scaling up revenue growth shouldn’t be canned, ya? $BULL been public for a little over 6 months and it’s hitting 45% yoy rev. What’s the issue?
🐂 Bull Case
Strong Growth Potential: Financial analysts project significant revenue growth for Grab in the coming years. Revenue is expected to increase to $3.894 billion by 2026, driven by user engagement and transaction frequency across its services.
Path to Profitability: Grab's adjusted EBITDA is projected to improve dramatically, transitioning to a positive $644 million by 2026 from a loss of $378 million in 2023. Earnings per share (EPS) are also forecasted to turn positive, reaching $0.12 by 2026 from -$0.10 in 2023.
Dominant Market Position: Grab is a leading super-app in Southeast Asia, capturing a large share of a rapidly growing market.
Market Share: Grab holds approximately 55% market share in the food delivery sector in Southeast Asia as of 2023, and together with GoTo, accounted for over 70% of the ride-hailing GMV in the region in 2023. Some reports indicate that Grab is 4 times larger than its next largest competitor in the region.
Total Addressable Market (TAM): The potential TAM for Grab's Mobility and Delivery services in Southeast Asia is estimated to be $375 billion, indicating substantial room for growth.
Monthly Transacting Users (MTUs): In Q3 2024, Grab's platform reached 42 million monthly transacting users, a 16% year-over-year increase, demonstrating a growing active user base.
Gross Merchandise Value (GMV): Grab's On-Demand GMV grew by 15% year-over-year to $4.7 billion in Q3 2024. Within this, Deliveries GMV saw a 12% increase to $2.965 billion, and Mobility GMV grew by 20% to $1.694 billion, highlighting strong transaction volume across its core services.
Revenue Diversification: Grab is exploring ad monetization opportunities, which could provide a high-margin revenue stream, further enhancing its financial performance.
Positive Analyst Ratings: Grab currently has a consensus Strong Buy or Buy rating from brokerage firms, indicating positive sentiment from Wall Street analysts.
Apple Q1 revenue is $124.3 Billion.
2022 Q1 revenue was $123.9 Billion.
0.3% revenue growth over 3 years.
(We’ve had ~15% inflation since then)
iPhone sales are negative YoY.
This is not a growth company. $AAPL
@sairarahman Opposite. Would you rather pony up lots of cash to exercise overvalued non-liquid startup stock options, over being granted moderately priced FAANG RSUs?
@Don7Himanshu @BigBullCap Anything over 10x sales is likely to get crushed.
$DDOG 30x sales and a forward P/E of 128. Come on? I don’t care how good their ER was the stock is overvalued.
$TEAM 20x sales with a forward P/E of 100.